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Neutrality Studies

Pascal

A channel dedicated to neutrality in international relations and analysis of world affairs. For more info, visit neutralitystudies.com

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August 2 · 41 min
No Strikes on Iran, Gulf States Intervene, Trump Claims Deal Near
Trump called off the largest strick on Iran since the beginning of the war that he had been hyping up himself. In a Truth Social tweet, he said that a deal was near. Well, let's review what this actually means and why he was forced to TACO once again.Support us:https://pascallottaz.substack.com https://neutralitystudies-shop.fourth... Important Sources:Aljazeera Desalination Article: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3...Trump Tweet: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTr...Time Stamps00:00 TACO Sunday: The Iran Strike That Didn’t Happen05:52 Trump’s Post: Threats, Reversal, and a Claimed Deal10:37 Iran’s Leverage over Gulf Infrastructure17:50 Iran’s Conventional Second-Strike Strategy34:50 Is the Danger Over? Strategic Outlook
August 2 · 42 min
Escalation to DEFEAT: USA Losing on BOTH Fronts | Stanislav Krapivnik
The wars in West Asia and Eastern Europe are merging. And if you think this is coincidence, then I have a bridge to sell to you. As vertical escalation in both theaters is proving to fail big time, Washington neocons seem to have switched tactics: Horizontal escalation to draw in more parties into a multi-theater war.Pascal and Stas discuss the newest strikes from and into Iran, the risk of the Ukraine and Middle East wars becoming linked, U.S. military and energy limits, drone attacks and Russian restraint, the fighting around Ukraine’s defensive lines, and possible post-war security arrangements. They also debate whether Ukraine’s battlefield position could weaken sharply later this year.Follow Stas here: YouTube: ‪@MrSlavikman‬ X / Twitter: https://x.com/STANISKRAPIVNIKTelegram English: https://t.me/staswasthereenglish2Telegram Russian: https://t.me/stastydaiobratnoSupport us:Neutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction00:00:24 Iran strike claims and wider escalation00:10:02 The U.S. two-front dilemma00:18:39 Russian restraint and Black Sea escalation00:28:10 Ukraine’s defenses and front line pressure00:39:23 Russia’s post-war security strategy
July 30 · 51 min
Ukraine War Narrative COLLAPSES. Europe Starts Panicking | Ian Proud
It is sinking in that despite the Ukraine's much touted "successes" with drone warfare, the battle field is about to change dramatically, as Russia consolidates the last Ukrainian strongholds. Time is running out on the war narrative and the European Elites know it.Ian Proud, former British diplomat and writer behind The Peacemonger, joins Pascal Lottaz to discuss the Ukraine war, Iran, Western media coverage, and Europe’s political and economic problems. They examine Russia’s restraint, Europe’s support for Ukraine, rising energy costs, the EU’s future, public discontent, and the need to rebuild relations between Europe and Russia.Links:Ian Proud on YouTube: / @ianproud The Peacemonger on Substack: https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/Ian Proud on X: https://x.com/proud_diplomatNeutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00 Ukraine, Iran, and US support05:39 Western media and the war narrative08:55 UK policy and public discontent17:01 Russia’s restraint and Europe’s limits26:49 Energy costs and Europe’s future34:50 Hungary and double standards in Europe40:14 Russia’s ties with Europe46:24 What to watch in the months ahead
July 29 · 1 hr 3 min
Politics of Collapse Has Begun: Kiev's Is Hiding THIS | Prof. Nicolai Petro
While the Titanic is sinking, its captain is rearranging the chairs on the deck. No number of burning warehouses in Russia can hide anymore that something very crucial broke in Kiev. Nicolai Petro, Professor of Political Science at the University of Rhode Island and author of The Tragedy of Ukraine, joins Pascal to discuss Russia’s war strategy, strikes on Odesa, drones, and the search for game-changing weapons. They examine Europe’s role, Ukraine’s political future, postwar radicalization, outside influence, possible insurgency, and Zelensky’s leadership changes.Links:Nicolai Petro’s Website: https://npetro.netNeutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction00:00:16 The war situation and Odesa strikes00:08:06 Wonder weapons and drone warfare00:16:22 Russia’s war aims and strategy00:28:22 Ukraine’s political radicalization00:36:36 Western influence after the war00:41:38 Could violence continue after a settlement?00:49:14 Zelensky’s leadership changes00:59:17 Putin, military planning, and political control
July 27 · 1 hr 12 min
🚨Revealed: EX-OSCE Observer DESTROYS Ukraine War Lies | Benoit Pare
Former OSCE observer Benoît Paré returns to discuss his second book, Ukraine: The Great Manipulation. He explains why western mainstream media reporting on Mariupol, Bucha, Kramatorsk, Nord Stream, and the 2022 Istanbul talks left out key facts. Benoit and Pascal discuss war propaganda, calls for independent investigations, and the risks of media narratives driving further escalation.Links:[Book] What I Saw in Ukraine: 2015–2022 – Diary of an International Observerhttps://www.amazon.com/dp/295986011X[Book] Ukraine: The Great Manipulationhttps://www.amazon.com/dp/2959860144Neutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and Benoît Paré’s new book00:00:51 Why Paré wrote a second book00:07:34 US strategy and Ukraine’s role00:15:05 The Mariupol maternity hospital00:19:32 Questions around the Mariupol theater00:32:04 The Bucha timeline and competing claims00:58:36 Kramatorsk and the Istanbul talks01:03:41 Independent investigations and war narratives01:06:17 How propaganda shapes the conflict01:12:16 Where to find Benoît Paré
July 26 · 1 hr 3 min
Asia DESTROYES US Pacific Hegemony. End of Alliances | Prof. Jomo Kwame Sundaram
While the US is busy destroying itself in Eastern Europe and West Asia, East Asia, too, is busy preparing for countering US warmongering. But not the way you think. South East Asia is engaged in its own cat and mouse game with the hegemon. Jomo Kwame Sundaram, Malaysian economist, research adviser at Khazanah Research Institute, emeritus professor, and former UN assistant secretary-general, discusses how the Iran war affects ASEAN energy, food, and trade. He examines Indonesia, the Strait of Malacca, ASEAN neutrality, BRICS, debt and the dollar system, and why the Non-Aligned Movement needs new life through peace, sustainable development, and resistance to militarization.Links:Jomo Kwame Sundaram Substack: https://jomodevplus.substack.comJomo Kwame Sundaram at Inter Press Service: https://www.ipsnews.net/author/jomo-k...Neutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction00:01:01 Iran war impacts on Malaysia and ASEAN00:04:07 How ASEAN sees the Iran war00:07:33 Strait of Malacca and military pressure00:12:38 Non-alignment and Indonesia’s political shift00:19:12 Indonesia’s stability and foreign pressure00:26:55 BRICS, debt, and the Global South00:37:55 Why the Non-Aligned Movement faded00:43:03 Peace and sustainable development00:46:36 How to revive the Non-Aligned Movement00:51:18 Can ASEAN lead non-alignment?00:56:52 A positive vision for the NAM01:00:14 Where to follow Jomo
July 26 · 49 min
🚨 Most DANGEROUS Phase Of Iran War Has Just Begun | Prof. S. M. Marandi
Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi joins Pascal Lottaz to discuss the reported war around Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, attacks on US bases, and growing pressure on Gulf states. They examine the risks to energy, trade, food supplies, and the global economy, as well as Iran’s ties with China and Russia. Marandi also argues that US policy is driven by failed assumptions and lacks a clear plan.Links:Seyed Mohammad Marandi on X: https://x.com/s_m_marandiSeyed Mohammad Marandi on Telegram: https://t.me/s_m_marandiNeutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction and situation in Tehran00:02:24 Hormuz and the end of negotiations00:08:28 Yemen, energy and global economic risks00:13:04 Iran’s shipping corridor in Hormuz00:17:05 Gulf states, diplomacy and escalation00:19:34 US options and critical infrastructure00:24:25 Why Iran is not striking Israel directly00:29:16 China, Russia and Iran’s war economy00:35:46 Does the US have a strategy?00:43:44 How long can the war continue?00:47:33 Where to follow Marandi and recommended books
July 21 · 52 min
Iran Checkmate: US War-Regime COLLAPSING Fast | Danny Haiphong
American journalist Danny Haiphong joins Pascal Lottaz to discuss the Iran war, US power, public anger in the United States, and the rise of a multipolar world. They examine Iran’s military and media strategy, China’s growing appeal, Russia’s role, economic sovereignty, and what a post-imperial West could contribute to a more balanced global system.Links:Danny Haiphong YouTube: / @geopoliticshaiphong The Chronicles of Haiphong Substack: https://chroniclesofhaiphong.substack...Danny Haiphong on X: https://x.com/GeopoliticsDHNeutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction00:00:30 The state of the US empire00:09:42 US public anger and elite interests00:20:16 Iran, Russia and China’s soft power00:35:20 Economic sovereignty and Western decline00:43:36 What the West can still contribute
July 21 · 33 min
Iran Wreaks HAVOC on US Forces. American Civil War Brewing | Col. Daniel Davis
After three rounds of attack in less than two years, the US/Israeli war alliance is at the weakest point in decades. The damage the unsuccessful military campaign are doing to US power projection is enormous. Join me to night for a talk with Colonel Daniel Davis, the host of ‪@DanielDavisDeepDive‬. Check out Danny's foreign language channels:French: / @danieldavisdeepdivefrance German: / @danieldavisdeepdivegermany Spanish: / @danieldavisdeepdivespanish Portuguese: / @danieldavisdeepdiveportuguese Italian: / @danieldavisdeepdiveitalian Russian: / @danieldavisdeepdiverussia Chinese: / @ddddchinese And here you can support Neutrality Studies:Our Substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.com Our Shop: https://neutralitystudies-shop.fourth... Donations: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00 Iran Escalation and the Strait of Hormuz14:00 Why the U.S.–Iran Agreement Failed21:45 Nuclear Escalation and the Lack of an Exit Strategy26:07 America’s Rapidly Depleting Missile Stockpiles29:31 The Failure of America’s Post-Cold War Doctrine34:19 What Could Finally Force U.S. Policy to Change?39:38 Election Distrust and the Risk of Domestic Crackdowns
July 20 · 55 min
Russia's Biggest FEAR | Prof. Alastair Renfrew
They keep portraying Russia as a power-hungry mad-dog. But the truth is that whoever the leadership in Moscow (or St. Petersburg) was, the one thing all leaders wanted above all, was security. Security from centuries of invasion. Just how to communicate that to a West that is hell-bend on claiming the Kremlin is an expansionist power?Professor Alistair Renfrew of Durham University discusses the West’s long-running misunderstanding of Russian security policy. He examines Russian fears of invasion, the civil war intervention, NATO expansion, Georgia, Ukraine, the Minsk process, failed peace talks, and Europe’s rearmament. Renfrew argues that Russia’s policy is mainly defensive and warns that Europe is taking risks without a clear path to peace.Find Alastair on Substack: @alessandrodelguado &Alastair’s Novel: www.faktionbooks.comSupport us here:Neutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction00:00:54 Why Russia Is Misunderstood00:04:53 Soviet Fears and Foreign Intervention00:09:50 Allied Intervention in 1918–2200:13:16 The Lasting Impact of World War II00:17:15 Why Russia’s Message Is Ignored00:26:55 Georgia and the Provocation Trap00:31:17 Minsk, Donbas and the 2022 Talks00:35:11 Who Gains From the War?00:42:59 Why Europe Is Rearming00:49:58 Can Russia Avoid a Wider War?00:53:42 Where to Follow Alistair Renfrew
July 20 · 59 min
The Next ESCALATION Against Russia | Dr. Jeff Rich
Jeff Rich, Australian historian and creator of The Burning Archive, joins Pascal Lottaz to discuss NATO’s changing role, Europe’s growing military stance toward Russia, and the limits of the “US vassal” view. They trace the history and emotion behind anti-Russian feeling, question “civilization” as a political lens, and examine Australia’s ties to Russia, migration, and the US-led order.Jeff's great Interview with Richard Sakwa: • Video Links:The Burning Archive Substack: https://jeffrich.substack.comThe Burning Archive YouTube: / @theburningarchive Neutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and NATO 3.009:22 NATO, Europe, and US power21:02 The long roots of anti-Russianism36:00 Civilization, realism, and fear50:28 Australia, Russia, and migration
July 19 · 42 min
War Machine REACTIVATED: US Ground Invasion Prep As Missiles Run Low | Larry C. Johnson
Desperate times call for desperate wars. As the US is failing to subdue Iran with missile strikes, the crazies in Washington are cooking up an even bigger screw-up: Ground invasion.Larry C. Johnson joins Pascal to discuss the renewed US-Iran war, pressure on Gulf states, the Strait of Hormuz, and the risk of fuel shortages. They examine US missile and drone stocks, Iran’s military options, China’s role, Saudi Arabia and Yemen, possible ground operations, and Washington’s conflict with international law.Links:Transition Protocol: / @transition_protocol Sonar21: https://sonar21.comNeutrality Studies substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.comMerch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donateTimestamps:00:00:00 Introduction and renewed Iran war00:07:24 Gulf strategy and Saudi Arabia’s Yemen move00:13:31 Gulf states, US bases and China’s role00:21:02 US drones and the limits of ground war00:30:53 Missile stocks, fuel shortages and international law
July 16 · 32 min
US Loses Gulf States, Starts New Front, Demands Impunity
The US-Israeli war alliance is losing its allies in the gulf. The resumption of the Iran War is a reflection of US desperation and the best idea Washington has? Start a new front against international law itself. The decline of the empire is accelerating.Support us on Substack: https://pascallottaz.substack.com Merch: https://neutralitystudies.com/shopDonation: https://neutralitystudies.com/donate

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