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The Road to Autonomy

Grayson Brulte | AUTNMY AI

Hosted by Grayson Brulte, The Road to Autonomy delivers institutional-grade intelligence on autonomous vehicles, autonomous trucking, robotaxis, and the capital flows shaping the market.

Every episode combines primary field research, proprietary data, and conversations with the operators, investors, and policymakers building the autonomy economy.

Three shows comprise the feed:

The Road to Autonomy (Tuesdays): Flagship, in-depth conversations and analysis with the architects of the autonomy economy.

Autonomy Signals, presented by KPMG (Thursdays): AUTNMY AI co-founders Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant analyze the underlying technical and regulatory signals moving the market.

Autonomy Markets (Saturdays): Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk, Partner & TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners and General Partner, LightShed Ventures break down the week in autonomy from a Wall Street and investment perspective.

With over 400 episodes, The Road to Autonomy has become the trusted source for hedge funds, analysts, and executives who need to understand the emergence of the autonomy economy and the growth of physical AI.

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#441
August 22 · 42 min
Episode 441 | Autonomy Markets: Supervised Robotaxis Are Having a Moment Unsupervised Robotaxis Are Having a Decade
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Waymo’s California regulatory moat, Cybercab’s pending commercial launch and Uber’s series of supervised launches in Europe and Dubai. In California, Waymo is completing 1.4 million fully autonomous rides per month, a 10X growth rate over two years. Additionally, the CPUC (California Public Utilities Commission) granted Waymo commercial driverless expansion authority across 40,000 square miles, covering roughly 25 million California residents and giving Waymo an estimated two-year regulatory moat over competitors. Waymo also opened service to all riders in Houston, its 10th market, with San Antonio likely to follow, and launched the Zeekr-built Ojai to all riders across San Francisco, Los Angeles and Phoenix while introducing its own custom silicon chip to boost compute performance and drive down vehicle costs. While Waymo continues to scale, Tesla is preparing for a Cybercab commercial launch in Austin following first-responder training sessions with local fire departments. Then there is Uber, which is focused on expanding globally. In Dubai, Baidu’s Apollo Go went live on the Uber app, allowing riders to explicitly select an autonomous ride or be assigned one when booking Comfort or UberX. In London, Wayve and Uber launched early trip access using supervised Ford Mach-E vehicles, though debate remains over who will secure the critical Autonomous Passenger Service (APS) permit. Pony AI also touted its growing Uber partnership during earnings, though its planned European expansion faced scrutiny over ODD limitations and safety driver supervision. In sidewalk delivery, Avride is expanding its autonomous campus delivery fleet to 1,000 bots across 25 universities this fall. Following its split from Uber, Serve Robotics quickly pivoted by cutting deals with DoorDash and Grubhub, expanding into San Jose and Washington, D.C., while promoting its Beacon platform to potentially disintermediate traditional delivery platforms for local restaurants. Episode Chapters 00:00 Waymo Racks Up the Miles in California 07:02 Airports Matter, In California Permits Matter More 09:50 Waymo Opens Houston to All Riders, San Antonio Likely Next 13:34 Waymo Opens Ojai to All Riders 16:21 Waymo’s Declining Costs 19:28 New York City Does Not Want Robotaxis 21:28 The 100 Car Benchmark 25:05 Pony AI's European Expansion 28:09 Baidu Apollo Go Goes Live in Dubai 30:31 Wayve and Uber Launch Supervised in London. Who Gets the APS Permit? 36:17 Avride Expands Campus Delivery Bots 37:07 Serve Robotics Expands with DoorDash, Grubhub and Beacon 41:27 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#440
August 21 · 1 hr 29 min
Episode 440 | Autonomy Signals: No Wheel, No Pedals, No Driver, Cybercab Launch Is Imminent
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Tesla preparing to launch the steering wheel-free and pedal-free Cybercab in Austin, Waymo unlocking commercial driverless service across 18 California counties, and SoftBank leading a $200 million Series A in Gravis Robotics that values the company at $1 billion. As Tesla prepares for the commercial launch of Cybercab in Austin, the company will most likely self-certify the Cybercab to the Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, a path that carries no caps on production volume and, if NHTSA does not intervene, clears the way for Gigafactory Texas to produce more than 125,000 Cybercabs a year, creating a manufacturing moat no competitor can currently match. While Tesla readies the Cybercab, the CPUC (California Public Utilities Commission) approved Waymo's Tier 2 advice letter authorizing paid driverless rides across 18 California counties from Sacramento to San Diego, covering roughly two-thirds of the state's population. With Waymo currently operating 100% of the 1.4 million monthly driverless rides in the state and no other operator holding a driverless deployment permit, Waymo's regulatory lead in California is measured in years, though the CPUC's phased rollout framework may open a door for Zoox or Tesla to apply for the entire state at once. As Waymo consolidates the Golden State, SoftBank led a $200 million Series A in ETH Zurich spin-out Gravis Robotics, the largest Series A in construction robotics history, valuing the company at approximately $1 billion. Gravis' retrofit system bolts onto legacy excavators from Caterpillar, Komatsu, Volvo and John Deere, and SoftBank is betting that monetizing the existing $1 trillion install base of heavy machinery through rental companies, rather than requiring fleet replacement, is a software-multiple opportunity and not an industrial hardware play. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:50 Signal 1: Cybercab Launch is on the Horizon 39:06 Signal 2: Waymo's Golden State Robotaxi Monopoly 1:11:11 Signal 3: SoftBank's $200M Bet on Gravis Robotics Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#439
August 15 · 48 min
Episode 439 | Autonomy Markets: Waymo's Expansion Exposes Uber's Robotaxi Risk and Opens the Door for Lyft
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Zoox Las Vegas pricing, Waymo’s post-Uber divorce Phoenix expansion and WeRide saying the quiet part out loud, regulatory permits can create moats. Zoox launched paid rides in Las Vegas with a $12 base fare, $1.50 per mile, and 40 cents per minute, premium pricing paired with 15 to 30 minute wait times and select destinations. Walt calls it a Disney ride, not a premium product, and once Waymo and Tesla enter the market, that pricing gets hard to defend, especially if wait times continue to be high. Staying in Vegas, Waymo announced a dedicated pickup and drop-off zone with Allegiant Stadium while Zoox has a deal with the Sphere, which might cost riders a $40 drop-off fee, opening a new battleground in Vegas where every casino and venue deal becomes a potential competitive advantage. Weeks after Waymo and Uber divorced in Phoenix, Waymo added 55 square miles of service area, increasing the total to 350 square miles. On the WeRide earnings call, management said the quiet part our loud, regulatory permits are an asset. Over in Europe, OMEGA uncovered a Waymo incorporation in Zurich registered to Google’s largest engineering office outside the United States, one week after the president of Switzerland rode in a Waymo in Mountain View. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Uber and Wayve are preparing a supervised Tokyo launch with Nissan LEAF vehicles, with the word supervised buried in the last paragraph of the press release. Episode Chapters 00:00 Zoox Launches Paid Rides in Las Vegas 07:19 Fleet Fragmentation and the Lyft Opportunity 11:24 Waymo's Dedicated Zone at Allegiant Stadium 19:16 Waymo Adds 55 Square Miles in Phoenix 21:07 Waymo's Upcoming European Expansion 24:06 WeRide Earnings 28:06 Mercedes, NVIDIA, and the Compute Question 31:44 Uber Serve Robotics Divorce 40:47 7,200 Waymo Vehicles 44:03 Foreign Autonomy Desk 47:56 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#438
August 14 · 1 hr 22 min
Episode 438 | Autonomy Signals: The Demand Aggregator Trap
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Uber fully exiting its equity position in Serve Robotics as the delivery partnership ends, CaoCao launching robotaxi operations in Hangzhou, and Boeing offloading Wisk, SkyGrid and Insitu to Archer Aviation in a deal that trades equity for cash flow. Uber recently liquidated its entire remaining stake in Serve Robotics, as Serve announced on their Q2 2026 earnings call that the company will not be renewing its delivery partnership when the contract expires in 2027, exposing the pitfalls of being reliant on a demand aggregation platform. While Uber and Serve prepare to part ways, CaoCao launched public road testing without a safety driver in Hangzhou’s Binjiang District with a fleet of roughly 100 vehicles, backed by parent Geely’s manufacturing might and a purpose-built EvaCab robotaxi with a sub $35,000 BOM cost targeting 100,000 units by 2030. As China’s robotaxi industry grows, Boeing exited autonomy by selling Wisk, SkyGrid and Insitu to Archer Aviation for a 19.75% equity stake, immediately re-anchoring Archer’s valuation on defense cash flow rather than eVTOL speculation while pushing autonomous certification down the line. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:32 Signal 1: Uber and Serve Robotics Get Divorced 31:40 Signal 2: CaoCao Vertically Integrates Robotaxis 1:00:10 Signal 3: Boeing Exits Autonomy with Archer Aviation Deal Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#437
August 8 · 48 min
Episode 437 | Autonomy Markets: Can Uber's Robotaxis Scale?
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Uber’s Waymo hangover, Zoox launching paid rides in Las Vegas, the Teamsters suing California over driverless trucking, and NVIDIA’s Alpamayo 2 open model. Uber is nursing a Waymo hangover. Revenue came in light on take rate, management finally owned the $10 billion autonomy spending number first reported by The Financial Times, and the stock sold back into the sixties as the autonomy overhang weighs on the story. After 12 years, Zoox begins charging for rides in Las Vegas on August 10. An NHTSA filing surfaced by OMEGA reveals the catch, the vehicles cannot operate above 45 mph while average traffic out of Harry Reid International airport runs 55, complicating the airport unlock. With 105 vehicles as of June across seven approved cities, pricing 20% to 40% above rideshare, and wait times stretching past an hour, Walt calls it tourism pricing for a Disney World attraction. Meanwhile, Waymo returned to freeways after a two-month pause, and OMEGA is picking up new Waymo corporate filings around the world. Lucid burned over a billion dollars in the quarter but declared the Uber and Nuro robotaxi program a must-win project. The Teamsters sued the California DMV in Alameda Superior Court to repeal driverless trucking rules as autonomous trucking companies continue to rack up supervised miles in the state. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Wayve received a TfL license to carry paying passengers in London with safety drivers across 15 vehicles, but the APS permit is the asset that controls every relationship in the market. If Baidu secures one, it holds a clear off-ramp from Uber and FreeNow by Lyft to launch Apollo Go on its own. Meanwhile, Pony AI is targeting 500 to 1,000 Gen4 robotrucks in mainland China with CATL over the next two to three years, with a hint of foreign ports expansion. Episode Chapters 0:00 Uber's Waymo Hangover 4:52 Zoox Prepares to Go Paid in Vegas 12:19 Waymo Returns to Freeways 14:13 Uber, Nuro, Lucid Robotaxi Timeline 20:30 DoorDash and the Market for Autonomous Food Delivery 26:08 NVIDIA Alpamayo 2 32:22 The Teamsters sue the California DMV over Driverless Trucking Rules 35:50 Tesla's China Business Question 39:00 Foreign Autonomy Desk 45:35 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#436
August 7 · 1 hr 22 min
Episode 436 | Autonomy Signals: NVIDIA's Grand Robotaxi Ambitions Are Coming Into Focus
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss NVIDIA open sourcing its Alpamayo 2 foundation model to capture the entire autonomy stack, WeRide expanding into Denmark through a partnership with GreenMobility, and Aurora sidestepping PACCAR with a Roush retrofit pathway to hit its 200 truck year-end target. NVIDIA released Alpamayo 2 Super, an open source 34 billion parameter vision language action foundation model for Level 4 autonomy, giving away the model to sell the silicon and lock developers into Drive Thor hardware and NVIDIA compute, raising the question of whether a Foxconn and Taiwan Semi partnership to build a bespoke NVIDIA robotaxi is next. While NVIDIA powers the autonomy economy, WeRide announced a partnership with GreenMobility, Denmark’s leading shared electric mobility provider, to deploy its EU-compliant GXR robotaxi with public service targeted for the first half of 2027. The strategy being deployed by WeRide in Europe is the Autonomous Belt and Road Initiative, using Chinese domestic cash flow to finance a foreign expansion. As WeRide expands across Europe, Aurora turned to Roush to retrofit International trucks as a way around PACCAR’s refusal to allow driverless operations, targeting 20 trucks per week to reach 200 driverless trucks by year-end. With Kodiak moving towards Daimler Truck and Bot Auto already there, PACCAR is watching the entire autonomous trucking industry sidestep its factory line while Aurora burns roughly $200 million a quarter racing to scale before its $1.2 billion in liquidity runs out in a little over five quarters. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:11 Signal 1: NVIDIA Open Sources Alpamayo 2 as their Grand Robotaxi Ambitions Come into Focus 40:16 Signal 2: WeRide Expands into Denmark with GreenMobility 1:01:25 Signal 3: Aurora Sidesteps PACCAR with Roush and International Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#435
August 1 · 42 min
Episode 435 | Autonomy Markets: Is ADAS the Trojan Horse Into Autonomy?
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the Waymo/Uber divorce going public, Zoox receiving NHTSA approval to charge for rides, Aurora earnings, and Qualcomm's BMW win as ADAS becomes the Trojan horse into autonomy. The Waymo/Uber relationship is unraveling in public, with The Financial Times confirming Waymo will launch its own app in Austin and Atlanta in January 2028 before the contract expires that May. Both sides are airing grievances, from dirty cars and bad routing to weather no-shows and unsustainable financial terms. Grayson goes on the record that the relationship terminates early, calling for a Waymo app in those markets by June 2027, while Walt takes the under. After 12 years and billions of dollars, Zoox can finally charge for a ride. NHTSA granted an exemption capped at 2,500 vehicles per year for two years, a ruling that also creates a potential viable deployment path for Tesla's Cybercab. In autonomous trucking, Aurora is targeting 1,000 trucks by the end of next year against 200 this year, a heavily back-end loaded ramp that depends on truck supply, Roush capacity, and unresolved questions about how the Volvo Autonomous Solutions margin split works. Meanwhile, Qualcomm's selection by BMW as lead compute for next-generation ADAS confirms the growth of the L2+ market and positions Snapdragon as the Trojan horse into autonomy compute. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Baidu began RT6 robotaxi testing in London with both Uber and Lyft on the outskirts of the city, received a full driverless permit in Hong Kong, and China resumed issuing robotaxi permits once again. Episode Chapters 0:00 Waymo/Uber Divorce Goes Public 5:45 Uber's Autonomous Vehicle Partner Problem 10:28 Waymo's OEM Partner Signals 12:25 Zoox Gets the Golden Ticket 16:52 Advancing America’s Safety and Competitiveness for the Evolution of National Deployments 20:16 Aurora Q2 2026 Earnings 27:43 How Big Is the OEM Risk? 30:38 ADAS as the Trojan Horse Into Autonomy 35:42 Ford BlueCruise Falls Short 37:23 Foreign Autonomy Desk: Baidu RT6 Testing in London with Uber & Lyft 41:33 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#434
July 31 · 1 hr 23 min
Episode 434 | Autonomy Signals: Tesla FSD Supervised Goes Coast to Coast as Baidu Robotaxis Arrive in London
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss the latest Tesla FSD Supervised Cannonball Run record, seniors adopting FSD as a mobility preservation tool, and Baidu beginning robotaxi testing in London on both the Uber and Lyft networks. David Moss, Spencer and Owen Sparks drove a Tesla Model 3 running FSD Supervised 14.3.6 from the Red Ball Garage in New York City to the Portofino Inn in Redondo Beach, California in a record-setting 47 hours, 15 minutes and 39 seconds without ever touching the wheel. While the young kids break Cannonball FSD Supervised records, older individuals are actively embracing FSD as a mobility preservation tool. With no AARP partnership and no marketing spend, word of mouth is pulling seniors into a $47 billion a year senior transportation market that remains underserved, creating a structurally high-retention customer for Tesla. As Tesla FSD adoption grows with seniors, Baidu launched supervised RT6 robotaxi trials in the London borough of Brent on both the Uber and Lyft networks, with Lyft utilizing FreeNow's existing Transport for London private hire operator license. Baidu's deployment in London is a regulatory choreography play, not a technology demonstration, with driverless commercial authorization targeted for 2027 remaining the single binary event that either validates or collapses Baidu's Western expansion thesis. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:30 Signal 1: Tesla FSD Supervised Cannonball Run Record 26:23 Signal 2: Seniors are Embracing FSD 51:47 Signal 3: Baidu Begins Robotaxi Testing in London Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#433
July 25 · 38 min
Episode 433 | Autonomy Markets: Tesla’s Robotaxi Ramp Comes Down to One Number
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla's Cybercab validation timeline, Tesla Semi FSD Supervised, Alphabet's quiet quarter on Waymo, and the Mobileye CEO stepping down after 27 years. Tesla disclosed 380,000 unsupervised miles, but those miles were logged on Model Y and do not transfer to Cybercab. The new chassis has to earn its own validation miles before commercial service begins, and Tesla is pacing production to that validation rather than building a fleet ahead of it. The ramp is slower than the market expects. Best case, that puts Tesla at 100 cars in Austin or a Florida market by year end. Elon Musk also offered an aggressive timeline for autonomy on the Semi, where Tesla is the OEM and removes the largest structural risk in autonomous trucking, creating an overhang for Aurora and every capital dependent competitor. Alphabet reported Other Bets revenue of $380 million against a loss of $1.8 billion, with the smallest amount of Waymo commentary from Sundar Pichai in roughly six quarters and no milestone announced. Mobileye is abandoning its asset light model for full vertical integration, putting it in direct competition with the OEMs it needs as customers. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Momenta secured approval for driverless commercial operations in Shenzhen as China resumes issuing robotaxi permits. Episode Chapters 0:00 380,000 Unsupervised Miles and What That Number Leaves Out 03:13 The 250,000 Validation Miles Cybercab Still Has to Earn 05:22 Cybercab Production Is Pacing to Validation Miles 10:20 Tesla Semi FSD Coming Soon (Maybe Year End?) 14:29 The Case for Vertical Integration 16:24 Reading the Fine Print on Aurora's Driverless Announcement 22:22 Alphabet's Other Bets and the Waymo Spin Non Answer 25:50 How Tesla Runs Airport Curbside Pickups in California 27:44 Zoox Recalls Software That Could Not Handle Smoke 30:15 Mobileye Abandons Asset Light for Vertical Integration 36:14 Foreign Autonomy Desk: China Resumes Robotaxi Permits Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#432
July 24 · 1 hr 17 min
Episode 432 | Autonomy Signals: Tesla Expands Robotaxi Across Florida as Amazon's Zoox Falls Behind
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Tesla expanding robotaxi to Tampa and Orlando, Zoox recalling its entire 105 vehicle fleet after driving into an active fire scene in Las Vegas, and China embedding autonomous truck manufacturing in Kazakhstan. Tesla continues their robotaxi expansion launching service in Tampa and Orlando, establishing their third Florida market alongside Miami. All three Florida service areas are next to the airport, signaling Tesla's ambition to secure airport service, while Tampa marks the first market where Tesla launched commercially ahead of Waymo. With Tesla moving from ground validation vehicles to driverless operations in roughly three weeks compared to Waymo's 30 week timeline in Charlotte, Tesla's deployment velocity is running approximately 10X faster than its main competitor. A company that has struggled to scale, Zoox voluntarily recalled its entire US fleet of 105 autonomous vehicles after an unoccupied robotaxi drove into a smoke-obscured fire scene in Las Vegas, requiring a remote teleoperator to reverse the vehicle after its sensor suite was blinded. The recall arrives as NHTSA escalates enforcement around autonomous vehicles interfering with first responders and as Zoox's FMVSS exemption petition for 2,500 driverless vehicles remains pending. With nine vehicles operating in Miami and no Amazon branding anywhere on the vehicles, rider lounges, or website, questions are mounting about Zoox's commercial direction and Amazon's willingness to stand behind its bet. Closing out the show, Grayson and Rob discuss China and Kazakhstan formalizing an agreement to establish domestic assembly lines for autonomous SITRAK heavy trucks, turning Kazakhstan into a regional production and deployment hub for driverless freight across Eurasian trade corridors and accelerating China's Autonomous Belt and Road Initiative. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:34 Signal 1: Tesla Expands Robotaxi to Tampa and Orlando 27:15 Signal 2: Zoox Recalls Its Entire 105 Vehicle Fleet 57:15 Signal 3: China Embeds Autonomous Truck Manufacturing in Kazakhstan Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#431
July 22 · 41 min
Episode 431 | The Future of Warfare is Autonomous
Nathan Michael, Chief Technology Officer, Shield AI joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss why the future of warfare is autonomous. The conflicts in Ukraine and Iran have made the case for autonomy abundantly clear. Drones create asymmetric advantage by driving down the cost per effect, delivering outcomes at reach without putting pilots and service members into harm’s way. As trust in these systems grows through engineered performance and assurance, autonomous systems will increasingly engage in combat and change the face of modern warfare. Shield AI’s solution to the future of warfare is Hivemind, an AI pilot designed from the beginning to be platform agnostic, mission agnostic, and domain agnostic. This architecture aligns with the Air Force’s autonomy government reference architecture for the Collaborative Combat Aircraft program, which mandates modularity and no vendor lock-in. No vendor lock-in is becoming a global standard, with nations demanding sovereign autonomy, ownership of data, and the flexibility to swap in the most performant AI pilot as the technology rapidly improves. Hivemind is now expanding beyond the air and maritime domains into space through a series of defense partnerships. Episode Chapters 0:00 How Shield AI is Thinking About Autonomy in a World Full of Conflict 1:56 Are Drones the Modern Equivalent of the Abrams Tank? 4:09 Is Society Ready for Autonomous Warfare 5:58 Developing Hivemind and the Aha Moments Along the Way 10:50 Deploying V-BAT in Ukraine and Integrating Hivemind on One-Way Attack Drones 13:59 The Autonomy Factory and Adapting Hivemind Across Platforms 17:41 Going from Air to Sea with Huntington Ingalls 22:39 Deploying Hivemind on the Airbus Lakota Helicopter for Contested Logistics 25:52 Winning the U.S. Air Force CCA Mission Autonomy Production Contract 29:37 Autonomy Government Reference Architecture and No Vendor Lock-In 35:34 Expanding Hivemind into Space 38:17 X-Bat, the World's First AI-Powered VTOL Fighter Jet 40:34 AUTNMY AI -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, Indices and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#430
July 18 · 29 min
Episode 430 | Autonomy Markets: Has Robotaxi Begun to Scale?
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla increasing their robotaxi inventory in Texas, a controversial autonomous vehicle bill in Washington DC, Uber’s acquisition of Delivery Hero, and WeRide‘s global expansion strategies. Data from the Texas DMV shows that Tesla has 175 robotaxis registered in Texas, a quadrupling in just six weeks from 42 on June 1st. This is a trend that is not isolated to Texas, as Grayson has noted in his Robotaxi Miami Field Report that Tesla is also ramping up operations in that market as well. In Washington DC, a new district bill introduced by Councilmember Charles Allen aims to update the 2012 AV Act to allow commercial autonomous operations. However, the bill introduces highly restrictive mandates, including a requirement for autonomous vehicle operators to log over 250,000 testing miles within the district before receiving a commercial permit that could lead to regulatory capture for incumbents. Shifting to the delivery sector, Uber made a major move by earmarking approximately €2 billion through 2031 for European expansion, explicitly including autonomous vehicle initiatives alongside its acquisition of Delivery Hero. Meanwhile, Uber’s autonomous delivery partner, Avride, launched sidewalk street robot operations in Miami via Uber Eats, having already completed 60,000 trips. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Grayson and Walt discuss WeRide’s global Level 2++ on-road validation testing alongside Bosch in Germany, France, and Japan. Additionally, government data from Hong Kong reveals that 63 autonomous driving licenses have been issued across seven companies, with Baidu logging 149,129 miles with safety drivers on pre-approved roads. Closing out the show Grayson and Walt analyze Baidu‘s expansion into Kazakhstan and predict local robotaxi manufacturing could begin there within the next 12 to 18 months. Episode Chapters 0:00 Tesla's Growing Robotaxi Fleet 4:52 Washington DC's Autonomous Vehicle Bill 12:03 Uber Acquires Delivery Hero and Bets on Autonomous Delivery 18:07 Lucid's Selloff and the Nuro Partner Risk 23:19 WeRide's Level 2++ Expansion 24:57 Foreign Autonomy Desk 27:10 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#429
July 17 · 49 min
Episode 429 | Autonomy Signals: Baidu's Hong Kong Expansion Unlocks Right-Hand Drive Markets
This week on Autonomy Signals, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Baidu's Apollo Go robotaxi expansion in Hong Kong, the first combat strike using Saronic autonomous vessels on an Iranian naval base, and autonomous drones mapping volcanic gas clouds off the coast of Sicily. Hong Kong issued Baidu three pilot licenses covering 50 vehicles and cleared cross-district driverless trials using its sixth-generation RT6 robotaxis. The city-state's right-hand drive, left-side traffic system turns it into a proving ground for Japan, the UK, Singapore, and Australia, advancing China's Autonomous Belt and Road Initiative and setting up Baidu to export validated autonomy into left-side traffic markets. On July 12, 2026, US Central Command (CENTCOM) executed the first ever combat strike using unmanned surface vessels, deploying three Saronic-built Corsair vessels against Iran's Bandar Abbas Naval Base. The strike marks a doctrinal shift in naval warfare, altering the cost-exchange calculus of maritime conflict as tier one primes reposition themselves as mission integrators and treat autonomous hulls as expendable peripherals to their combat systems. Closing out the show, Grayson and Rob discuss researchers at the Technical University of Munich deploying an autonomous drone on the Italian island of Vulcano to map volcanic gas concentrations at a 5% margin of error, eliminating the need to fly into corrosive plumes. Episode Chapters 0:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:34 Signal 1: Baidu's Apollo Go Expansion in Hong Kong 18:55 Signal 2: First Autonomous Maritime Combat Strike 37:16: Signal 3: Autonomous Drones Mapping Volcanic Gas Clouds Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#428
July 14 · 34 min
Episode 428 | Scale Not Technology Is the Real Constraint in AI Manufacturing
Todd Deaville, VP, Advanced Manufacturing Innovation, Magna, joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss how artificial intelligence and advanced robotics are transforming global manufacturing. To Deaville, AI is a highly powerful tool set optimized for recognizing complex patterns, making quality-control decisions, and analyzing massive data flows. Applying AI to robotics introduces unprecedented flexibility to the physical world, moving beyond historically rigid, defined programming to enable machines that can adapt and make operational changes in real time. With manufacturing facilities spanning 28 countries, Magna’s primary challenge is deploying these advanced technologies at scale. To achieve this, the company clusters its solutions around specific product and process archetypes, relying on a playbook approach with practical guides to help local plants succeed. This shift toward more complex digital workflows is being further accelerated by a new generation of workers whose gaming backgrounds have trained them to navigate highly interactive, realistic three-dimensional simulations.. By continuously feeding operational data back into its systems, Magna is elevating the skills of its workforce, streamlining its design-for-manufacturing processes, and building a highly efficient, autonomous future. Episode Chapters 0:00 Defining AI in Manufacturing 2:40 Robotics 4:42 Open Source Models & Data Sovereignty 8:34 Deploying Tech Globally 11:07 Labs vs. Active Factory Floors 13:06 Scale Is the Real Bottleneck 16:56 Humanoid Robots 21:13 Gaming and the Evolving Workforce 28:57 Magna Data Flywheel 31:06 The Future of Robotaxi Manufacturing 32:32 Future of Magna 33:56 AUTNMY AI -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, Indices and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#427
July 11 · 37 min
Episode 427 | Autonomy Markets: Three Robotaxis in Miami, Four New Waymo Markets, One New NHTSA Letter
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla‘s unsupervised robotaxi launch in Miami, Waymo preparing to bring four new markets online, and NHTSA Administrator Jonathan Morrison’s letter to autonomous vehicle operators. On July 3rd, Tesla launched unsupervised robotaxi in Miami, their first market outside of Texas and California. We were there on the ground conducting field research with no safety monitor and no chase vehicle in sight, riding through torrential downpours and flooded streets. The fleet grew from two vehicles on day one to three vehicles by day three, and it was the best unsupervised robotaxi experience we have ever had. While conducting field research, we counted over two dozen Cybercabs staged in Miami, every single one with a steering wheel and a Florida license plate. We believe these are validation vehicles and that Cybercab will be Tesla’s major robotaxi launch vehicle. Notably, Tesla’s operating domain extends further west than Waymo’s, wrapping around the back side of Miami International Airport. As Tesla scales in Miami, NHTSA Administrator Jonathan Morrison sent a letter to autonomous vehicle operators on July 8th citing a pattern of driverless vehicles interfering with police, fire, and EMS. The timing was notable, as our Tesla robotaxi flawlessly pulled over for an ambulance during our Miami rides. Mr. Morrison’s approach of loosening hardware rules while tightening behavioral scrutiny is the regulatory framework we believe the industry needs to scale. Waymo opened employee rides in Las Vegas, San Diego, Tampa, and Denver, the final gate before public service. Tampa confirms the call The Road to Autonomy made three weeks ago when we uncovered Waymo’s 100,000 square foot warehouse lease near Tampa International Airport. Beyond the four new cities, OMEGA uncovered corporate filings pointing to potential Waymo deployments in France, Spain, and the Netherlands, along with an Alphabet entity in Singapore holding $21 billion that we verified as a wholly owned Waymo subsidiary through the Delaware Chancery Court. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Grayson and Walt discuss Baidu publicly disclosing 143,000 autonomous driving miles in Hong Kong and Zelos securing Malaysia’s first L4 public road permit for driverless delivery. Episode Chapters 0:00 Tesla Launches Robotaxi in Miami 8:50 Tesla's Miami Service Area Compared to Waymo's 14:35 NHTSA Administrator Jonathan Morrison's Letter to Autonomous Vehicle Operators 19:13 Waymo's New Markets: Las Vegas, San Diego, Tampa, and Denver 23:02 Denver: Waymo's First Snow and Ice Market 26:41 OMEGA uncovers Waymo's European Grand Ambitions 29:32 Waymo's Playbook 32:01 Uber's Autonomy Partners Struggles 34:27 Foreign Autonomy Desk 35:21 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#426
July 10 · 1 hr 22 min
Episode 426 | Autonomy Signals: Tesla Launches Robotaxi in Miami, Waymo's July 4th Stumble, Momenta IPOs in Hong Kong
This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Tesla’s Unsupervised Robotaxi launch in Miami, Waymo’s July 4th stumble in San Francisco, and Momenta’s oversubscribed IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. On July 5, 2026, Tesla launched Unsupervised Robotaxi service in Miami, its first unsupervised market outside of Texas, with retrofitted Model Ys operating through heavy rain and flooded roadways during the heart of hurricane season. Grayson was on the ground for launch day, riding through South Florida’s mini lakes without a single hesitation from the vehicle, and uncovered a Cybercab staging lot near Miami International Airport with dozens of vehicles ready to deploy. The Miami launch is a deliberate stress test of Tesla’s camera-only system against the exact adverse weather conditions currently under NHTSA engineering analysis, and the receipts reveal a premium pricing experiment running 3X to 4X the base fare of Tesla’s Texas markets. Then there is Waymo, whose vehicles bricked across San Francisco on the 4th of July as fireworks, road closures, dense crowds, and connectivity failures overwhelmed the fleet. Vehicles idled until their batteries depleted and had to be towed, one Waymo burned, and San Francisco officials have launched inquiries into the incident. The July 4th stumble potentially exposed a remote assistance bottleneck that makes Waymo’s lean human supervision model the critical scaling constraint in burst demand emergencies, threatening the path to one million weekly rides as regulators eye special event requirements and remote operator staffing ratios. Closing out the show, Grayson and Rob discuss Momenta’s listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as the market’s first physical AI stock, with the retail tranche oversubscribed 414 times and 14 cornerstone investors including BlackRock, Fidelity International, GIC, Mercedes-Benz, and BYD. With its software running in over 900,000 vehicles and licensing revenue growing 42-fold over three years, Momenta’s IPO signals that institutional investors are shifting their preference away from speculative capital-intensive deployments towards proven physical AI providers. Episode Chapters 00:00 KPMG Sponsor Introduction 01:16 Signal 1: Tesla Launches Unsupervised Robotaxi in Miami 38:38 Signal 2: Waymo's July 4th Stumble in San Francisco 1:11:27 Signal 3: Momenta IPOs on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#425
July 7 · 48 min
Episode 425 | Bot Auto's Playbook for One Billion Autonomous Miles
Brett Suma, President and COO of Bot Auto, joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss Bot Auto’s playbook for autonomously driving one billion autonomous miles in four years. On April 29th by completing its first humanless run from Houston to Dallas. To achieve long-term growth and commercial success, Bot Auto is rejecting the standard driver-as-a-service intermediary model used by its competitors. Instead, the company is building direct relationships with shippers and designing a utility grid of capacity focused on solving network sequencing, lane selection, and utilization. As the company focuses on capital-efficient deployment, Bot Auto plans to sidestep raising large funding rounds to purchase depreciating operations assets. Instead, the company will rely on traditional financing methods, established banking relationships, and an experienced sales force to scale its tractor and trailer counts. With a comprehensive five-year financial roadmap in place, Bot Auto is positioning itself to scale organically based on market demand, setting a disciplined target of one billion autonomous miles within the next four years. Episode Chapters 0:00 Why Bot Auto 4:56 April 29th Humanless Houston to Dallas Run 9:52 Economics of Humanless Miles 14:36 Building a Trucking Business 17:17 Capacity as a Utility Grid, Not Truck Counts 24:19 Bot Auto's Business Model 29:34 CapEx and Financing Trucks 32:15 Hidden Risk of Operating a Mixed Fleet 41:49 Staying Disciplined as Bot Auto Grows 44:24 One Billion Autonomous Miles in Four Years 47:36 AUTNMY AI -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, Indices and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#424
July 4 · 34 min
Episode 424 | Autonomy Markets: Waymo and Uber Divorce in Phoenix. Are Austin and Atlanta Next?
This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the end of Waymo and Uber's partnership in Phoenix, Tesla's Cybercab hitting the streets of Austin branded for America 250 and Waymo's "Because they're everything" World Cup campaign. As Tesla gets closer and closer to putting the Cybercab into service, the U.S. Government is inching toward a national framework that would allow vehicles with no steering wheel and no pedals to deploy across all 50 states and charge for rides. It is the regulatory environment that we believe Tesla is waiting to change before deploying Cybercab into the fleet, even if the rides are free. As Tesla waits for regulatory certainty, The Road to Autonomy broke the news that Waymo and Uber quietly ended their Phoenix partnership, noticing an update on the Uber autonomous vehicle site. The Phoenix partnership, which lasted 948 days, consisted of a fleet of 12 vehicles that serviced a 180 square mile area. Important to note that this was a dedicated fleet for Uber and the vehicles were not part of the traditional Waymo fleet. Now that Waymo and Uber have divorced in Phoenix, we believe it is only a matter of time until they divorce in Austin, where the service has been live for 482 days, and Atlanta, where the service has been live for 370 days. Both partnerships could unwind by the first quarter of 2027. On the Foreign Autonomy Desk, Grayson and Walt discuss the global growth of FSD and Volkswagen and Bosch ending their automated driving partnership, the latest in a long line of stalled autonomy efforts at the German automaker. Episode Chapters 00:00 Happy 250th Birthday, America 1:15 Waymo and Uber Phoenix Divorce 5:47 Dara, Nuro and Wayve Signals 8:24 Who Could Backfill Phoenix for Uber? 13:52 The Fizzling Demand Narrative 17:51 Cybercab, Branded for America 250 21:53 Regulatory, Not Safety, Is Holding Cybercab Back 24:50 Tesla Semi 25:54 Waymo's World Cup Because They're Everything Campaign 28:06 Robotaxis at Airports 29:32 Chinese Made Vehicles 31:11 Foreign Autonomy Desk 34:15 Next Week Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#423
July 2 · 1 hr 4 min
Episode 423 | Autonomy Signals: The Era of Being Measured
This week on Autonomy Signals, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss the pending Uber-Waymo divorce, Agility Robotics’ $2.5 billion SPAC merger with Churchill Capital XI, and the launch of The Road to Autonomy Confidence Indices. As of May, Waymo and Uber concluded their robotaxi partnership in Phoenix after roughly 948 days, with Waymo going exclusively direct-to-consumer in that market and Uber seeking a replacement partner, with a Nuro / Lucid partnership as the leading candidate. Uber’s value to select autonomous vehicle operators is highest during market entry, and once an operator builds density and consumer trust, Uber’s value diminishes as the robotaxi provider’s brand grows in that market. Then there is Agility Robotics, whose $2.5 billion SPAC merger with Churchill Capital XI targets over $620 million in gross proceeds to become the first pure-play humanoid robotics entity in the public markets. The listing could be perceived as a forced transparency event, as SEC disclosures will stress-test the contested 98% task success rate, the $300 million contingent backlog, and a warehouse data moat that risks becoming a depreciating asset as the industry pivots to foundation model generalization. Closing out the show, Grayson and Rob discuss the launch of The Road to Autonomy Confidence Indices, a first-of-its-kind benchmark tracking the market’s confidence in the global commercial adoption of robotaxis, autonomous driving licensing, autonomous trucks, and delivery bots. Each index is a single zero-to-100 reading, cryptographically sealed and independently verifiable, and the early divergence is telling, as robotaxi confidence is rising while the market continues to be unsure about autonomous trucking. Episode Chapters 00:00 Signal 1: Waymo/Uber Divorce: Predictable and Repeatable 34:29 Signal 2: Agility Robotics' $2.5B merger with Churchill Capital XI 55:06 Signal 3: The Road to Autonomy Confidence Indices Launch 1:04:19 AUTNMY AI Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter: https://www.roadtoautonomy.com/ae/ See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
#422
June 30 · 37 min
Episode 422 | Serve Robotics Turned Delivery Robots Into a Platform Business
Ali Kashani, Co-Founder and CEO of Serve Robotics, joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss how Serve Robotics scaled its delivery fleet into an operating layer for physical AI. Over the past year, Serve Robotics has grown from roughly 50 robots to 2,000, and in Q1 2026 the company reported $3 million in revenue with 45% coming from recurring software licenses. To achieve that growth, Serve is now selling their stack as modular layers, letting other companies license the connectivity, data infrastructure, or hardware piece by piece rather than build everything from scratch. This includes a freemium version of Autonomy Assist, its version of remote assistance. As the company continues to grow Serve is ramping production of their Gen 3 vehicle, which runs at one-third the cost of Gen 2 while delivering five times the compute, a 48-mile range, four-wheel steering and suspension, and the ability to operate in heavy rain. The vehicles are sub-assembled in Asia with the completed final assembly occurring in with Magna International in Michigan. This give the company the flexibility to manufacture end to end in Asia for markets where US tariffs make domestic production uneconomical. With international expansion underway in Tokyo and Sydney this year and a larger push planned for 2027, Serve is positioning to follow demand across the APAC region and beyond. Episode Chapters 0:00 Growing and Scaling Revenue 8:51 Licensing the Platform 11:17 World Models 14:59 The Laundry Vertical 16:52 Expanding Internationally 22:39 Gen 3 Vehicle 26:17 Edge Cases 28:43 Future Form Factors 30:09 Diligent Robotics Acquisition 34:06 The Operating Layer of Physical AI 36:21 Future of Serve Robotics 36:54 AUTNMY AI -------- About The Road to Autonomy The Road to Autonomy is the leading applied intelligence platform covering the convergence of automation, autonomy, and the Autonomy Economy.™. Through our podcasts, newsletter, Indices and proprietary applied intelligence, we set the narrative for institutional investors, industry executives, and policymakers navigating the convergence of automation, autonomy, and economic growth. Join institutional investors and industry leaders who read This Week in The Autonomy Economy every Sunday. Each edition delivers exclusive insight and commentary on the autonomy economy, helping you stay ahead of what's next. Sign up for This Week in The Autonomy Economy newsletter Follow The Road to Autonomy Indices See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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