BusinessInvestingNewsBusiness News

The Weekly Trend

David Zarling, Ian McMillan

The Weekly Trend is a conversation on various publicly-traded markets, seen through the eyes of technical analysis.

Play

Open in

28 episodes
weekly
Avg 32 min
English

Episodes 28

Newest Oldest Longest

All20 Unplayed20 In progress0 Played0

Counted on this page — what you have heard stays on this device, so it is not something the list can be paged by.

S7 · E40
Friday · 21 min
Episode 320: Gales of November
In this episode of The Weekly Trend, Ian McMillan and Kevin Firari examine a market running on fumes as the S&P 500 remains stuck in its trading range while momentum and market breadth struggle beneath the surface. They discuss semiconductors and the Nasdaq 100 testing their 200-day moving averages, fading growth leadership, and whether strength in Healthcare and pockets of value represents meaningful rotation or another short-lived handoff. The conversation also explores a strengthening U.S. dollar, rising interest rates, and why historically bullish post-midterm seasonality doesn’t necessarily mean a smooth ride higher. With the S&P 500 once again rejected at 7,620 and momentum strategies struggling for traction, is this simply a frustrating pause within an uptrend, or is prolonged indecision setting the stage for a deeper correction?
- Transcript
S7 · E39
November 6 · 28 min
Episode 319: Title: What If the S&P 500 Is the Last to Know?
In this episode of The Weekly Trend, Dave Zarling and Ian McMillan examine a sharp market selloff as semiconductors, technology, and momentum stocks break important technical levels. Despite the S&P 500 remaining near its rising 200-day moving average, weakening market breadth, failed breakouts, and rising volatility suggest growing risks beneath the surface. With the historically bullish seasonal period underway, was this week's selling a healthy flush that could set up a rebound, or a warning shot signaling a much deeper correction?
- Transcript
S7 · E38
October 23 · 32 min
Episode 318: Retail Bulls vs. Institutional Bears: Who Gets It Right?
In this episode of The Weekly Trend, Dave Zarling and Ian McMillan examine an S&P 500 stuck in a prolonged trading range as market leadership continues to shift beneath the surface. Technology and semiconductors struggle at key technical levels, while Healthcare and Energy show improving relative strength. They also explore the sharp contrast between bullish retail investors and defensive institutions, weakening market breadth, and the evolving momentum trends reflected in ADPV's changing holdings. With major indices testing important support levels and market participation remaining narrow, is this simply a healthy consolidation after a powerful rally, or is the market preparing for a more significant move lower?
- Transcript
S7 · E37
October 19 · 33 min
Episode 317: False Breakouts Everywhere: Is the Uptrend at Risk?
In this episode of The Weekly Trend, Dave Zarling and Ian McMillan examine the growing divergence between the cap-weighted indices and the average stock. They discuss weakness in semiconductors, AI-related stocks, and mega-cap technology, while Energy and Healthcare show improving relative strength. Small caps and emerging markets remain under pressure, regional banks are flashing caution, and a strengthening U.S. dollar adds another potential headwind. With volatility rising and midterm elections approaching, is the market setting up for a deeper correction toward the 200-day moving average, or are we witnessing a rotation that could eventually strengthen market participation? The guys break down the key technical levels, sector trends, and market signals worth watching in the weeks ahead.
- Transcript
S7 · E36
October 2 · 33 min
Episode 316: Can Q4 Save the Market?
In this episode, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market sitting near all-time highs despite significant damage beneath the surface, with nearly 60% of S&P 500 stocks more than 20% below their own all-time highs. They discuss the continued leadership from technology and semiconductors, the potential for breadth to finally expand, and whether beaten-down areas of the market can catch up or the strongest trends simply keep getting stronger. The conversation also examines washed-out breadth readings, bearish investor sentiment, rising money-market allocations, higher oil and interest rates, widening credit spreads, a strengthening dollar, and the surprising resilience of Bitcoin. With Q4 historically one of the stronger seasonal periods, they consider whether the recent flush has run its course or whether the cap-weighted indexes still have some catching down to do.
- Transcript
S7 · E35
September 25 · 33 min
Episode 315: Washout or Warning?
In this episode of The Weekly Trend, David Zarling and Ian McMillan examine a market sending dramatically different signals above and below the surface. The S&P 500 remains near its highs while the Nasdaq, technology, and several areas of semiconductor leadership push toward or into new highs, but underneath the indexes, breadth has deteriorated sharply, with a large percentage of stocks already experiencing significant corrections. David and Ian break down whether this washout is setting the stage for a broadening Q4 rally or whether the weakness underneath the surface eventually pulls the major indexes lower. They discuss semiconductor leadership, AI and software, FANG and MAG stocks, struggling small and mid caps, rising CCC credit spreads, industrials and materials testing key technical levels, and the continued pressure from rising interest rates. They also check in on Treasury bonds, Bitcoin, Ethereum, the U.S. dollar, and several important relative-strength relationships as they look for clues about what comes next.
- Transcript
S7 · E34
September 19 · 34 min
Episode 314: Wear You Out
In Episode 314, David Zarling and Ian McMillan break down a market that continues to frustrate investors with months of sideways price action despite the major indexes remaining relatively close to their highs. They dig into deteriorating breadth, extremely low stock correlations, elevated dispersion, bearish sentiment, and the growing number of S&P 500 stocks already experiencing meaningful corrections beneath the surface. The conversation also covers energy’s continued leadership, fading international and small-cap relative strength, improving action in parts of crypto, and the remarkably small number of stocks that have cleared their June highs and gone on to new all-time highs. With the S&P, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 essentially going nowhere since May, they debate whether the market is simply consolidating within an uptrend, setting up for a broader “flush and go,” or slowly wearing investors out while waiting for price action to finally prove the next move.
- Transcript
S7 · E33
September 11 · 21 min
Episode 313: All Churn, No Turn
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss market breadth and the dispersion between stocks within the S&P 500 and the index itself, sector performance and more specifically how Energy continues to outperform, treasury yields, credit spreads, volatility, and seasonality.
- Transcript
S7 · E32
September 4 · 24 min
Episode 312: Dew Point
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued sideways move in the S&P 500, dispersion analysis of stocks within the S&P 500, cryptocurrencies that are showing strength, international equities, whether we are going to see areas that lead early in the year taking back the reins to end the year, and which areas of transports are looking the best.
- Transcript
S7 · E31
August 28 · 28 min
Episode 311: I Don't Know What to Do With My Hands
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the rough look out of the Russell 2000, the poor performance out of Industrials except for Marine Shipping. They also discuss the potential failed breakdown in long-term U.S. Treasuries, Cryptocurrencies, Semiconductors, and market breadth.
- Transcript
S7 · E30
August 21 · 26 min
Episode 310: Surface Tension
In this week's episode David and Ian discuss the Russell 2000, Basic Materials areas of the market like FCX, Copper Miners, Gold Miners, Silver Miners, and the relative charts of the miners to the physical metal. They also discuss the recent price action in Biotechnology, Energy, and Regional Banks and how areas like that can sometimes perk up towards the end of a market cycle, U.S. Treasuries, interest rates, and risk on/risk off metrics in the fixed income markets.
- Transcript
S7 · E29
August 14 · 40 min
Episode 309: Video Killed the Radio Star
In this week's episodeIn this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 is still above the range and 7600, equal-weight to cap-weighted relationships, the strength out of marine transportation stocks, market breadth, interest rate cycles, gambling versus investing, and real estate cycles.
- Transcript
S7 · E28
August 7 · 30 min
Episode 308: Who Let the S&P Out?
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P 500 getting above 7600, areas of the market that have led so far out of the range, precious metals, precious metals miners, fixed income, and credit spreads.
- Transcript
S7 · E27
July 31 · 28 min
Episode 307: Interesting Relatives
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the inability of broad financials, insurance, and healthcare to hold gains made earlier in the week, how European financials and larger global banks continue to stand out, interesting relative relationships, like growth versus value and micro caps versus mega caps. They also discuss the breakdown in long-term US treasuries, recent pullback in the US Dollar, and the continued back and forth between the Magnificent Seven constituents.
- Transcript
S7 · E26
July 24 · 1 hr 1 min
Episode 306: Fake v. Real
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued chop fest, how the Magnificent Seven is a red flag, although at the same time Financials and Transportation stocks look good, which aids the bullish thesis that this consolidation resolves in the direction of the primary trend. They also discuss if the mega cap tech and Magnificent Seven era is over, what is going on with Consumer Staples, Utilities, and is it interest rate or inflation driven. Other topics discussed are tangible assets, the U.S. Dollar, the SpaceX IPO, and the next generation of market technicians.
- Transcript
S7 · E25
July 17 · 26 min
Episode 305: From Magnificent to Migrating
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the S&P 500 continuing to be rangebound, some of the potential concerns with price action of the Nasdaq, margin calls in South Korea, areas of the market holding up well and trying to go out to all time highs. They also discuss which commodities are doing well, especially with the strong U.S. Dollar, international leaders year-to-date, long-term treasuries and interest rates.
- Transcript
S7 · E24
July 10 · 20 min
Episode 304: Worst Episode Ever
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the current consolidation, what they are seeing out of financials, specifically banks, European financials, industrials, small cap areas of the market, like biotech, and improved breadth.
- Transcript
S7 · E23
June 26 · 26 min
Episode 303: Nominal Percent
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the the recent rise in the U.S. Dollar and how that is interesting when paired with Emerging Markets and Small Caps outperformance. They also discuss the current range the S&P 500 has been in since May, the failed breakout in long-term interest rates, market breadth, and thinking in terms of percentages rather than nominal dollar values.
- Transcript
S7 · E22
June 12 · 24 min
Episode 302: Indicative
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the SpaceX IPO taking place today, how the different indices are treating SpaceX, areas of the market that are trying to breakout to new all-time highs, the recent price action for banks and the U.S. Dollar. They also discuss what they would like to see out of the consumer discretionary sector, how transports are still strong, and the World Cup kicking off this week.
- Transcript
S7 · E21
June 5 · 32 min
Episode 301: IPOs and I Don't Knows
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the SpaceX IPO and treatment from major indices and the tough week for cryptocurrencies and commodities. They also discuss the lackluster market breadth and the continued thin market and the strong move from the U.S. Dollar.
- Transcript

Showing 1–20 of 28 episodes