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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff is an economist, financial broker/dealer, author, frequent guest on national news, and host of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast. The podcast focuses on economic data analysis and unbiased coverage of financial news, both in the U.S. and global markets. As entertaining as he is informative, Peter packs decades of brilliant insight into every news item. Join the thousands of fans who have benefited from Peter’s commitment to getting the real story out to the world.

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  • 33 episodes
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  • Saturday · 51 min

    Jobs Missed. Wages Stalled. Tariffs Failed. Bonds Fell Anyway.

    Peter Schiff on a 29,000 jobs miss, weak wage growth, a $132.6B trade deficit, Trump's inflation remark, and why bonds sold off anyway. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - Odoo. Get your first application free for life at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter - DripDrop. Stock up now at https://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off Peter Schiff breaks down the September jobs report: just 29,000 jobs against an 85,000 estimate. July was revised back to negative 10,000 and August down to 133,000. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, private payrolls added 46,000, and average hourly earnings rose only 0.1%, the smallest monthly gain in more than five years, while August CPI rose 0.4%. Peter had forecast both the miss and the downward revisions on Tuesday's podcast. Peter explains why the bond market sold off despite the weak report and softer August PCE data, even as the odds of an October rate hike fell sharply. The 10-year Treasury closed the week at 5.28% and the 30-year at 5.63%, which he calls classic bear market action. He also covers personal income rising 0.2% against spending up 0.9%, a 4.1% savings rate, and an August trade deficit of $132.6 billion, the fourth worst in US history, which he says shows tariffs have not reduced imports and that importers are the ones paying them. On stocks, Peter notes the Nasdaq hit an intraday record while 147 stocks made new 52-week lows against 38 new highs on the week, breadth he compares to 1999-2000 and 1973. He responds to President Trump's interview comment that inflation will pay off the debt, arguing it amounts to a sell signal for bondholders, and disputes Trump's claim that he inherited inflation from Biden. Peter reviews gold near $4,140, silver at $60.37 and the miners, Bitcoin near $84,500 and Strategy's Stretch trading back near par, and argues the data points to stagflation, with AI capital spending propping up GDP. He discusses the G7's 100 million barrel oil reserve release, mortgage rates he thinks could reach 8% this month, risks to housing, autos, credit and Fannie and Freddie, $40 trillion in debt at 5% interest, Janet Yellen's past comments on low rates, and Rick Santelli's final day at CNBC. He closes by urging listeners to buy the dip in gold and silver, with support near $4,000 and $60. Chapters: 00:00 Bond Crisis Warning 01:02 September Jobs Shock 03:02 Revisions and Labor Details 06:22 Wages Lag Inflation 08:16 Bonds Sell Off Anyway 12:36 Income Spending PCE 15:47 Trade Deficit Tariffs 20:13 Stocks Ignore Rising Yields 26:48 Trump Inflation Pays Debt 28:06 Inflation Pays Debt Claim 29:02 Who Owns Inflation Blame 30:17 Bondholders Get Burned 31:20 Weekly Market Scorecard 31:49 Gold Silver Yield Paradox 34:13 Stagflation And AI Distortion 36:17 Bitcoin Strategy Stretch Update 38:35 Bond Vigilantes Take Over 40:21 Oil Reserves And Mortgage Shock 45:08 Debt Math And Crisis Setup 49:51 Midterms And Voter Reality 51:56 Buy Metals And Wrap Up Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #JobsReport #BondMarket Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • Wednesday · 55 min

    Every Crisis I Warned About Is Converging... This Is the End Game

    Peter Schiff on record bond yields, a 12-year low in consumer confidence, the end of the 40-year refi era, and why gold is the last safe haven. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. - Noom. The Noom GLP-1 Program starts at $39 and is delivered to your door in as little as seven days. Go to https://noom.com to learn more. Bond yields hit new highs on weak data, consumer confidence sank to a 12-year low, and Peter says the end game has arrived. The 30-year Treasury touched 5.62% and the 10-year closed at 5.26%, two weeks after 5% was supposed to be the ceiling. What makes this week different is that bonds sold off on bad news: consumer confidence collapsed to 81.9, the lowest in 12 years and below the depths of the pandemic, job openings missed, and yields rose anyway. Peter's warning is direct: if Friday's jobs number is weak and bonds still fall, the orderly grind lower becomes a crash. Gold's $170 drop is the market getting this backwards. Money leaving bonds ends up in gold, the last safe haven standing. The bigger story is housing. America is now in the worst quadrant, high debt and high rates, which it has never lived through. For 40 years mortgage rates only fell, from 18% in 1981 to 2.65% in 2021, and homeowners rode that wave with serial cash-out refis that turned the house into an ATM. At 7.4% and headed past 8%, that era is over: no more refis, no cash out, no wealth effect, with homes at five times income and down payments at 13.8%. Fannie and Freddie are down 75% while the government buys more mortgage bonds. Neither party will name a cut. Every crisis Peter has warned about is converging, and he says to get your plan B in order. Chapters: 00:00 Bond Crash Warning 01:02 Yields Surge and Mortgages 02:59 Gold Dip and Safe Haven 07:11 Weak Data Ignored 13:21 Housing Market Cracks 14:48 Password Security Ad 16:00 High Debt High Rates Era 19:17 Housing Bubble Math 23:56 Refi Boom Ends 28:24 Home Prices Next Drop 31:30 Noom Weight Loss Pitch 33:07 GSE Stocks Get Crushed 35:50 Trump Hype And Dump 39:39 PSA Or Campaign Ad 42:41 Deficits Nobody Will Cut 47:59 Affordability Promises Backfire 50:08 Socialism Messaging Trap 52:12 AI Hope Versus Debt Crisis 56:02 Fed Out Of Tricks 56:43 Prepare For The Storm 57:28 Wrap Up And Plan B Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #MortgageRates Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 27 · 1 hr 7 min

    This Happened Twice in 100 Years... Both Times, Stocks Fell 49%

    Peter Schiff on why 86% of the S&P is already in a bear market, the 1973 and 2000 parallels, 5% Treasury yields, and new IRS emails on his bank. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - My Patriot Supply. Get a 3-Month Emergency Food Kit + FREE Mega Protein Kit at https://PrepareWithPeter.com - Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. - Perplexity Computer. Start your free trial today at https://pplx.ai/gold and experience the next phase of AI. Market breadth has only been this bad twice in 100 years, and both times the S&P 500 fell nearly 50%. Peter Schiff opens with the relentless rise in long-term yields: the 10-year Treasury closed at 5.16%, the 30-year at 5.49%, and the five-year at 5.00%, while stocks shrug it off. Mortgages sit above 7% only because the Trump administration ordered Fannie and Freddie to buy, and Peter expects 8% regardless. Bond yields rose even as oil fell from $100 to $92, showing the bond market has decoupled from the Fed narrative. The S&P is 0.7% from a record, but the average stock is 19% below its high, 60% of stocks are in bear territory, and new lows outpaced new highs three to one. Peter compares this to January 1973 and early 2000, the only two precedents, both followed by roughly 49% declines. He also covers the Michigan sentiment drop to 48.1 and the hoarding psychology behind it, Bill Ackman's call to raise the inflation target, why rising yields are bullish for gold, and the Trump-Xi meeting that produced no commitments. The second half returns to Euro Pacific Bank: newly unredacted IRS emails reveal an MOU with OCIF and no answer when the IRS-CI chief asked what the bank did wrong, while the receiver has repaid 78 of roughly 3,500 customers in four years and paid himself over $850,000. Chapters: 00:00 Breadth Crash Warning 00:59 Bond Yields Surge 04:40 Global Rates and Mortgages 07:37 Oil Link Breaks 11:01 Consumers and Hoarding 14:58 Markets Misread Gold 18:47 Hidden Bear Market Breadth 21:06 History Rhymes Again 23:21 Ackman and Inflation Target 29:15 China Summit and Tariffs 33:05 Bank Shutdown FOIA Fight 38:20 FOIA Fight With IRS 39:11 Settlement And New Disclosures 42:03 Press Conference Double Standard 43:46 Jim Lee Email Questions 47:10 MOU Proof Of Coordination 50:56 Unanswered Questions Expose Narrative 55:02 Publicity Stunt Motive 56:04 Portugal Freeze Fallout 57:23 Receivership Numbers Breakdown 01:04:40 Government Vs Free Market Rant 01:06:41 Congress Won't Act 01:07:41 Wrap Up And Investing Pitch Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news Peter Schiff serves as Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, LLC (“EPAM”), an SEC-registered investment adviser. The views and opinions expressed are those of Mr. Schiff as of the date of recording and may change without notice. Certain statements concerning historical events and regulatory matters reflect Mr. Schiff’s interpretation of the facts and information available to him. Market and investment commentary is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. International investing involves additional risks, including currency, political, economic and regulatory risks. For information regarding EPAM’s investment advisory services, please visit europac.com. Registration with the SEC does not imply a particular level of skill or training. Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 24 · 56 min

    22-Year High Yields. Record Diesel. McDonald's Gave Up on 2%.

    Peter Schiff on 22-year high yields, record diesel, McDonald's inflation warning, and Trump's claim he told Warsh how to vote. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - AG1. For a limited time, save 20% on your first subscription order of AG1 Next Gen or AG1 Pro at https://drinkag1.com/schiff - Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow. - Ethos. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/gold. Application times may vary. Rates may vary. Peter Schiff reviews the rise in Treasury yields to multi-decade highs and what 5% rates would mean for interest on the $40 trillion national debt. He opens with a comment Donald Trump made after the Fed's 25 basis point hike: that he told Kevin Warsh he "might as well vote with the board." Peter argues that either Trump is lying or, if the conversation happened, the Fed chairman is clearing his votes with the president, and that Warsh should be asked directly at the next press conference. He then turns to the bond market. The five-year auction cleared at 5.03%, the highest in just over 20 years; the 30-year reached 5.41%, a 22-year high, and the 10-year hit 5.12%. He expects the 10/30 spread, now under 30 basis points, to widen back toward 50 or more, and suggests shorting the 30-year against the 10-year. If the government pays 5% on $40 trillion, interest would run $2 trillion a year, about 35% of tax revenue and more than Social Security, with the debt growing by more than $3 trillion a year. He says stock investors still assume yields are near a top. McDonald's stock fell about 5% after its CEO said inflation would stay elevated for "many more years," which Peter contrasts with Warsh's claim that expectations are anchored at 2%. He agrees with Warsh that growth does not cause inflation; loose monetary policy does. Diesel set another record above $6.50 a gallon, near $10 in California. Peter argues a diesel export ban would cut production, and that drawing down the Strategic Petroleum Reserve leaves nothing for a real emergency. On the midterms, he notes Democrats are now 65% favorites to take the Senate, with cost of living the top issue, and blames Trump rather than Biden for inflation, while the Gulf conflict looks to be worsening. He criticizes the White House for pulling credentials from CNN, Politico and MS Now, recounts Trump's reaction to his Fox & Friends appearance, and discusses California's lawsuit against Trump Media over selling early access to Trump's posts for $50,000 to $100,000 a month, which he calls insider information. Peter closes with his Schiff Sovereign Plan B conference in Panama, which drew 130 to 140 attendees, and the story of his grandparents arriving through Ellis Island in 1902 and 1903 with no paperwork. His argument: the problem is not immigrants but the welfare state, and listeners should get their financial house in order, including gold, silver and TGold. Chapters: 00:00 Diesel Hits Record Highs 00:52 Back From Panama Update 03:19 Trump Fed Comment Fallout 09:34 Treasury Yields Break 5% 12:42 Debt Interest Disaster Math 17:30 McDonalds Warns Inflation Years 22:20 Diesel Export Ban And SPR Risks 27:23 Midterms Senate Odds Shift 30:40 War And Media Crackdown Concerns 31:38 Press Ban Fallout 33:18 Fake News Double Standard 33:38 Fox Interview Backlash 35:54 Truth Social Insider Edge 37:12 Market Moving Posts Explained 41:13 GOP Hypocrisy Warning 43:06 Panama Plan B Conference 45:27 Why Panama Appeals 47:40 Gilded Age Tariff Myth 48:45 Open Immigration Then 55:21 Welfare State Border Reality 59:23 Plan B Portfolio Prep 59:51 Signing Off Anniversary Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #nationaldebt #inflation #federalreserve Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 17 · 59 min

    The Fed Hiked Rates 0.25%. It Won't Stop What's Coming.

    The Fed hiked a quarter point. Peter explains why it will not stop the bond market, the dollar, or what is already coming for housing. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - NetSuite. If your revenues are at least seven figures, get the free business guide, Aligning for the Agentic Era: How AI Is Changing Everyday Work, at https://netsuite.com/GOLD - Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. The Fed finally hiked. Peter says the quarter point changes nothing about what is already in motion. The Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75 to 4 percent, a 90 percent probability going in and a unanimous vote coming out. Peter's read is that none of that signals resolve. The Fed did not hike because it wanted to. Months of tough talk had stopped working, the bond market had called the bluff, and the committee was left with a put-up-or-shut-up moment it could not dodge. So it did the smallest thing available, and Kevin Warsh gave the shortest press conference of his tenure on the way out. A quarter point does not touch inflation heading for a four handle, not with oil above 100 dollars and diesel at record highs. The reason the Fed will not do more is not caution, it is capacity. A hike large enough to break inflation would break the economy and the Treasury's ability to fund itself. The market understood immediately. The Dow closed down roughly 600 points after being green before the announcement, and the 10-year Treasury pushed back above 5 percent, which Peter calls a stepping stone to 6. He also covers Trump's demand for sub-1 percent rates, Scott Bessent's testimony, why 8 percent mortgages are coming, and why he expects gold to recover from this selloff quickly. Chapters: 00:00 Fed Hikes Under Pressure 00:33 Markets Priced In the Move 03:46 Fed Cornered by Inflation Talk 06:38 Symbolic Hike and Market Fallout 10:11 Fiscal Policy and Real Inflation 21:31 Bond Yields Surge and Trump Reacts 32:28 Import Cold Turkey Fallout 33:40 Tariffs And China Surplus 35:08 Empty Shelves Economic Crash 36:18 Five Thousand Dollar Dividend 44:30 Bonds For Bombs And Meme Coins 53:32 Crypto Politics Gold Outlook Farewell Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #FedRateHike #Inflation #Gold #BondMarket Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 13 · 1 hr 1 min

    I'm Banned From Fox News for This Forecast... It Just Came True

    Fox dropped Peter for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI proved it. Now an 88% rate hike, 19-year-high yields, and $100 oil. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - My Patriot Supply. Check out the Be Ready Bundle at https://preparewithpeter.com and receive over $1,000 in food and preparedness gear FREE. - Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow. - Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter Peter got dropped from Fox News for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI just proved him right. Last December Peter went on Fox News and said prices were still rising and the rate of increase would accelerate. Trump called him a Trump hater; Fox stopped booking him. Today's CPI: up 0.4% for August, 3.4% year over year, core hotter than expected, PPI running 5.4%, oil back over $100. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%. Everything he said would happen has happened, while the president told a Republican convention this week that prices are "rapidly going down." Markets now put 88% odds on a rate hike next week, and Peter says the Fed has backed itself into a corner: Warsh has talked tough for so long that not hiking ends the Fed's credibility. But a symbolic 25 basis points "ain't gonna cut it" when inflation is rising faster than rates. The bond market already knows. The 10-year hit 4.97%, a 19-year high, the 30-year 5.35%, and Peter argues we're only six years into a bear market where 5% is nowhere near the top, with $40 trillion of debt to refinance. He also takes apart Trump's $5,000 "dividend" (a bribe paid from $4 trillion of new debt), calls gold dips a gift, and says Bitcoin's chart projects to zero. Chapters: 00:00 Fox News Inflation Call 00:34 9/11 Reflections and Liberty 05:27 CPI Report and Fed Odds 14:16 Symbolic Hike Won’t Work 36:49 Metals and Bitcoin Check 37:51 Bitcoin Head and Shoulders 39:24 Why a Midterm Convention 44:55 The 5000 Dividend Claim 57:17 Inflation Jobs and Wrap Up Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 9 · 58 min

    The Bond Market Is About to Break... And Stocks Go With It

    Oil near $100, copper at a record, and the Fed still says 2%. Why the bond market breaks before the stock market does. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. - Function Health. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit. - Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate. Oil near $100, copper at a record, and 65 straight months above 2%. Peter says the bond market breaks first. Brent touched $99.50 and copper hit an all-time high, and Peter's point is that the Fed's 2% target was already unreachable when oil was falling. Sixty-five months above target, and now the inputs are rising again. PPI Thursday and CPI Friday could both come in hot, and if they do, the damage shows up in bonds before it shows up in stocks. The market is pricing roughly 60% odds of a hike next week. Peter doesn't think the Fed will do it, and thinks 25 basis points wouldn't matter if it did, since the market would immediately start pricing the next one. The rest is the bill coming due elsewhere. China just posted a record trade surplus, with August exports up 25% year over year and exports to the US up 34%, which is what happens when tariffs price Americans out of the best deal rather than moving production home. Peter got the receipt himself: the courier billed him for the tariff, then billed him again to process it. Meanwhile the hyperscalers that used to park cash in Treasuries are borrowing from the same pool the government needs, at a moment when interest costs already run $1.2 trillion a year. Chapters: 00:00 Intro 00:39 War Shock Fuels Commodities 02:15 Copper vs Gold Real Money 06:11 Iran War Drags On 21:31 Tariffs and Trade War Fallout 30:18 Producers vs Consumers 31:50 Tariffs Shift Trade 35:52 Why Trade Wars Fail 43:37 Nickels Beat Treasuries 50:59 Fed, Inflation, and Wrap-Up Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #Inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • September 6 · 57 min

    Bond Yields Just Hit a 2007 High... Every Buyer Became a Seller

    Peter Schiff on the fake jobs beat, Trump's trade ultimatum, yields at 2007 highs, a 162% tariff bill, and why the Fed is the last buyer. 📢 Please Support Our Sponsors: - Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. - DripDrop. Stock up now at https://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off - Ground News. Go to https://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. The government says 162,000 jobs is a boom. Peter Schiff says it's a miss, and the bond market agrees. The August jobs report came in at 162,000 against a 55,000 consensus, and Peter Schiff walks through why the number is worse than it looks. The birth-death model supplied 74,000 of those jobs, 45% of the total, on the assumption that new businesses were hiring. More than a third of the rest were waiters and bartenders. JOLTS and ADP both pointed the other way, last month was revised down, and real wages are falling. Kevin Hassett called it a boom; by most measures the economy is weaker than the day Trump took over. Then Trump raised the stakes. He declared that America deserves the lowest interest rates in the world, then threatened to terminate all trade with any surplus country if the Fed doesn't cut. Peter's answer: the United States has never been a worse credit risk than it is right now. The 10-year hit 4.81% and the 30-year 5.28%, the highest since 2007. Japan has sold its Treasury holdings down from $1.3 trillion to $1.1 trillion, everyone who was buying is now selling, and the Fed will end up the buyer of last resort, which means inflation. Peter also covers the week's real data: the July trade deficit at $88.6 billion, the biggest since March 2025; the $283 part that cost him 162% of the tariff once FedEx added its fee; diesel at a record above $5.80; Lutnick on semiconductors and Bastiat's candlemakers; Waller's rate comments sending gold back above $4,400; and an update on TGold's coming gold debit and credit cards. Chapters: 00:00 No Buyers Left 00:29 Back In Puerto Rico 00:47 Jobs Report Miss 05:36 Real Wages Falling 06:09 Waiters And Bartenders 08:00 JOLTS ADP Contradiction 09:10 Birth Death Model 10:23 Hassett Boom Claim 13:27 Trump Rate Demands 15:20 Worst Credit Risk Ever 17:24 Trump Trade Ultimatum 24:07 Bessent Kudlow Interview 27:27 Yields Hit 2007 Highs 28:24 Yen And Japan Selling 31:14 Oil Diesel Record 33:15 Stocks Gold Silver 39:16 Trade Deficit Widens 42:02 My 162% Tariff Bill 45:37 Lutnick Semiconductors 48:33 Bastiat Candlemakers 51:08 Waller Rate Comments 53:39 Gold Pullback Gift 54:03 TGold Cards Update 1:00:24 Bitcoin And EuroPac 1:02:12 Labor Day Sign Off Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • August 29 · 56 min

    The Bond Buybacks Just Doubled... And Now There's a Military Option

    Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%. This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm The Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline. Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised. Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat. Chapters: 00:00 Inflation Firestorm 00:37 Boatcast Setup 01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown 04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored 08:10 Forward Guidance Critique 11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs 12:46 Money Supply Matters 13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets 18:50 Trump Military Option 20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout 27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin 31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral 32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning 34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift 39:03 Boating Bubble Bust 45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling 48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy 53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk 56:30 Boat Ownership Reality 57:09 Closing Politics Plug Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #BondMarket #FederalReserve Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • August 20 · 45 min

    The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is Broken

    Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day. This episode is sponsored by Noom. The Noom GLP-1 Program starts at $39 and is delivered to your door in as little as seven days. Go to https://noom.com to learn more. This episode is also sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken. On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid. The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified. Chapters: 00:00 Treasury Panic Move 01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs 02:58 Debt Explosion Politics 07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist 10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered 16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge 24:03 Markets React Unevenly 24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps 25:08 Fed Inflation Bind 26:30 Debt Era Comparison 27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin 29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals 31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages 33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade 37:50 Buybacks Won't Work 42:26 QE Addiction Ahead 44:34 Boat Update Farewell Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • August 17 · 51 min

    The Next Leg Down in Your Standard of Living Just Started

    Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard. This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to https://netsuite.com/gold This episode is also sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit. Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again. The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion. Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict. Chapters: 00:00 Middle Class Squeeze 01:01 PPI Breakdown 04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge 05:23 Stagflation Signals 08:28 Bond Market Warning 11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes 14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge 15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips 18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case 21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil 26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy 28:52 Inflation Math Reality 29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure 30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour 34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit 37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained 48:09 Dollar Standard Ending Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #Stagflation #Inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • August 13 · 52 min

    Last Week Was the Warning... What Comes Next Is Bigger

    A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act. This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter This episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate. This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm The CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history. Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number. Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost. Chapters: 00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices 01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets 04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge 10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver 19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE 31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries 32:00 Both Parties Shift Left 34:17 Trump Corruption Claims 37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold 44:13 Iran War Reality Check Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • August 8 · 51 min

    Everything I Warned You About Just Happened... All in One Week

    Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge. This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off This episode is also sponsored by Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow. Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism. Chapters: 00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop 01:11 Back At Sea Intro 01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan 03:23 Stocks Metals Surge 06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning 09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds 14:00 July Jobs Shock 15:33 Revisions Participation Drop 19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation 24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant 26:49 Japan Crisis Tease 29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown 31:30 Debt Trap And Rates 32:23 Treasury Selling Threat 34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination 36:08 Swap Line QE Explained 41:15 Euro Intervention Twist 44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals 47:51 Storm Warning Ahead 49:18 Blame Government Not Markets 52:07 Prepare And Spread The Word Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

  • July 30 · 58 min

    The Fed Just Chose Inflation... And the Bond Market Called Its Bluff

    The Fed talked tough and did nothing. The 30-year hit a 20-year high. The Dow fell 1,100 points. Gold was the only thing left standing. Tonight’s episode is sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm Tonight’s episode is also sponsored by Ethos. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/gold. Application times may vary. Rates may vary. The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, exactly where they were before Kevin Warsh took over, despite a 30% market-priced chance of a hike and three FOMC members dissenting in favor of one. Peter Schiff breaks down a press conference where Warsh declared "no tolerance" for inflation above 2% while doing nothing about it, hiding behind the excuse that the Fed "doesn't have a magic wand." Nobody asked for magic, just for the Fed to use the tools it actually has: higher rates, a smaller balance sheet, slower money supply growth. Warsh delivered none of them, and Schiff argues he made the same choice as his predecessors. Inflation is a choice, and the Fed chose it again. The markets rendered their verdict immediately. The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.22%, its highest in roughly 20 years, the Dow fell 2.2% or about 1,100 points to close on the lows, and the Nasdaq 100 is now down over 3% on the week as the air keeps coming out of the AI bubble, with Meta down 10% after missing earnings and SanDisk off 30% in three days. Gold told the real story: it closed up $40 at 4,070 and never broke 4,000, because rising yields driven by a loss of confidence in the Fed are bullish for gold, not bearish. Schiff calls gold the last safe haven standing. He also covers consumer confidence at a five-year low, a $101.5 billion June trade deficit proving the tariffs accomplished nothing, and why Mamdani's government-run grocery stores will empty shelves, bankrupt private grocers in the poorest neighborhoods, and recreate Soviet bread lines in New York City. Chapters: 00:00 Debt Bubble Reality 00:37 Fed Holds Rates Steady 03:34 Two Percent Target Doubts 16:05 Q&A Exposes Inaction 27:38 Markets React Bonds Stocks Gold 31:45 Yields and Gold Misread 35:02 Gold Safe Haven Case 37:40 Fed Fallout and Data 43:12 NYC Government Grocers 55:42 Capitalism and Wrap Up Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 26 · 59 min

    Japan Is About to Pop the Biggest Bubble in History... And It Takes Us With It

    The yen just hit a 40-year low and Japan is trapped. Whether they hike or freeze, it ends the same way: the pin that pricks our bubble. Tonight’s episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to http://netsuite.ai/gold Tonight’s episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm Investors are far too complacent about risks that are now hiding in plain sight. The AI trade cracked this week: Alphabet fell 10% after announcing even higher CapEx, Oracle is down 41% on the year, Meta and Amazon fell, and Microsoft is nearly in a bear market. SpaceX now trades 49% below its post-IPO high with its float set to jump from 5% to 40% by year end, and Tesla dropped 18%, costing Elon Musk nearly $100 billion in a week. Peter Schiff compares the roughly three-quarters of a trillion dollars in annual AI CapEx to the dot-com build-out, where the early favorites went bankrupt and took their vendors down with them. The bigger danger is Japan. The yen fell to a 40-year low against the dollar, the 30-year JGB yield hit an all-time high near 4%, and with debt above 200% of GDP and a policy rate still at just 1%, Japan is trapped. Whether the Bank of Japan finally hikes aggressively or stays timid, the result spills into the United States, potentially forcing the world's largest holder of US Treasuries to dump its $1.1 trillion position. Schiff calls Japan the pin that pricks the far bigger US bubble. Meanwhile the US 30-year yield hit a 20-year high of 5.16% on more than four times the debt of 2006, oil is up 30% in July guaranteeing a hotter CPI, and gold rose on the week even as bonds and stocks fell, with the miners signaling a bottom. He closes on why record-low jobless claims are meaningless in a gig economy and why Trump's new slave-labor tariffs are an unconstitutional tax on Americans. Chapters: 00:00 Japan Sparks US Crisis 00:41 AI CapEx Reality Check 07:51 AI Bubble Parallels 13:03 Gold Miners Rebound 19:17 Oil Bonds Warning Signs 32:16 Japan Debt Rate Trap 34:36 Weak Yen Trade Deficits 37:22 Japan Creditor Status Slips 41:22 Two Japan Crisis Paths 44:26 US Vulnerability Dominoes 45:21 Unemployment Claims Hype 47:20 Why Claims Mislead 51:37 New Tariffs Legal Workaround 59:03 Wrap Up Subscribe Call Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #PeterSchiffShow #gold #inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 19 · 1 hr 8 min

    The Fed Admitted It. The Treasury Blew It. The CPI Lied.

    Warsh admitted monetary policy caused inflation. Bessent thinks silver certificates still redeem at Fort Knox. And import prices are up 7.1%. This is episode is sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit. This episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox viewers that old silver and gold certificates can still be redeemed at Fort Knox. Gold certificates were repudiated in 1933 and silver certificates in 1968. Peter Schiff argues that if the man who signs the currency does not know basic monetary history, there is no reason to trust his assurance that the gold in Fort Knox is all there. Markets confirmed the AI bubble is deflating. SpaceX fell 13.25% on the week to close below $124, under its $135 IPO price, and anyone who bought the post-IPO high near $225 is down 45%. Only about 5% of the company trades today, but lockups expire through year end and take the float to roughly 40%, an eightfold increase in supply. Gold closed at $4,017 and silver at $55.83, which Schiff calls a head fake created by the false narrative that war is bad for gold. The honest inflation numbers tell a different story than the CPI: import prices are up 7.1% year over year and export prices are up 10.2%, against a reported 3.5%. Kevin Warsh admitted in Senate testimony that monetary policy caused the inflation, then offered a plan that amounts to talking about it while the Fed's balance sheet grew another $7.4 billion. Schiff also covers Trump selling paid early access to market-moving posts and explosive new FOIA emails showing Euro Pacific Bank was shut down for publicity, with the Australian Tax Office driving the operation to protect a journalist facing his defamation suit. Chapters: 00:00 Trump Posts Paywall 01:23 Market Week Wrap 07:42 Gold Silver War 09:52 Inflation Data Reality 23:30 Warsh Hearing Grifts 37:59 AI Jobs and Progress 40:22 Trump Post and Fox Fallout 44:05 FOIA Trail and Censorship Claims 50:31 Nine Fraud Bank Shutdown Emails 57:07 Operation Atlantis PR Exposed Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #FortKnox #Inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 15 · 58 min

    AI Cash Cows Just Became Cash Vacuums... This Breaks the Bond Market

    In 1914 the Fed ran on 40 people and no computers. Today it takes 23,000. Fire them all and let AI do it... it can't do any worse. Tonight’s episode is sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm This episode is also sponsored by Ethos. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/gold. Application times may vary. Rates may vary. Kevin Warsh delivered his first congressional testimony as Fed Chair, and Peter Schiff breaks down a hearing where everyone discussed inflation while misdefining the term and ignoring their own role in causing it. June CPI came in at -0.4% versus the expected -0.1%, dropping year-over-year inflation to 3.5% — but the entire decline came from a temporary oil price drop that is already reversing as the Iran war reignites and oil climbs back 20% in July. Bond yields tell the real story: the 30-year is back near 5.1% and the 10-year near 4.6%, erasing nearly the entire post-CPI rally. Schiff's biggest revelation from the hearing: the Fed employs 23,000 people to do a job that required just 40 when it opened in 1914 — with no computers — and argues the entire institution could be replaced by a single AI or abolished outright. He dismantles Warsh's claim of "regime change" at the Fed as being as fake as regime change in Iran, exposes the redefinition of "price stability" to mean prices that rise just slowly enough that people stop complaining, and shows how the 2% target was always a lie invented to justify inflation. He covers Warsh admitting inflation is a tax while planning to keep levying it, the court throwing out Trump's self-negotiated IRS settlement that granted his family immunity, and the AI CapEx bubble turning tech's biggest cash generators into massive borrowers that will break the bond market. Chapters: 00:00 AI Spending Arms Race 01:08 Markets Brace for CPI 06:07 CPI Surprise and Gold Whipsaw 07:34 Oil Driven Inflation Mirage 11:40 What Inflation Really Means 14:11 Congress and Fed Share Blame 17:58 Fed Headcount Shock 22:32 Two Percent Target Myth 27:05 Regime Change and Price Stability 33:40 Day One Recap Continues 34:09 Grow My X Account 35:13 Congress Inflation Theater 36:06 Trump Grift Claims 37:30 IRS Settlement Outrage 39:51 Rates Versus Balance Sheet 41:08 Who Wins Low Rates 43:46 Fed And Black Workers 49:09 AI Bubble Warning 51:15 Hyperscalers Debt Spiral 55:38 Bond Market Breaking Point 58:16 Strategy Stock Dilution 01:00:30 Bitcoin Levels And Regrets 01:01:30 Subscribe And Sign Off Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff #PeterSchiffShow #FederalReserve #AIBubble Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 12 · 56 min

    The Bond Market Breakdown Has Started... Stocks, Housing, Crypto Are Next

    A new housing law just passed that guarantees prices go higher. Bonds are breaking. And every bank bullish on Bitcoin refuses to buy Stretch. This episode is sponsored by Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow. This episode is also sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world. Watch more episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TE0fyjt4Occ&list=PL9hNbo_Ztnr9cAg2Ee0Tiid1quEU1imiS The Iran peace deal collapsed and the war is back on, yet US stock markets barely reacted — the AI bubble powering tech kept the S&P and Nasdaq positive while gold and silver sold off, with gold closing at $4,019 and silver falling 3.5% below $60. Bond yields climbed back to cycle highs with the 10-year at 4.56% and the 30-year at 5.06%, and Peter Schiff sees a major breakdown ahead that will hit stocks, housing, and crypto simultaneously. The 21st Century Road to Housing Bill became law without Trump's signature, and Schiff argues it will make housing worse, not better. Nine decades of government housing policy — every program sold as making homes more affordable — have produced the least affordable housing in American history, because subsidizing demand raises prices and the money ends up in sellers' pockets. Trump has openly said he wants home prices to rise, in the middle of an affordability crisis. Meanwhile SpaceX fell 36% from its highs in under two weeks with every open-market buyer underwater and lockup expirations still ahead. Every Wall Street firm covering Bitcoin is bullish — Citi at $82K, Standard Chartered at $100K, Bernstein at $150K, JP Morgan at $170K — yet not one is buying Stretch at $87.48, where a 13.7% yield proves the market doesn't believe Bitcoin can appreciate 12% a year. They don't believe their own forecasts. Chapters: 00:00 Markets Defy Bad News 01:38 War Tensions and Metals 05:11 Bond Yields Warning Signs 06:57 AI Bubble and IPO Mania 11:42 Bitcoin Hype and Wall Street 17:07 Dollar Flat Oil Rising 18:09 Housing Bill Political Fight 19:54 Affordability Crisis Explained 24:16 How Subsidies Inflate Prices 32:03 Bubble Collateral Trap 32:58 Jobs Report Media Spin 34:40 Housing Supply Not Subsidies 37:20 Save America Act Debate 41:25 Voting Rights Republic Critique 52:49 Democracy Incentives Corruption 57:12 Two Party No Choice 58:42 Podcast Wrap Up YouTube: https://youtube.com/peterschiff X: https://x.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 9 · 59 min

    We Need Another Emancipation. This Time From Our Own Government

    Iran deal dead. DOGE dead. Saylor selling at a loss. Medieval serfs kept more of their income than you do. I warned you about all of it. This episode is sponsored by DripDrop. Stock up now at http://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosm The Iran peace deal collapsed and the war is back on, with Trump acknowledging he was "two weeks from a depression" when he agreed to the MOU — a confession Peter Schiff says handed Iran all the leverage. Oil jumped 6% to $75, but the real story is bond yields: the 10-year hit 4.58% and the 30-year 5.07% — nearly at cycle highs despite oil being 25% below its peak, proving the debt, not the war, is driving yields higher. FOMC minutes revealed that 9 of 13 members now support rate hikes after zero did just 90 days ago — theatrics Schiff says Warsh is orchestrating to appear hawkish without ever delivering. The May goods trade deficit exploded to $106.5 billion despite Trump's tariffs, continuing the pattern from his first term. DOGE was officially shut down with zero spending cuts achieved. Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin at a $15,000 per coin loss while Stretch sank to $86, and Trump's new savings accounts give kids $1,000 in borrowed money they'll repay through inflation. Schiff closes by noting that medieval serfs kept 75% of their output — more than the average American keeps today — making modern taxpayers lower in status than feudal peasants. Chapters: 00:00 Freedom Versus Slavery 00:46 Iran Deal Collapses 05:04 Markets React to War 07:15 Oil Bonds and AI Bubble 16:17 Fed Minutes Rate Hike Theater 21:28 Tariffs Inflation Excuses 26:10 Real Rates and Debt Trap 27:41 Trade Deficit Reality Check 30:03 AI Threat to Services Surplus 32:32 Democracy Deficits and Rights 34:59 Rights And Healthcare 36:28 Housing And Free Markets 40:08 Tax Cuts And Wealth Theft 45:55 Taxes And Modern Slavery 48:25 DOGE Shutdown And Bitcoin Crash Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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  • July 3 · 58 min

    They Don't Want You to Hear This on Independence Day

    Saylor authorized $1.25B in Bitcoin sales. 514K full-time jobs vanished. Trump made $2.2B selling access. 250 years later, we need another revolution. • This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peter The June jobs report came in at 57,000 — half of the lowest estimate — with May revised down from 172,000 to 129,000. Full-time employment collapsed by 514,000 in a single month, bringing total full-time job losses since Trump took office to 2.24 million. The labor force participation rate dropped to 61.5% as 700,000 workers simply gave up, and manufacturing has lost 73,000 jobs despite Trump's tariff promises. Michael Saylor officially surrendered the "never sell Bitcoin" thesis, establishing a "Bitcoin monetization fund" authorizing up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin sales to maintain dollar reserves, buy back common stock, and repurchase Stretch preferreds trading at $87.80. He raised the Stretch dividend to 12% with mandatory increases ahead. Peter Schiff argues this transforms Strategy from the market's biggest buyer into its biggest seller, removing the bid that underpinned Bitcoin's price. Trump's financial disclosure revealed $2.2 billion in income — $1.4 billion from meme coins and tokens alone — while Mar-a-Lago membership hit $1 million and the Executive Club charges $500,000 for a restaurant seat next to cabinet members. Peter closes with a 250th Independence Day reflection, arguing Americans today face more tyranny than the colonists ever did under King George, and that the revolution we need now must happen at the ballot box. Chapters: 00:00 Holiday Intro and July 4th Tease 00:37 Jobs Report Shock and Revisions 03:43 Full-Time Jobs Slide and Tariff Reality 07:29 Fed Rate Hike Theater and Gold Bounce 16:28 Bitcoin Strategy Turns Seller 29:57 Meme Coins as Bribes 31:09 Paying for Trump Access 34:26 Debt Gimmicks and Deficits 35:38 Independence Day and Founding Ideals 45:45 Modern Tyranny and Peaceful Revolution Follow @peterschiff X: https://twitter.com/peterschiff Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news #PeterSchiffShow #IndependenceDay #BitcoinCrash Our Sponsors: * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Showing 1–20 of 33 episodes