World at Odds

World at Odds is a podcast about probability in a polarized world.

I’m Matt — a former pro poker player who spent five years making a living at the tables, and someone who’s been limited or banned by multiple tier-one sportsbooks after finding sustained edge in their markets. I’ve spent years studying incentives, pricing, and EV across sports, politics, and macro events.

We break down major stories using logic instead of emotion. What is the market actually pricing in? Where is the crowd overconfident?

The goal isn’t to win the argument. It’s to win in the long run.