Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412

Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention. 00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti 00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview 01:31 Paper One Extreme Events 03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data 05:31 Retraction Controversy 09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims 12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias 17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000 21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis 23:12 Media Term And Search Trends 27:05 Building A Crisis Framework 28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires 31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard 35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation 37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion 39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach 41:40 Where To Find Work 44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1