Private Credit Freezes as Investors Want Their Money Back | Ed Dowd

Edward Dowd, Founding Partner of Phinance Technologies, joins Kitco News Senior Anchor Jeremy Szafron to break down why the real estate market is completely frozen and why private credit funds are beginning to gate withdrawals. Dowd outlines the exact macro sequence that he believes will drive gold prices to $10,000 by 2030.

Dowd details that the U.S. housing market is currently experiencing a "buyer strike," with 75% of real estate agents failing to make a sale in the past year. He argues that home prices are roughly 30% overvalued and will need to reset lower. Turning to the stock market, Dowd warns that the S&P 500 is dangerously concentrated, with 45% of its market cap in AI and AI-adjacent tech, projecting zero forward returns for the index over the next decade. He also exposes the growing risks in private credit, noting that flows have paused and Wall Street is currently bundling these funds into insurance wrappers—a move he compares to the credit alchemy of the Great Financial Crisis. Finally, Dowd shares why he is completely out of equities and holding a portfolio of cash, long-dated treasuries, and physical gold to protect against a deflationary slowdown.

Recorded July 21 2026

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