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UBS On-Air: House View

Chief Investment Office

House View brings you daily, weekly, and monthly content covering our multi-asset views on economic trends and financial markets from the UBS Chief Investment Office

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  • 85 episodes
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  • English

Episodes 85

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  • Friday · length unknown

    House View Daily | Chip rout tests AI investment case

    US stocks fell sharply on Thursday, led by semiconductor and AI infrastructure companies, as investors reassessed the implications of the election for data center development. We view the decline as a positioning reset rather than indicative of a lasting downturn in the AI investment cycle and see potential for gains in broad equity indices over the next 6-12 months. At the same time, with further volatility possible, investors should focus on managing concentration risks, rebalancing excessive technology exposure, and building a strong multi-asset core portfolio.

  • Thursday · length unknown

    House View Daily | Gridlock and diplomatic hopes lift US stocks

    The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday as markets digested the Democratic sweep of Congress in the US. The prospect of gridlock reduced the likelihood of radical policy changes, while the clear result eased political uncertainty. Resilient earnings are shifting investors’ focus back to fundamentals, and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic progress have pushed oil prices lower. We think investors should stay invested while diversifying concentrated technology exposure and maintaining hedges against geopolitical risks. Democratic control of Congress may raise political noise and fiscal uncertainty, but investors should avoid repositioning portfolios around the election result alone.

  • November 2 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Tech sell-off highlights rising scrutiny of AI spending

    The US stock market fell sharply on Friday as investors scrutinized potential returns on the AI investment cycle. While the 3Q earnings season is demonstrating that underlying AI demand remains robust, investors are demanding clearer evidence that rising AI investment will generate adequate returns. We believe investors should retain AI exposure but reduce excessive single-stock concentration, manage tech overexposure, and diversify more broadly.

  • October 30 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Build resilience as tech volatility rises

    Concerns about AI capital spending and renewed geopolitical risks have weighed on equities. But resilient economic growth, robust demand for AI infrastructure, and strong earnings continue to support the equity outlook. Investors should stay invested and maintain a well-diversified portfolio.

  • October 29 · length unknown

    House View Daily | AI delivers despite volatility

    Accelerating cloud revenue and continued investment indicate that AI demand remains robust. We believe AI remains a key market growth engine, though investors should favor quality and manage concentrated positions.

  • October 28 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Measured Fed tightening should not derail markets

    The Fed is likely to tighten policy further in the coming months despite an expected hold today. But we think market pricing remains too hawkish. Investors should maintain diversified equity exposure while adding selectively to quality bonds and gold.

  • October 27 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Diversify beyond the AI rally

    The latest tech-led advance reflects continued confidence in AI demand, but high expectations and company-specific risks strengthen the case for looking beyond a narrow group of market leaders. We favor diversified equity exposure that includes Power and resources, Longevity, and opportunities outside the US.

  • October 26 · length unknown

    Jumpstart | Your guide to the week ahead

    This week we take a look at whether the Fed will remain patient as energy costs sustain inflation risks. If earnings can support further equity gains beyond the AI trade, and whether European earnings resilience outweigh fiscal and policy risks.

  • October 22 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Build resilience as oil prices climb

    Continued attacks in the Middle East have pushed Brent crude above USD 111/bbl, adding to concerns over energy supplies and inflation. But the global energy system’s capacity to adapt, together with portfolio exposure to broad commodities, should help investors manage volatility while staying invested.

  • October 21 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Strengthen portfolio defenses as volatility rises

    Questions around AI profitability, elevated rates, and geopolitical tensions may keep markets volatile through the earnings season. Yet we remain constructive on equities and expect AI-related growth to support corporate earnings. Investors can complement diversified equity exposure with structured strategies, select hedge funds, and commodities.

  • October 20 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Tech earnings face the returns test

    US mega-cap technology companies' earnings should provide fresh evidence of the strength of cloud growth, digital advertising, and AI adoption. Investors will also look for clearer signs of monetization and returns on investment. We remain constructive on the AI opportunity and favor diversified exposure across hyperscalers, high-quality infrastructure beneficiaries, and defensive tech firms.

  • October 19 · length unknown

    House View Daily | AI fundamentals remain robust despite market volatility

    Funding pressures are testing the growth model of specialized cloud infrastructure providers, but demand for AI compute remains robust. Resilient semiconductor earnings and rising GPU rental rates support our positive view on the structural growth of AI. We favor well-funded hyperscalers, high-quality beneficiaries of AI spending, and defensive tech names.

  • October 16 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Quality bonds for income and diversification

    While bond market volatility may persist, elevated yields and the potential for less Fed tightening than markets expect strengthen the outlook for fixed income. We continue to rate fixed income as Attractive and see quality bonds as a source of income and portfolio stability.

  • October 15 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Higher inflation need not derail US assets

    US inflation accelerated more than expected in September, increasing expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes. But we do not expect a measured tightening cycle to undermine the positive outlook for US assets. We remain positive on equities and fixed income.

  • October 14 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Semis stumble. Time to reboot expectations?

    A sharp sell-off in semiconductor stocks has reignited questions about the durability of the AI trade. But with earnings expectations still strong, cloud growth accelerating, and valuations becoming more attractive, we take this as more of a reset of expectations than a break in the AI thesis.

  • October 12 · length unknown

    House View Daily | Commodity fundamentals speak for further upside

    Geopolitical and macro uncertainties are driving near-term commodity volatility, but tight supply and durable demand remain supportive of the outlook. We see broad commodity exposure as a source of returns, diversification, and portfolio resilience.

Showing 1–20 of 85 episodes