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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

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  • 31 episodes
  • a few times a week
  • Avg 1 hr 3 min
  • English

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  • Friday · 59 min

    Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429

    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions. 00:00 Meet Ed Berry 00:53 From Clouds to Climate 01:49 Why Consensus Fails 03:11 Scientific Method Basics 05:16 Three Climate Assumptions 06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim 08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle 09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data 12:48 Flows and Human Share 14:11 Building a Carbon Model 16:26 E-Time and Linearity 19:40 Deriving Balance Levels 21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times 25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split 27:21 What 420 ppm Implies 27:58 Systems Model Math 29:29 Partitioning Human CO2 31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction 34:24 Courtney Endorsement 35:45 Delta 14C Evidence 39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve 42:09 Temperature Leads CO2 44:21 Proofs Summary 48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup 50:51 WEF Influence Claims 52:11 DOE Report Problem 53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique 56:48 Group Positions Wrap 57:48 Q&A And Closing https://edberry.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 11 · 54 min

    Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428

    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria. 00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson 00:27 Writing Happer Biography 01:45 Happer Science Legacy 02:42 Climate Views Adaptation 03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained 05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset 06:04 Princeton Controversy 07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories 09:18 Childhood and Formation 10:58 Standing Up for Science 13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma 16:38 Outsiders and Discovery 21:15 Curiosity and Measuring 23:25 CO2 Politics and Money 24:45 Book Release and Coalition 25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach 27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio 28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile 30:10 Working Life at Princeton 31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout 32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate 34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy 37:29 Skepticism After COVID 41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes 44:24 Kindness Over Division 48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria 50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI 54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 8 · 1 hr 14 min

    Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427

    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned. 00:00 New Paper Claim 01:29 Three Inputs Setup 03:25 Isotope Signatures 101 06:05 Keeling Relation Explained 10:17 Datasets And Intercepts 13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction 22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails 25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion 28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover 31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise 33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism 36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser 37:38 Accounting vs Causation 39:23 Feynman on Conservation 40:37 What Proves Causality 41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation 42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads 46:25 Molecules Not Labeled 48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution 49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources 51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy 53:41 Retention and Cycle Time 56:02 Harassment and Resignation 01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs 01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact 01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links https://x.com/cohler https://papers.jcohler.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 4 · 51 min

    James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426

    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs. 00:00 Meet James Tooley 01:03 Hyderabad Discovery 03:25 Government School Reality 05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition 07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof 11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis 13:04 War Torn Africa Schools 15:48 Five Key Features 21:06 Federations And Pushback 22:02 Low Cost Schools In America 25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning 29:46 Mississippi Trailer School 33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example 36:08 National Survey Findings 41:45 Philanthropy And Donations 43:26 Quality Assurance Debate 46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns 49:57 Where To Follow James 50:46 Final Reflections The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r https://x.com/james_tooley https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 1 · 58 min

    Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425

    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies. 00:00 Meet Tom Harris 00:19 Canada Warming Claims 00:41 Is Warming Bad 03:21 So Called Averages 05:13 Overlapping Ranges 08:06 Why Start 1948 11:08 Heat Records Evidence 11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations 14:39 Homogenized Adjustments 17:00 Step Change Not CO2 18:57 Hickey Speaks Out 21:59 Natural Cycles Theory 22:59 PR Versus Evidence 24:22 Extreme Weather Database 25:56 Heartland Reports 28:32 Warmer Means Milder 31:07 Pielke Teaser 31:19 Global Extremes Database 31:51 P Factor Explained 32:30 Translator Not Climatologist 33:33 Drilling Into Continents 34:48 Wildfire History Context 37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns 38:31 Local Activism Playbook 40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action 42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule 47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide 51:59 Beating Media Censorship 53:55 Groups Funding And Contact 56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins 57:43 Wrap Up Resources  icsc-canada.com  sensiblechange.ca https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC https://drtomharris.substack.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 28 · 40 min

    Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #424

    Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2. 00:00 Intro And Agenda 00:39 Three Paper Overview 04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human 07:05 Detrending Spurious Links 10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested 13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers 17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads 21:50 Global Temperature Averaging 23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE 26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers 33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues 34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A https://x.com/info45037254 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 25 · 1 hr 19 min

    Ron Clutz Part 2: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #423

    Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty. 00:00 Framework Recap 01:07 Natural Warming Factors 03:56 Climate Scare Machine 07:59 Eleven Empty Claims 13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice 20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics 28:27 Climates Are Local 35:13 Warming Impacts Summary 35:59 Can Governments Stop It 37:56 Energy Transition Reality 40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule 42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture 43:47 Trillions Visualized 45:22 Waste One Missing Funds 45:59 Waste Two Project Failures 48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards 49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse 50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels 51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy 53:06 Policy Weapons And Results 55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs 59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use 01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus 01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless 01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire 01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data 01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires https://rclutz.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 18 · 1 hr 25 min

    Henrik Svensmark: “Cosmic Rays, aerosols, and clouds” #422

    Henrik Svensmark discusses how solar activity modulates cosmic rays, which ionize the atmosphere and can help form aerosols that grow into cloud condensation nuclei, potentially altering clouds and Earth’s energy balance. He describes lab experiments showing more aerosols with increased ionization, critiques models that predicted no cloud effect, and presents observations from Forbush decreases where drops in cosmic rays are followed days later by reduced aerosols, cloud changes, and radiative-budget responses. He argues solar-cycle forcing may be ~1–1.5 W/m² and could affect CO2 sensitivity. On longer timescales, he links supernova-driven cosmic-ray variations to glaciations, ocean temperature, organic carbon burial, oxygen production, and biodiversity, while noting funding and career pressures. 00:00 Cosmic Rays and Clouds 00:42 Meet Henrik Svensmark 02:59 Solar Activity Basics 03:31 IPCC Forcing Debate 05:13 Sunspots and Cosmic Rays 07:03 Cosmic Ray Showers 08:55 Isotopes as Solar Proxies 11:48 Climate Correlations 15:17 Ocean Heat Amplification 17:55 Clouds as Amplifier 19:39 How CCN Form 22:22 Testing in Chambers 24:59 Models vs Reality 27:52 Forbush Natural Experiments 36:14 Fixing the Physics 41:17 Billion Year Timescales 42:08 Galactic Spiral Arms 44:02 Star Formation Setup 44:33 Open Clusters Explained 45:57 Mapping Nearby Clusters 46:53 Supernovas Meet Climate 48:27 Zooming Into Ice Ages 51:31 Nutrients And Carbon Isotopes 53:54 Organic Burial Correlation 55:15 Deep Time Starbursts 57:12 Oxygen And Complex Life 59:51 Dwarf Galaxies Trigger Stars 01:02:18 Fossils And Diversity Curves 01:05:13 Shelf Area Drives Richness 01:09:04 Area Normalization Test 01:11:34 Big Picture Conclusions 01:13:35 Funding And Career Risks 01:22:15 Critiques And Solar Events 01:25:16 Wrap Up And Farewell Svensmark: The Cloud Mystery https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANMTPF1blpQ The Chilling Stars [2008]: https://www.amazon.com/Chilling-Stars-New-Theory-Climate/dp/1840468661 Papers: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2843-3417 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 14 · 1 hr 24 min

    Randall Bock: “Withdraw to Freedom: Navigating the Addiction Maze” #421

    Randall Bock argues opioids have dual legal and illicit markets and that most prescribed users don’t become street addicts. He recounts refusing drug-seekers (“Dr. No”) and later using buprenorphine as a temporary bridge, advocating a 4–6 month taper to sobriety rather than lifelong “maintenance.” He claims methadone maintenance, originated at Rockefeller University and expanded nationally via Nixon-era policy and Medicaid incentives, aimed to curb New York City crime but instead seeded the first wave of the opioid crisis and spread heroin use. He challenges the “addiction as disease/insulin” analogy, cites Vietnam vet recovery and Rat Park, and promotes his book “Withdraw to Freedom.” 00:00 Opioid Desert Intro 01:06 Two Marketplaces Theory 02:01 Doctor No Stories 03:29 Suboxone And DATA 2000 04:50 Maintenance Therapy Critique 06:22 New York City Sets Stage 08:04 Bridge To Sobriety Plan 10:47 Long Boom And Opioid Spike 14:24 Classic Narcotic Control Era 17:26 Harm Reduction And Methadone 18:43 OxyContin Myth Busting 19:48 Addiction As Exposure 23:28 Rockefeller Methadone Origins 26:40 Crime Control Not Cure 28:14 Why Methadone Feels Dopey 31:59 National Spread And Incentives 36:46 Did Crime Drop Actually 38:46 Equality Of Misery 40:49 Dealers Adapt And Expand 43:03 Dopesick Narrative Setup 43:36 Methadone First Wave 45:22 Medicalization Lessons 48:15 Disease Model Tested 50:20 Replacement vs Proclivity 53:29 Russia and Hard Truths 55:38 Rat Park Recovery 01:00:14 Economy and Despair 01:03:18 Bock Taper and Five Fs 01:09:28 Board Backlash 01:11:28 Book Launch Pitch 01:13:51 Incentives and COVID Parallels 01:19:01 Mental Health Parity 01:22:43 Wrap Up and Dual Path https://randybock.com/ https://x.com/@DrRandallBock ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 11 · 54 min

    Jim Lakely #420

    Jim Lakely, EVP and communications director at The Heartland Institute, describes Heartland’s free-market mission and its global role “pushing back on climate alarmism,” plus his weekly Climate Realism Show. He recounts Heartland’s 16 climate conferences since 2008 (300+ speakers, videos online), efforts to invite opposing views, and claims the IPCC’s mandate is to emphasize human influence. They discuss natural forcings, scientific uncertainty, warming since the Little Ice Age, and skepticism about “global average temperature.” Lakely cites funding pressures in academia, conference disruptions by Climate Defiance, and notes Roy Spencer’s satellite data work. He recounts “Fakegate,” alleging Peter Gleick stole documents and forged a memo. They also discuss COPs, social-media throttling, and AI’s energy demands weakening climate media funding. 00:00 Meet Jim Lakely 00:32 Heartland Climate Mission 01:34 Inside Climate Conferences 04:25 Debate And The IPCC 07:06 Natural Forcings Focus 09:32 Warming And Perspective 12:23 Young Skeptics Rising 15:40 Disruptions And Threats 20:44 Will Happer Spotlight 23:25 Models Funding And Media 28:01 Journalism Background 29:13 Congress Reality Check 30:39 Oval Office With Bush 32:44 Climate Beat Back Then 35:09 Momentum After 2024 38:32 AI Needs Real Energy 40:24 Fakegate Scandal Recap 47:03 Inside UN COP Meetings 48:57 Social Media Censorship 51:38 YouTube UN Banners 53:02 Closing Thoughts Freedom https://x.com/jlakely See all Heartland “International Conference on Climate Change” videos here: https://climateconferences.heartland.org/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 7 · 1 hr 2 min

    Thomas Kurz: “Greenhouse Gases and Climate Feedbacks” | Tom Nelson Pod #419

    Thomas Kurz discusses chapters from his book Why There Is No Climate Crisis, citing positive reviews, then explains the greenhouse effect and argues CO2’s warming is limited and logarithmic. He claims doubling CO2 yields about 3 W/m² effective forcing, or ~0.9°C via Stefan–Boltzmann calculations, and says even burning all known fossil fuel reserves would add under ~1°C. He argues “climate crisis” claims rely on compounded positive feedbacks in IPCC models, but says observations show models overpredict warming, relative humidity aloft is declining, and a predicted tropical hotspot is missing. He attributes discrepancies to cloud/aerosol cooling, proposing an Earth “thermostat” and net slightly negative feedback. 00:00 Guest and Book Update 02:31 Greenhouse Effect Basics 04:53 CO2 Absorption and Saturation 07:38 Four Ways to Calculate Forcing 17:11 Convert Forcing to Temperature 21:19 Logarithmic Warming Limits 24:20 Fossil Fuels and Max Warming 28:13 Feedbacks Behind the Crisis 32:55 Models vs Observations 41:30 Clouds and Cooling Evidence 55:51 Earth Thermostat Conclusion 57:52 Q&A and Scientific Method 01:01:33 Wrap Up and Farewell “Why There is No Climate Crisis: The Surprising Evidence You Should Know”: https://a.co/d/05rKxsYU https://www.whynoclimatecrisis.com/ Email: info@WhyNoClimateCrisis.com ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • August 4 · 1 hr 16 min

    Ray Sanders #418

    Ray Sanders updates his Surface Stations project to classify all 385 UK Met Office weather stations using WMO siting classes, claiming 88% are class 3–5 and 112 meet no regulations, including many in walled or private gardens and car parks. He argues poor siting, degraded maintenance after automation, and rapid platinum resistance thermometers in Stevenson screens create spikes and non-comparable records versus older liquid-in-glass methods. He alleges rounding/conversion issues, data from non-existent “climate averages” sites, refusals under FOI, and deletion of queried webpages. He presents analyses of stable long-term records at Wye and effects from a solar farm at RAF Lyneham, and plans more reconstructions with helpers. 00:00 Project Update Intro 01:49 WMO Siting Classes Explained 03:23 Most Stations Fail Standards 05:54 Walled Gardens Hotspots 11:55 Car Parks and Heat Sources 13:58 Thermometers and Response Time 18:27 Stevenson Screen Meets PRT 20:36 Sampling Rates and Spikes 24:45 Fahrenheit to Celsius Rounding 28:00 Maintenance and Automation Decay 32:30 Phantom Stations and FOI Fight 37:59 Allies and Data Deletions 42:16 Searching for Good Stations 42:30 Best Station Locations 43:39 Wye Data Deep Dive 44:59 Anomalies And Baselines 46:36 Manual Records Reveal 1930s 50:00 Solar Farm Heat Jump 51:19 Dyce Vs Craibstone 55:06 Met Office Classification Errors 59:53 Questionable Data Practices 01:02:21 US Climate Reference Network 01:07:38 Why He Started The Crusade 01:13:53 Focus On Great Britain 01:14:51 Thanks And Wrap Up https://x.com/RaySand17710097 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 31 · 1 hr 21 min

    Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler on natural atmospheric CO2 rise #417

    Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler argue the rise in atmospheric CO2 is mostly natural, challenging claims it is 100% manmade from hydrocarbon burning. They cite analyses using bomb-produced carbon-14 showing a single-exponential decay and a short CO2 atmospheric residence time (~3.8 years), contrasting with IPCC claims of thousands of years and criticizing undefined terms like “adjustment time.” They say their work falsifies the Suess effect and that delta-13C of atmospheric change stays near -13‰ from 1978–2022 and in proxies over 500 years, inconsistent with a dominant fossil-fuel signature (~-28‰). They discuss ocean/land cycling, solar/energy imbalance hypotheses, and skepticism of ice-core CO2 constancy claims. 00:00 Big CO2 Claim Questioned 01:30 Decades of Doubt 02:16 Researchers Who Challenged It 04:13 Natural Rise Hypothesis 05:14 Suess Effect Origins 07:35 Bomb Pulse Carbon-14 12:39 Short Residence Time 14:22 Word Games vs Definitions 16:44 3.8 Years Explained 21:21 Bridge Equation Breakthrough 25:34 Peer Pushback and Talks 29:43 Physical Tether Theorem 34:01 Koutsoyiannis Delta13C Test 42:46 Why Delta13C Still Drops 44:23 Lineage and Credit 45:43 Cycle Time vs IPCC 49:14 Debunking Net Sink 51:06 Biosphere Expansion Idea 51:48 Satellite Imbalance Fraud 56:17 Outgassing Explains CO2 Rise 01:01:40 Proxy Limits and Ice Cores 01:09:26 Future CO2 and Benefits 01:13:18 C14 Tracers and Dating 01:15:02 Suez Effect Model Critique 01:21:15 Wrapping Up and Links Jonathan Cohler – “The IPCC Circle of Lies: Five Papers Falsify the Entire Framework” https://x.com/cohler/status/2081407310493081791 Willie Soon – “From Demon to Dinner: The Scientific Case for CO₂ and Fossil Fuels” https://x.com/cohler/status/2081408758308077952 Slides: Jonathan Cohler: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410426147938599 Willie Soon: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410908392133048 CERES-Science: https://www.ceres-science.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 28 · 59 min

    Steve Milloy #416

    Steve Milloy reviews Trump’s fossil-fuel agenda, EPA rollback of the 2009 endangerment finding, and concerns that litigation delays and Justice Department staffing could let a future Democratic administration reverse course. The speaker attacks the National Academy of Sciences as climate activists, cites a climate chapter in a judges’ science manual, notes Elena Kagan said she didn’t read it, and urges cutting NAS funding. They praise Matt Wielicki’s appointment to lead the U.S. Global Change Research Program. They argue wildfire-smoke PM2.5 health scares lacked NYC hospital spikes, criticize linear no-threshold regulation (radiation, PFAS), and discuss Yucca Mountain standards. They describe shareholder activism against corporate ESG (Netflix, Exxon), criticize carbon capture subsidies, and praise young “climate realist” advocates. 00:00 Trump EPA Rollbacks 01:37 NAS Versus Trump 04:16 Defunding NAS Push 06:30 Kagan Foreword Controversy 08:24 Climate Realist Appointment 09:43 Democrats And Green Money 11:59 Big Tech Climate Censorship 13:21 X Algorithms And Reach 16:10 Viral Tweet No Warming 18:20 Wildfire Smoke Reality Check 22:30 EPA PM2.5 Experiments 26:12 LNT Model And Hormesis 30:18 Yucca Mountain Absurdity 32:37 PFAS And Low Dose Effects 33:37 Forever Chemicals Are Inert 34:41 Dose Makes the Poison 36:34 Parts Per Trillion Panic 37:31 Why Fear Spreads 38:06 Conservative Shareholder Activism 41:07 Exxon and ESG Battles 42:23 Carbon Capture Reality Check 43:53 Subsidies and Nanny Government 45:31 Next Gen Climate Realists 47:43 Awards and Staying the Course 50:31 NASA Names and Media Retreat 56:01 Debate Challenge and Wrap Up Steve on X: https://x.com/JunkScience Web: https://junkscience.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 24 · 54 min

    Marc Glendening #415

    Mark Glendening argues free speech in Britain and the West is under increasing internal attack, citing “non-crime hate incidents,” broad Public Order Act powers, online and even private-message prosecutions, and proposals to criminalize non-affirmation of transgender identity under “conversion therapy” laws. He says enforcement is often aimed at the right and anti-transgender feminists, though he notes prosecutions of some left-wing Palestine Action supporters. Glendening traces today’s speech controls to cultural strategies developed after Marxism waned, highlighting Gramsci, the Frankfurt School (especially Marcuse), and French postmodernists. He urges electoral pressure campaigns, praises Elon Musk and X, and warns that debanking, digital ID, and Soros-backed regulation threaten liberties. 00:00 Meet Mark Glendening 01:07 Britain’s Free Speech Legacy 02:04 Non Crime Hate Incidents 04:23 Policing Private Speech 06:52 Who Gets Targeted 09:29 Conversion Therapy Crackdown 16:09 Why the New Left Censors 21:21 Three Intellectual Roots 28:37 The Sixties Cultural Turn 36:12 Words Liberal vs Progressive 43:31 Digital ID and Debanking 44:46 Fighting Back Politically 48:04 Elon Musk and X 50:07 US Elections and Internet Speech 52:20 Final Thoughts on Liberty https://iea.org.uk/tag/marc-glendening/ https://iea.org.uk/publications/transgender-ideology-a-new-threat-to-liberal-values/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 21 · 1 hr 4 min

    Ron Clutz Part 1: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #414

    Ron Clutz summarizes themes from his “Science Matters” blog, framing climate change as three linked claims: humans warm the Earth, the warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues climate sensitivity estimates are declining and models overpredict warming, citing comparisons of model outputs to observations, weak long-term temperature correlation with fossil fuel use, and claims that storms, wildfires, sea level rise, Arctic ice, and drought trends are not worsening as asserted. He criticizes “reductionism” to CO2 and radiative forcing, emphasizing water vapor, convection, and hydrology, plus solar/cloud and ocean-cycle influences (ENSO/PDO/AMO). He also questions adjusted temperature records and UN policy effectiveness. 00:00 Meet Ron Clutz 01:13 Climate Change Three Claims 05:18 Is Warming Dangerous 10:17 Can Government Stop It 12:23 Reductionism In Climate Science 17:32 Greenhouse Physics And Water Vapor 23:10 CO2 Sources And Temperature Lag 25:26 Complexity And Data Adjustments 33:29 Extreme Events And Attribution 35:53 Model Failures And Scenarios 42:10 Testing Greenhouse Theory 51:02 Sunshine Clouds And Solar Cycles 55:19 Oceans Drive Climate Cycles 01:02:24 Hydrology And Closing Thoughts 01:04:17 Wrap Up And Next Session https://rclutz.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 17 · 1 hr 8 min

    David Smith: “Wokicide: A Quality-Control System to Reclaim Education” #413

    David Smith explains his book “Wokicide,” arguing that “woke” (critical social justice theory rooted in critical theory and postmodernism) persists in universities and schools because education lacks quality control, not because of politics. He proposes applying ISO 9001 and HACCP-style quality assurance to K–12 and universities: validated curriculum specifications, independent expert panels, hazard analysis, audits (scheduled and targeted), corrective action, and continuous improvement. A central Workplace Improvement Notice (WIN) system would let staff and even parents file tracked complaints with guaranteed responses, replacing DEI/unconscious-bias training with “deprogramming” modules and prioritizing evidence and accountability. Smith says QA would stop unvalidated ideological drift and is affordable by redirecting existing DEI-related spending. 00:00 Intro and Two-Part Talk 00:58 Why Woke Persists 01:30 Education Lacks QA 02:10 Validation Over Ideology 04:53 Defining Woke Origins 06:35 From Civil Rights to Overreach 07:43 Flawed Woke Reasoning 10:02 How Woke Spreads 11:16 Equity Outcomes and Activism 13:33 Deconstruction Playbook 17:50 Woke Hall of Fame 21:39 Perfect Storm in Education 25:42 QA Solution Framework 27:41 ISO 9001 and HACCP 29:42 Authority and Adoption 30:55 Four Phases Implementation 33:35 Validation and Hazard Analysis 34:47 Audits Monitoring Corrective Action 37:09 Aggressive Feedback Loops 39:05 WIN Notice Explained 41:41 Curriculum Content Validation 43:12 Audits in K-12 Schools 44:53 K-12 QA Wrap Up 45:47 Universities as the Source 47:29 University Validation Hurdles 50:30 University Auditing Red Flags 51:58 Objections and Pushback 57:12 Failure Modes and Fixes 59:39 Cost and Staffing Reality 01:02:08 Closing Q&A and Next Steps Amazon Kindle version: Wokicide: Pest Control for Education: https://a.co/d/0d0YeApM ======== Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 14 · 44 min

    Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412

    Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention. 00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti 00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview 01:31 Paper One Extreme Events 03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data 05:31 Retraction Controversy 09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims 12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias 17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000 21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis 23:12 Media Term And Search Trends 27:05 Building A Crisis Framework 28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires 31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard 35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation 37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion 39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach 41:40 Where To Find Work 44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 10 · 1 hr 27 min

    Nicola Scafetta: “The Frontier of Climate Science” | Tom Nelson Pod #411

    Nicola Scafetta discusses his book, "The Frontier of Climate Science," a review based on about 650 peer‑reviewed papers arguing that IPCC global climate models have serious limitations because they fail to capture multi‑scale natural variability (oceanic, solar, astronomical, and tidal cycles). He says model claims that nearly all warming since 1850 is anthropogenic are not experimentally validated, climate sensitivity remains highly uncertain, and many models run too hot, with possible surface-record warm bias from urban heat islands. He cites past warm periods and correlations between climate and solar/cosmic-ray proxies, proposes empirical/semi‑empirical cycle-based modeling, and concludes warming risk is moderate, SSP2 could meet Paris targets, net zero is unnecessary, and adaptation should be prioritized. 00:00 Introducing Scafetta’s New Book 06:03 Earth’s Deep-Time Climate Swings 11:06 IPCC Attribution to Humans 14:44 Why Model Proof Falls Short 17:27 Paris Targets and Net Zero Logic 24:33 Are IPCC Scenarios Realistic 29:04 Model Uncertainty and Sensitivity 34:57 Satellites vs Surface Warming 38:42 Missing Past Warm Periods 43:21 Millennial Solar Climate Cycles 46:00 Forests Beneath Glaciers 46:59 Solar Records vs Climate 49:18 TSI Reconstructions Debate 52:09 Cosmic Rays and Clouds 56:07 Empirical Models Challenge IPCC 59:18 Policy Implications and Adaptation 01:01:12 Planetary Cycles Climate Theory 01:05:37 Matching Climate Spectral Cycles 01:12:51 Future Hiatus and Sensitivity 01:19:43 Next Glaciation Long View 01:24:01 Book Wrap Up and Thanks The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar variability, natural cycles and model uncertainty: https://a.co/d/0flzOYJ3 ========= Brochure for Nicola’s “The Frontier of Climate Science” book, along with slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • July 7 · 47 min

    Anika Sweetland: “IPCC EXPOSED!!! Response to a global problem? Or formation of 1 world gov’t?” #410

    Anika Sweetland argues the IPCC was created through politics, funding, and elite influence, tracing its origins to the 1985 Villach Conference and alleging it advances centralized global governance. She says media-driven fear shifted from 1970s “ice age” stories to 1988 “global warming,” citing sea-level warnings that did not occur. Sweetland claims climate finance and clean-energy investment incentives benefit IPCC-linked officials. She highlights Climategate emails as evidence of strategic data presentation (“hide the decline”), message management, and peer-review gatekeeping (“PAL review”), plus an alleged journal blacklist. She says her climate studies education omitted Climategate, emphasized policy “solutions,” and discouraged debate. 00:00 IPCC Exposed Intro 01:01 Ice Age Media Panic 02:06 Fear as Control Tool 03:36 Global Warming Rebrand 05:23 Sea Level Scare Claims 07:28 Villach Birth of IPCC 09:31 Global Governance Agenda 10:31 Trillions and Incentives 12:20 Climategate Data Tricks 18:57 Peer Review Gatekeeping 21:44 Blacklists and Ideology 23:31 Personal Wake Up Call 25:16 Who Controls Science 26:34 What We Can Do Next 27:23 Host Reacts and Questions 27:36 Climategate Not Taught 30:10 Policy Impacts UK Europe 33:15 Witch Hunts Parallel 37:22 Climate Degree Brainwashing 40:42 Only Graduate Story 43:15 Today’s Model Driven Teaching 45:19 Books and IPCC Origins 46:17 Closing Thanks and Wrap https://x.com/anika_climate ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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