S2 · E3October 23 · 6 min
In March 2025, the weather office in Omaha, Nebraska stopped launching its weather balloons. Chapter 21 of Project 2025 says NOAA "should be broken up and downsized" and that the National Weather Service "should fully commercialize its forecasting operations." Chapter 5 asks to shift most disaster costs from Washington to the states.
This episode follows one storm from the warning before it to the help after it, and checks each step against the public record. The weather service lost about 600 people during 2025, and 34 members of Congress tied missing balloon launches to a late tornado watch in Kansas in April 2026. Omaha's launches resumed about a month after they stopped, the service has hired more than 300 people since the cuts, and Congress funded the weather agency well above the White House request. FEMA lost about one in six workers during 2025, and on September 11, 2026 a federal judge ruled the plan to cut its staff roughly in half unlawful.
Then the episode imagines the worst case, a plains county where the warning goes to whoever pays first and the help goes to whoever can wait longest.
This is the audio edition of the episode, and the video version is on the What Comes Next YouTube channel.
These are the sources behind every documented claim.
Heritage Foundation, Mandate for Leadership, chapter 21 by Thomas F. Gilman, page 675, and chapter 5 by Ken Cuccinelli, pages 135 and 153.
National Weather Service upper-air fact sheet. https://www.weather.gov/upperair/factsheet
Spectrum News, March 26, 2025, and KCUR, April 2, 2025, on the Omaha and Rapid City balloon suspensions.
Nebraska Public Media and KLKN, April 25, 2025, on Omaha's launches resuming with temporary forecasters.
Boston Globe, September 27, 2025, and CBS News, July 20, 2026, on staff losses and rehiring at the weather service.
Associated Press reporting in April 2025, as carried by KCUR, on 55 understaffed forecast offices.
Letter from Rep. Gabe Amo and 33 members of Congress, July 30, 2026. https://amo.house.gov
NBC News and FedScoop, January 2026, on the final FY2026 funding bill for NOAA.
NBC News and CBS News on President Trump's remarks of June 10, 2025.
Government Accountability Office, GAO-26-108427, August 4, 2026, on FEMA staffing.
Reuters, PBS NewsHour and Courthouse News on Judge Susan Illston's ruling of September 11, 2026.
Capitol News Illinois and ABC7 Chicago on FEMA's October 7, 2026 reply to Illinois.
National League of Cities and NACo on the FEMA review council's report.
The episode's real footage and photographs come from NASA and the Library of Congress, and the imagined half uses AI-generated scenes. The full credit list is in the YouTube description.