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Tom Nelson · Friday · 1 hr 13 min

John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies. 00:00 Meet John Costella 00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus 01:10 Sally Challenges Belief 03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point 04:34 Climategate Emails Leak 05:53 Publishing The Email Archive 07:54 Talks And Printed Book 09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards 16:02 How Long The Book Took 17:48 Climate Science Complexity 22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry 31:04 Small Core Group Problem 32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review 36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals 38:27 Data and Code Transparency 39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance 41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse 43:19 Models and Feedback Loops 46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method 49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels 52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics 55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss 01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers 01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights 01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk 01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links https://johncostella.com/ https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181 My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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transcript

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show notes

John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.


00:00 Meet John Costella

00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus

01:10 Sally Challenges Belief

03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point

04:34 Climategate Emails Leak

05:53 Publishing The Email Archive

07:54 Talks And Printed Book

09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards

16:02 How Long The Book Took

17:48 Climate Science Complexity

22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry

31:04 Small Core Group Problem

32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review

36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals

38:27 Data and Code Transparency

39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance

41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse

43:19 Models and Feedback Loops

46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method

49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels

52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics

55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss

01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers

01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights

01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk

01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links


https://johncostella.com/

https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf

ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181

My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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