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Practical Venture Capital

a very bad ๐Ÿ’ฉpodcast about VC secondaries broken unicorns โค๏ธโ€๐Ÿฉน๐Ÿฆ„ & busted carry ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ™ˆ

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  • 32 episodes
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Counted on this page โ€” what you have heard stays on this device, so it is not something the list can be paged by.
  • #36
    May 26 ยท 1 hr 1 min

    I Read the 308-Page SpaceX S-1 So You Donโ€™t Have To

    Aman read all 308 pages of the SpaceX S-1 so you don't have to. This week we break down every major number, surprise, and buried Easter egg in the filing โ€” plus the biggest IPO week in recent memory across the AI holy trinity. SpaceX is pricing around June 12 and could open at a $2T+ valuation. We walk through all three business segments (Connectivity, Space, AI), the $28.5 trillion TAM claim, Elon's compensation plan that pays out $583B if he colonizes Mars, the unusual staggered lock-up structure, and the two breadcrumbs in the S-1 that suggest a SpaceX-Tesla merger could be coming. We also cover Anthropic's monster quarter ($10.9B in Q2 revenue, profitable, raising at $900B), OpenAI rushing to beat them to IPO after winning the Musk lawsuit, NVIDIA's $81B print growing 85% YoY, Mercury's $200M Series D at $5.2B, the US government taking equity stakes in quantum companies, and Nasdaq Private Markets suing Hiive over secondary market plumbing. A lot happened this week. 00:43 - [ tech news and vc ] 08:04 - Anthropic profitable, $900B looks cheap ๐Ÿคฏ 13:38 - OpenAI rushes to IPO after courtroom win ๐Ÿƒโ€โ™‚๏ธโ€โžก๏ธ 17:53 - NVIDIA $82B print $80B buyback ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿซฒ 22:20 - Mercury $200M Series D @ $5.2B ๐Ÿฆ 25:35 - US Govt = Quantum VC โš›๏ธ 29:05 - NPM sues Hiive over 2ndry plumbing ๐Ÿช  30:58 - [ val corner: 308 page SpaceX S-1 ] 31:06 - SpaceX S-1 highlights ๐Ÿ“ธ๐Ÿ”ฆ 35:56 - $28T TAM includes Martians ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ–โœจ 37:00 - 3 core biz units: Connectivity, Space, AI 3๏ธโƒฃ 47:05 - SpaceX-Tesla merger? ๐Ÿค” 50:10 - board members revealed ๐Ÿ‘ค 53:48 - unusual staggered lock-up period ๐Ÿ” 1:01:00 - Dave sings a whole new Mars ๐ŸŽถ [ links ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] Thank you for watching #spacexs1 #spacexipo #spacex #secondaries #venturecapital

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  • #35
    May 21 ยท 1 hr 10 min

    $900B Anthropic, SpaceX IPO Date, and the SPV Wild West w/ Clara Vydyanath | Trading Places Pod EP35

    IPO season is here โ€” and private markets are breaking at the seams. This week on Trading Places: Cerebras just had one of the best IPOs in years, pricing way above range and popping 68% on day one. SpaceX is targeting June 12th for its Nasdaq listing โ€” and the prospectus drops next week. Anthropic raised $30B at a $900B valuation (up from ~$350B just three months ago) โ€” and then told SPV operators to back off. And Anduril closed a $5B round at $61B, doubling its valuation in under a year. Then Dave and Aman sit down with Clara Vydyanath, a secondaries veteran who's spent eight years at Forge and Hiive, to break down what's actually happening in the SPV market โ€” who's legit, who's a scammer, and what CFOs should be doing right now. Plus: retail VC part two, where Aman pits AngelList's USVC (Naval Ravikant + Ankur Nagpal) against Cathie Wood's Ark Ventures. One of them has a track record problem. Timestamps: cold open [ tech news and vc ] 00:53 - Warsh confirmed as new Fed chair ๐Ÿช‘ 03:32 - Hormuz "you shall not pass" ๐Ÿšข๐Ÿง™โ€โ™‚๏ธ 07:05 - Cerebras blockbuster IPO ๐Ÿ“ˆ 12:28 - SpaceX IPO date around June 12 ๐Ÿš€ 15:56 - Anthropic raises $30B @ $900B valuation ๐Ÿ’ฐ 28:30 - Anduril closes $5B @ $61B ๐Ÿ›ซ 30:07 - [ intvw: Clara Vydyanath, 2ndry advisor ] What she learned at Hiive & Forge ๐Ÿง  33:52 - SPVs and Anthropic โœ‹ 39:43 - What will happen after IPO summer ๐Ÿ”ฎ 44:20 - Wild West of 2ndries is only beginning ๐Ÿค  46:00 - CFOs tender offer playbook ๐Ÿ“• 58:50 - [ val corner: retail VC part 2 ] Closed end funds: AngelList & Ark Invest ๐Ÿ“ 1:00:33 - AngelList USVC portfolio breakdown ๐Ÿ˜‡ 1:02:35 - ARKK Ventures Ark Invest portfolio breakdown ๐ŸŒˆ 1:05:10 - Portfolio strategy and fees faceoff ๐ŸฅŠ 1:06:00 - Ankur Nagpal vs Cathie Wood ๐Ÿคบ 1:10:10 - second takes ๐Ÿ˜‚ [ links ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ clara vydyanath = https://www.linkedin.com/in/clara-vydyanath-cfa-cpa-14287316/ | https://x.com/ClaraVydyanath ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] Thank you for watching #tradingplacespodcast #SpaceX #ClaraVydyanath #davemcclure #SpaceXIPO

  • #34
    May 14 ยท 1 hr 3 min

    Anthropic's $44B Revenue Run Rate, SpaceX's $75B IPO Problem, and the Retail VC Trap | Ep 34

    Anthropic is now reportedly running at a $44B ARR pace, secondary markets are valuing it north of $1T, and demand is turning into full-scale FOMO. This week on Trading Places, Dave McClure and Aman Verjee break down: 00:00 โ€” cold open 00:39 โ€” [ tech and vc news ] 01:53 โ€” Markets ATH during Iran war ๐Ÿ’ฅ 06:45 โ€” SpaceX + Anthropic $4B deal ๐Ÿค 10:51 โ€” New NASDAQ rules benefit SpaceX ๐Ÿ”” 15:21 โ€” Anthropic raising $50B @ $900B, ARR accelerating ๐Ÿ“ˆ 18:20 โ€” Sam and Elon courtroom drama ๐Ÿฟ 23:21 โ€” Cerebras IPO 20x oversubscribed ๐ŸฅŠ 25:14 โ€” SaaS-pocalypse continues โ›ˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰ 27:47 โ€” [ valuation corner: retail VC part 1 ] Non-accredited investors want private stock ๐Ÿ™ 29:11 โ€” Robinhood Ventures w/ Sarah Pinto & Vlad Tenev 1๏ธโƒฃ 30:15 โ€” Fundrise w/ Ben Miller 2๏ธโƒฃ 33:00 โ€” D/XYZ w/ Soheil Prasad 3๏ธโƒฃ 36:39 โ€” Which would Dave pick? ๐Ÿค” 41:35 โ€” [ VC secondary 101 w/ dave mcclure ] What is secondary? ๐ŸŒˆ 43:03 โ€” Size of the market ๐Ÿ“ˆ 44:53 โ€” Why people buy/sell ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ 47:41 โ€” What are Secret Stallions ๐Ÿด 48:45 โ€” Three deal strategies ๐Ÿง  [ links ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] Thank you for watching #tradingplacespodcast #secondary101 #vcsecondary #davemcclure #anthropicstock

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  • #33
    May 7 ยท 1 hr 14 min

    Anthropic at $900B, OpenAI Slipping | Sacra & Augment Power 20 Private Companies | Cohere Valuation | Ep 33

    Anthropic is accelerating at a pace the tech world has never seen. In Episode 33 of Trading Places, Dave McClure, Aman Verjee, Marcelo Ballvรฉ (Sacra), and Adam Crawley (Augment) break down the AI valuation frenzy, OpenAIโ€™s growing pressure, hyperscaler spending, Cohereโ€™s international AI strategy, and whether SpaceXโ€™s trillion-dollar valuation has completely detached from fundamentals. Timestamps: [ tech and vc news ] 00:53 โ€“ Iran hits markets ๐Ÿ’ฅ 05:00 โ€“ Hyperscalers $700B AI CapEx ๐Ÿ’ธ 12:31 โ€“ Anthropic raises $50B at $900B+ ๐Ÿš€ 13:51 โ€“ Musk vs Altman courthouse battle ๐ŸฅŠ 18:22 โ€“ OpenAI eyes 2027 IPO ๐Ÿ‘€ 21:35 โ€“ Cerebras IPO imminent ๐Ÿ 23:18 โ€“ Founders Fund $6B with 25% GP commit ๐Ÿ˜ฎ 25:41 โ€“ Sierra raises $950M at $15.8B ๐Ÿš€ 29:16 โ€“ GameStop bids $56B for eBay ๐Ÿ’ฐ 31:39 โ€“ [ intvw: Marcelo Ballve @ SACRA + Adam Crawley @ Augment ] 33:16 โ€“ Why Anthropic beat OpenAI ๐Ÿ† 35:35 โ€“ Defense tech crashes the top 20 ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ 41:06 โ€“ SpaceX at $2T โ€” vibes or fundamentals? ๐Ÿš€ 47:35 โ€“ Most stretched valuation on the list ๐Ÿ˜ฌ 54:51 โ€“ Retail VC fund trap ๐Ÿ‘Ž 1:02:24 โ€“ AGI in 18 months? ๐Ÿค– 1:04:23 โ€“ [ valuation corner: Cohere @ $7B ] 1:05:40 โ€“ Canadian roots and team ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 1:09:45 โ€“ Aleph Alpha German acquisition ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช 1:10:01 โ€“ The anti-US & anti-China play ๐Ÿ™…โ€โ™‚๏ธ 1:13:08 โ€“ second takes ๐Ÿ˜‚ [ links ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ adam crawley = https://www.linkedin.com/in/adam-crawley-b2146753/ | https://x.com/adamcrawley1 ] [ augment = https://augment.market/ ] [ marcelo ballvรฉ = https://www.linkedin.com/in/marceloballve/ | https://x.com/ballve ] [ sacra = http://sacra.com/ ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] Thank you for watching **Please note: Inclusion in the Augment Power 20 does not predict future performance and should not be considered investment advice. For informational purposes only. Augment Markets, Inc. is a technology company offering software and data services with securities-related services offered through its wholly-owned but separately managed subsidiary Augment Capital, LLC, Member of FINRA/ SIPC. Read our full disclosure statement here. #tradingplacespodcast #sacra #augmentmarkets #davemcclure #cohere

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  • #32
    April 30 ยท 47 min

    Anthropic Hits $1T, OpenAI Struggling, Elon Reloads with $60B Cursor Deal | Trading Places Podcast E32

    Anthropic just crossed a $1 trillion valuationโ€ฆ and may have officially passed OpenAI. Meanwhile, Elon Musk is making movesโ€”SpaceX is partnering with (and possibly acquiring) Cursor in a $60B deal, while OpenAI races to stay competitive with new releases like GPT-5.5 and Images 2.0. This week on Trading Places, Dave McClure and Aman Verjee break down one of the wildest weeks in AI, venture capital, and secondary markets: โ€” The Fed shakeup and what it means for interest rates โ€” Iran war tensions and global market implications โ€” Anthropicโ€™s meteoric rise past OpenAI โ€” SpaceXโ€™s massive AI bet with Cursor โ€” OpenAIโ€™s latest product push โ€” AngelList opening venture capital to retail investors โ€” The rise of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi Plus: a deep dive into Cursorโ€”the fastest-growing SaaS company everโ€”and why SpaceX wants it. 00:00 โ€“ cold open [ tech and vc news ] 01:22 โ€“ Warsh fed chair moves Up ๐Ÿช‘ 03:52 โ€“ Iran war ends when ๐Ÿค” 06:15 โ€“ Anthropic $1T valuation ๐Ÿ’ฐ 08:10 โ€“ Cursor & SpaceX engage ๐Ÿ‘ฐโ€โ™€๏ธ 14:21 โ€“ OpenAI launches GPT 5.5 + images 2.0 ๐Ÿš‚ 17:54 โ€“ AngelList launches USVC ๐Ÿ’ธ 25:11 โ€“ Polymarket & Kalshi double down ๐ŸŽฒ 29:25 โ€“ [ valuation corner: Cursor @ $50B ] what is Cursor ๐Ÿค– 31:24 โ€“ CEO & MIT team ๐Ÿ‘ฅ 33:12 โ€“ Why SpaceX wants Cursor & vice versa ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’’ 38:23 โ€“ early investors a16z + Thrive ๐Ÿค‘ 39:56 โ€“ Sam Bankman-Fried almost won big ๐Ÿ™…โ€โ™‚๏ธ [ spv: Equitybee ] 44:27 โ€“ why we invested in Equitybee ๐Ÿ 46:15 โ€“ how you can join the SPV ๐Ÿ‘ 46:53 โ€“ spinal cap debut ๐ŸŽถ [ links: ] [ equitybee SPV invest = https://practicalvc.com/eb ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee/ | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] #cursorspacex #spacexcursor #venturecapital #secondarymarkets #secondaries

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  • #31
    April 22 ยท 42 min

    SpaceX, Saronic, and the New Era of Defense Tech Investing | Trading Places Podcast Ep31

    Markets hit all-time highs in 11 trading days. Someone shorted oil 20 minutes before Trump spoke. SpaceX wants to raise $75B at a $2T valuation. And an autonomous naval defense startup just hit a $9.25B valuation โ€” and almost no one's talking about it. Dave and Aman break down the biggest stories in venture and tech: the OpenAI executive exodus, why Stripe and Databricks still won't IPO, the continuation vehicle boom reshaping VC fund structures, and a deep valuation dive on Saronic โ€” the defense tech company building autonomous warships for the US Navy. Timestamps: 00:00 โ€” Cold open 00:36 โ€” Tech & VC news 01:56 โ€” OpenAI C-suite exodus ๐Ÿ’จ 05:52 โ€” Markets ATH despite Iran War ๐Ÿš€ 11:56 โ€” How to price the SpaceX IPO ๐Ÿค” 19:53 โ€” Cerebras IPO is greenlit ๐ŸŸข 21:43 โ€” VC top 15 mega raise ๐Ÿ’ฐ 25:48 โ€” Iconiq: celebrity wealth advisor to the stars ๐Ÿ“ธ 27:27 โ€” Stripe, Databricks, Canva IPO mirage ๐Ÿ‘ป 30:15 โ€” Continuation vehicle boom ๐Ÿš– 33:26 โ€” Valuation Corner: Saronic @ $9.25B ๐Ÿ›ณ 41:44 โ€” Second takes [ links: ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee/ | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] #VentureCapital #SpaceXIPO #StartupValuation #TechInvesting #Saronic

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  • #30
    April 14 ยท 59 min

    Anthropic Passes OpenAI ($30B ARR), SpaceX Lost $5B & How EquityBee Unlocks Employee Equity | Ep. 30

    Trading Places is the only VC secondary podcast on the internet. Each week, Dave McClure and Aman Verjee break down the biggest stories in venture capital, tech, and private markets โ€” with the insider perspective most shows don't have access to. This week's guest is Oren Barzilai, founder and CEO of EquityBee โ€” the platform that funds startup employees' stock option exercises via forward contracts, giving them access to liquidity most never see. 00:00 โ€” cold open 00:45 โ€” [ tech and vc news ] 01:28 โ€” Iran war vs. markets ๐Ÿ’ฅ 03:49 โ€” OpenAI c-suite shakeup ๐Ÿช‡ 05:29 โ€” Anthropic $30B ARR goes BRRR ๐Ÿ’ธ 10:48 โ€” Claude Mythos mystery ๐Ÿซ† 13:47 โ€” SpaceX financials leaked ๐Ÿซ— 16:13 โ€” CoreWeave deal with Anthropic & Meta ๐Ÿค 18:17 โ€” [ intvw: Oren Barzilai @ EquityBee ] 18:29 โ€” What EquityBee does ๐Ÿ 21:08 โ€” Who uses EquityBee ๐Ÿ‘ค 31:02 โ€” How much do people sell ๐Ÿ’ฐ 31:41 โ€” Which secondary stock is most in demand ๐Ÿซด 34:50 โ€” Risks and rewards of stock options โš ๏ธ๐Ÿš€ 42:21 โ€” PVC + EquityBee partnership ๐Ÿ™Œ 49:08 โ€” [ valuation corner: Whoop vs. Oura ] 49:14 โ€” Whoop vs. Oura use cases ๐Ÿƒโ€โ™‚๏ธ 50:50 โ€” Whoop ideal customer ๐Ÿ’ช 52:22 โ€” Oura ideal customer ๐Ÿ’ 54:57 โ€” Whoop vs. Oura financials ๐Ÿง 57:22 โ€” Who IPOs first? ๐Ÿ [ links: ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ oren barzilai = https://www.linkedin.com/in/orenbarzilai/ | https://x.com/orenbarzilai ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee/ | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] #VentureCapital #DaveMcClure #AmanVerjee #equitybee #OrenBarzilai

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  • #29
    March 31 ยท 1 hr 2 min

    SpaceX $2T IPO ?!? ๐Ÿš€ Shield AI = next Anduril ๐Ÿ›ฉ๏ธ Shri Bhashyam Sydecar grows to $4B SPVs | Ep29

    SpaceX just filed its confidential IPO prospectus โ€” and prediction markets say it will be June 3rd, Elon's birthday, during a rare 6-planet alignment. Anthropic is on a generational heater โ€” Opus 4.6, Cowork, enterprise momentum โ€” while OpenAI cuts Sora and kills the Disney deal trying to find focus. Prediction markets now say Anthropic IPOs first, 60/40 chance. In Episode 29 of Trading Places, Dave McClure and Aman Verjee reshuffle the Private Mag7 โ€“ Anthropic jumps, OpenAI slides. Shield AI breaks into the conversation after closing at a $12.7B valuationJeff Bezos announces a $100B AI manufacturing fund โ€” and Dave says it's 100% getting raised, probably oversubscribed. The Meta/YouTube social media addiction verdict that spooked the entire tech sector.Plus a deep dive with Shri Bhashyam, COO of Sydecar, on how SPVs are becoming a permanent part of every investor's toolkit โ€” and why layered SPVs aren't always the villain people think they are. Timestamps: 00:00 โ€” cold open 00:49 โ€” [ tech and vc news ] 00:49 โ€” #7 of private Mag7 02:21 โ€” Iran war end when 03:35 โ€” Why June for SpaceX IPO 05:34 โ€” First to go public: Anthropic or OpenAI 10:23 โ€” Bezos seeks $100B 14:02 โ€” Meta & YouTube found liable 19:12 โ€” Ex-Kalshi launch 5cc 21:27 โ€” [ intvw: Shri Bhashyam @ Sydecar] 21:52 โ€” Forge โžก๏ธ EquityZen 24:22 โ€” SPV secondaries vs primaries 29:04 โ€” Trajectory to $4B AUA 41:40 โ€” SPV fee structure warning 51:05 โ€” DEAL act to set privates free 54:50 โ€” [ valuation corner: Shield AI @ $12.7B ] 55:59 โ€” Shield AI marvel story 56:40 โ€” What Shield AI does 57:41 โ€” Anduril playbook 1:01:04 โ€” Future of defense tech 1:02:02 โ€” second takes [ links: ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ aman verjee = / aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = / davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] [ shri bhashyam = / davemcclure | https://x.com/ShriBhashyam ]

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  • #28
    March 25 ยท 31 min

    Polymarket vs Kalshi ($20B), OpenAI vs Anthropic (IPO?), Tesla & SpaceX create Austin Terafab | Ep28

    Dave and Aman break down a packed week in VC and tech โ€” from macro headwinds threatening the IPO window to the big question of whether SpaceX and Tesla are quietly becoming one company.The Private Mag7 gets a full ranking debate: SpaceX is comfortably #1 at over a trillion, but Anduril's surprise $20B DoD contract has it punching into the top three. OpenAI just raised the biggest private round ever โ€” so why is the CMO telling everyone to stop doing side quests?Valuation Corner goes deep on the prediction market arms race. Kalshi hit $260M revenue in 2025 and is now running at a $1.5B run rate. Polymarket is still early on monetization but sitting on massive on-chain activity. Both just crossed $20B valuations. Dave and Aman stack them up against DraftKings and FanDuel โ€” and make their call.Plus: Kraken pulls its IPO, PayPal finally launches stablecoins in 70 countries, and a $55M prop bet on Cardi B turns into a legal mess.00:00 โ€” cold open[ tech and vc news ] 0:33 โ€” "you shall not pass" straits of hormuz โœ‹2:58 โ€” private mag7 rankings ๐Ÿ†6:04 โ€” elon terafab in austin ๐Ÿ”‹7:21 โ€” Tesla x SpaceX super merger? ๐Ÿค10:26 โ€” OpenAI abandons sidequests ๐Ÿซณ11:41 โ€” who will take no. 7 ๐Ÿ””14:57 โ€” Kraken freezes IPO plan ๐Ÿฅถ16:25 โ€” PayPal expands stablecoin ๐ŸŒ[ valuation corner: prediction markets ] 18:07 โ€” Kalshi vs. Polymarket ๐ŸฅŠ20:15 โ€” the incumbents: DraftKings & FanDuel ๐Ÿ‘ด๐Ÿป27:42 โ€” which is best bet? ๐Ÿ’ฐ28:40 โ€” the tale of cardi b ๐Ÿ’ƒ30:45 โ€” second takes[ links: ][ invest = https://practicalvc.com ][ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ][ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ][ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ]#VentureCapital #DaveMcclure #AmanVerjee #TradingPlacesPodcast

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  • #27
    March 18 ยท 1 hr 12 min

    Nvidia $4.4T vs Cerebras $23B Val | Why Private Prices Are Wrong with Nick Fusco of PM Insights | Episode 27

    Episode 27 of Trading Places asks a simple question: Are we pricing AI companies completely wrong? This week, Dave McClure and Aman Verjee are joined by Nick Fusco, founder of PM Insights, a private markets intelligence platform focused on tracking valuations, secondaries, and what assets are actually trading for beneath the surface. From Cerebras at $23B to Nvidia at $4.4T, the spread in valuations is massive โ€” but the underlying dynamics are even more confusing. Meanwhile, Anthropic is adding $5B in ARR in a single month, robotics startups are raising at extreme multiples, and secondary markets are quietly revealing what assets are actually worth. So whatโ€™s realโ€ฆ and whatโ€™s mispriced? If youโ€™re investing, building, or just trying to understand AI right now โ€” this episode breaks down where the market might be getting it wrong. Timestamps: 00:00 โ€” cold open 00:50 โ€” [ tech & vc news ] 00:50 โ€” Private Mag 7 + 3 Impostors ๐Ÿง 04:34 โ€” Anthropic vs OpenAI ๐ŸฅŠ 05:23 โ€” Figure Robotics $39B val ๐Ÿคช 08:00 โ€” Iran: Straits of Hormuz vs. Price of Oil ๐Ÿ”ฎ 15:00 โ€” Oracle & Meta Layoffs ๐Ÿšถโ€โ™‚๏ธโ€โžก๏ธ 19:43 โ€” VC MAG 7 ๐Ÿ† 28:11 โ€” Atoms: Travis is BACK ๐Ÿค– 30:20 โ€” Mind Robotics raises $500M ๐Ÿ’ฐ 31:17 โ€” Replit $9B val ๐Ÿ’ธ 33:16 โ€” [ intvw: Nick Fusco, PM Insights ] From public to private markets ๐Ÿ™‡โ€โ™‚๏ธ 41:05 โ€” Their competitive advantage ๐Ÿ’ช 42:40 โ€” Databricks example ๐Ÿ“ 49:58 โ€” Down rounds and repricing ๐Ÿ“‰ 1:02:43 โ€” SpaceX IPO & Robinhood private stock ๐Ÿค” [ val corner: Cerebras @ $23B ] 1:04:17 โ€” Cerebras vs NVIDIA ๐Ÿคบ 1:06:37 โ€” 5x revenue in one year ๐Ÿ“ˆ 1:07:01 โ€” S1 weakness ๐Ÿ’ฃ 1:12:05 โ€” second takes [ links: ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ nick fusco = https://www.linkedin.com/in/nickfusco/ | ] [ PM insights = https://www.pminsights.com/ | https://x.com/P_M_Insights | https://www.linkedin.com/company/pm-insights/ ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] #VentureCapital #PrivateMarkets #SecondaryMarkets #TradingPlacesPodcast

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  • #26
    March 10 ยท 1 hr 13 min

    Iran Tanks IPOs | 2026 VC Outlook with PitchBook & CB Insights | ByteDance @ $550B | Ep26

    Dave and Aman break down how the Iran conflict is rattling markets โ€” and what oil futures backwardation is signaling about how long it lasts. Then: Anduril closes at a $60B valuation (a portfolio company for Dave and Aman โ€” they got in at $14B), Palmer Luckey vs. Dario Amodei, Anthropic getting flagged as a supply chain risk by the Pentagon, Kraken connecting to the Fed, Robinhood's $RVI fund underwhelming at launch, and the secondary market hitting a record $226B in 2025. We bring in Emily Zheng (PitchBook) and Jason Saltzman (CB Insights) for a deep data dive: 53% of unicorns are worse off year-over-year, AI companies are raising multiple rounds within 12 months, and LP appetite isn't coming back fully in 2026. Plus their bold predictions for the year ahead. And in Val Corner: Aman goes solo to break down ByteDance at $550B โ€” a full sum-of-parts across Douyin, TikTok International, and TikTok US. Was it a bargain at $330B last fall? Is $550B the right price now? Spoiler: China still controls the algorithm โ€” and gets paid 20% of TikTok US revenue to prove it. 00:00 - cold open 00:53 - [ tech & vc news ] 01:04 - Augment Power 20 ๐Ÿ† 01:53 - Anduril $4B raise on $60B ๐Ÿ›ธ 03:00 - Palmer Luckey vs Dario Amodei ๐Ÿคผโ€โ™‚๏ธ 06:30 - Iran war shocks NASDAQ, oil, & IPO markets ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ 11:28 - Can Cerebras IPO in 2026? ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ 13:27 - Robinhood public VC fund $RVI launch ๐Ÿ 16:51 - Secondary deals hit $226B in 2025 ๐Ÿš€ 20:17 - Decagon tender offer @ $4.5B ๐Ÿ’ฐ 25:09 - Kraken connects to Fed ๐Ÿ™ 27:46 - [ intvw: Emily Zheng & Jason Saltzman ] 28:23 - Emily gives Pitchbook 2025 recap ๐Ÿ™‡๐Ÿปโ€โ™€๏ธ 31:36 - Jason gives CB Insights 2025 recap ๐Ÿ™‡โ€โ™‚๏ธ 35:50 - Emily gives Pitchbook 2026 predictions ๐Ÿ”ฎ 57:53 - Jason gives CB Insights 2026 predictions ๐Ÿ”ฎ 1:00:56 - [ val corner: ByteDance @ $550B ] 1:01:20 - Sum of Parts analysis ๐Ÿงฉ 1:05:09 - What is TikTok US worth? ๐Ÿ’ƒ 1:09:33 - China still controls algorithm ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 1:12:53 - second takes ๐Ÿ˜‚ links: [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ emily zheng = https://www.linkedin.com/in/emzheng/ | https://x.com/EMZheng47 ] [ pitchbook = https://pitchbook.com/news/author/emily-zheng ] [ jason saltzman = https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-salt/ | https://x.com/saltzman_jason ] [ CB insights = https://www.cbinsights.com/ ] [ aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [ dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] #venturecapital #secondaries #secondarymarkets #tradingplacespod #davemcclure #amanverjee #pitchbook #cbinsights

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  • #25
    March 4 ยท 1 hr 11 min

    OpenAI $110B Raise, Stripe at $159B, and the Donor Money Tax Hack VCs Use | Trading Places Podcast E25

    OpenAI just closed a historic $110B funding round โ€” the largest private raise ever. At the same time: โ€ข Stripe surged to a $159B valuation โ€ข Anthropic is selling $6B of employee shares โ€ข The Pentagon reportedly blocked Anthropic from defense work โ€ข Sam Altman quickly picked up a DoD AI contract โ€ข ByteDance hit a $550B valuation โ€ข And Jack Dorsey laid off 4,000 employees citing AI productivity Welcome to Episode 25 of Trading Places, where Dave McClure and Aman Verjee break down the biggest stories in venture capital, AI, and private markets. In Valuation Corner, we analyze why Stripe now commands a $159B valuation โ€” and whether PayPal could become an acquisition target. Then weโ€™re joined by Daniel Blake (UI Charitable) to explain a powerful strategy many founders and investors overlook: How Donor-Advised Funds (DAFs) can turn illiquid startup equity, fund interests, or crypto into major tax deductions. If youโ€™re a founder, VC, or startup employee sitting on paper wealth, this episode is worth watching. ___________________________________________________________ 00:00 - cold open 00:47 - [ tech & vc news ] 02:07 -โ  โ OpenAI historic $110B raise ๐Ÿ˜ฒ 06:14 - Anthropic $6B staff share sale ๐Ÿ•บ 07:45 -โ  โ Pentagon cancels Anthropic ๐Ÿงจ 11:08 -โ  โ Sam Altman grabs DoD AI bag๐Ÿ’ฅ 14:26 -โ  โ SaaSpocalypse update ๐Ÿ“‰ 18:20 -โ  โ Jack Dorsey lays off 4,000 ๐Ÿšถโ€โžก๏ธ 21:37 -โ  โ ByteDance @ $550B ๐Ÿ’ƒ 24:11 - โ Plaid tender offer @ $8B ๐Ÿ”’ 25:49 -โ  โ Robinhood $1B private fund ๐Ÿคบ 27:24 - [ val corner: Stripe @ $159B ] 29:58 -โ  โ Competitive analysis ๐Ÿ’ช 32:40 -โ  โ PayPal acquisition target ๐ŸŽฏ 39:23 - [ intvw: Daniel Blake - UI Charitable ] 40:09 - introducing Daniel Blake and UI Charitable ๐Ÿ‘‹ 40:43 - the problem with selling privately held complex assets ๐Ÿง 42:39 - intro to Donor-Advised Funds ๐Ÿคฒ 49:03 - DAFs for founders + employees 1๏ธโƒฃ 52:10 - DAFs for investors 2๏ธโƒฃ 1:01:54 - donate your crypto holdings ๐Ÿ’› 1:03:43 - not all DAFs are created equal โ‰  1:05:07 - case studies ๐Ÿ“– 1:10:20 - get in touch with UI Charitable ๐Ÿ“ž 1:10:43 - second takes ___________________________________________________________ [ links ] [ invest = https://practicalvc.com ] [ trading places socials = www.linktr.ee/tradingplacespod ] [ daniel blake = https://www.linkedin.com/in/drblake/ ] [ donor-advised fund info = https://www.uicharitable.org/ ] [aman verjee = https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-verjee | https://x.com/amanverjee ] [dave mcclure = https://www.linkedin.com/in/davemcclure | https://x.com/davemcclure ] *This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. #VentureCapital #OpenAI #Stripe #Startups #AI #PrivateMarkets #TechNews

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Showing 21โ€“32 of 32 episodes