The Weekly Trend

Episode 300: CCC

In this week's episode, David Zarling, Ian McMillan, and Kevin Firari discuss Nvidia performance versus Semiconductors and the broad market as a whole, areas of the market that are underperforming, equal weight S&P 500 (RSP) out to all time highs, recent AAII survey results, interesting names within the Nasdaq that are performing well, fixed income, and potential rate hikes.

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Episode 299: Tech Panic

In Episode 299, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market that remains heavily driven by semiconductors, with tech and energy the only sectors above their relative 200-day lines versus the S&P 500. They discuss the dominance of AI-related leadership, emerging markets’ semiconductor exposure, Apple’s relative strength, and whether software could benefit from a rotation if AI enthusiasm broadens. The conversation also weighs growing warning signs beneath the surface, including weak breadth, rising rates, struggling financials and homebuilders, and the possibility that the market is either setting up for rotation or becoming increasingly vulnerable after a narrow advance.

Episode 298: Musings

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the areas of the market at all time highs, including the Magnificent Seven, and how bullish it is for market participants being willing to buy at all time highs. They also discuss international areas that continue to perform well, whether we are witnessing a similar period to the dot com bubble of the late 90's and early 2000's, along with other macroeconomic narratives that are at play, and how the narratives truly don't matter at the end of the day.

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Episode 297: All Time Highs

In this week's episode David and Kevin discuss the areas of the market going out to all-time highs, the return profile if you buy at all time highs, and the continued effect semiconductors, storage, and electronic components is having across multiple industries and sectors. They also discuss the areas of international equities that are performing well, how international performance is also tilted towards semiconductor exposure, the Magnificent Seven, bearish sentiment continuing, market breadth, and is the divergence between equity indices and risk-on areas a fixed income.

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Episode 296: The Semiconductor Show

In this week's episode Ian and Kevin discuss the continued strength out of Semiconductors and Technology, while other areas of the market failed to reach or surpass previous highs. They also discuss the strength out of Asia while Latin America cools off, Bitcoin, Small Caps, and that they would like to see risk-on behavior continued in the fixed income space.

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Episode 295: Tough Stuff

In Episode 295 of the Weekly Trend podcast, David and Ian break down the market’s stunning return to new all-time highs, unpacking what the sharp V-shaped recovery means for investors, advisors, and anyone still waiting for a pullback that may never come. They explore the significance of the S&P 500 reclaiming its 200-day moving average, the psychology of chasing strength after a fast rebound, why weak breadth still deserves attention, and how leadership from semiconductors, AI, crypto, and other high-beta areas may be signaling a renewed risk-on environment. The conversation also dives into the limits of narrative-driven investing, the value of technical analysis during fast-moving market shifts, and how their rules-based Adaptive Select ETF responded by moving back into participation after a brief defensive period.

Episode 294: Datalyzation

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 being back above a 200 day moving average, where do you start with reconstructing your portfolio, the strength out of semiconductors and other risk-on areas of the market. They also discuss how software, private credit, Bitcoin, MAGS, and FNGS continue to lag. Other topics discussed are International equities and is the move in oil and energy over?

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Episode 293: Guilty Until Proven Innocent

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 moving below 6500, continued strength early in the week followed by weakness moving into the weekend, Magnificent Seven and mega-cap tech leading to the downside again, the relationship between energy stocks and oil, international areas holding up well on a relative basis, and what they are seeing in fixed income and commodities.

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