BusinessInvestingTechnologyNewsTech News

The Macro Trading Floor

Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!

Play

Open in

25 episodes
Avg 34 min
English

Episodes 25

Newest Oldest Longest

All20 Unplayed20 In progress0 Played0

Counted on this page — what you have heard stays on this device, so it is not something the list can be paged by.

Friday · 35 min
The Credit Market Boogeyman
Alf and Brent discuss how developments in credit markets are rattling investors from France to the state of the AI credit cycle. The duo covers the implications for equities, currencies and fixed income.
October 16 · 30 min
AI Bubble Popping Or A Boring Pullback?
Alf and Brent are back on the show to discuss the recent price action in AI stocks which is also heavily impacting the bond market. Is the AI bubble popping? Are credit fears to be taken seriously, such that the asset allocation has to change? Or is this just a boring pullback like the many others we saw along the way in the AI trade?
October 9 · 40 min
6% Yields Next & Will Stonks Handle It?
Alf and Brent discuss the relentless bond yield and USD move. Can we get to 6% yields in the US, or even higher? And will stonks be able to handle it?
October 2 · 38 min
Macro Blowups Everywhere - What Now?
Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these?
August 28 · 35 min
On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades
Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.
August 9 · 37 min
On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY
In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?
July 31 · 38 min
Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes
Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment?
July 10 · 35 min
The Orange Variable
Brent and Alf discuss the n-th injection of the Orange Variable in markets: Trump decided to escalate again with Iran, and even suggested the ceasefire might be over altogether. The duo discusses how to approach these injections of uncertainty, and what are the best trading and risk management frameworks to deploy here.
June 26 · 30 min
The Rebasement Trade
Alf and Brent discuss the major market shifts since the Warsh press conference. Is this a big macro shift or just a mini-trend that will ultimately slow down or even reverse?
May 22 · 37 min
The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG) To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the best risk/reward ways to position for the macro environment ahead of us. They then deep dive into option structures around gold, and the question of increasing sample size of trades to reduce PnL variance against the risk of downgrading your edge and expected value per trade when the sample size increases.
May 15 · 33 min
Process, Process, Process
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG) To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent focus on various aspects of their investment/risk management process. They discuss several ideas and how to implement them according to their framework: when to use options? How to think about convexity?
May 8 · 33 min
Macro Investing In A Post-Hormuz World
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent refresh their macro and trading frameworks on the basis of new info: the Iran/US MoU in negotiation phase, how the world might look like when Hormuz reopens, the Japanese FX intervention and more.
April 17 · 37 min
New All-Time Highs Are Here: Now What?
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent discuss the framework for an Iran-US deal, and how to approach rates, currencies and equity markets for the foreseeable future.
April 10 · 33 min
Frameworks To Trade The Hormuz Crisis
To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent are back discussing frameworks to approach this market as a short-term oriented trader or as a long-term focused macro investor.
March 20 · 33 min
How To Trade Macro In A War
Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here.
March 6 · 37 min
Hormuz & The Terms of Trade Shock
Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment,
January 30 · 37 min
The New Fed vs The Good Old Bond Market
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly). In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how the appointment of the new Fed Chair could shape the US policy making objective in the bond market. The repercussions on the USD and on the incentive schemes for other large bond market players (e.g. Japanese investors) are not to be underestimated.
January 23 · 37 min
US Dollar Hedging: A Real Risk or Just a Narrative?
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly). In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the April-2025-like price action which coincided with the tariff threats. Now that the TACO is here, the real question is: will this episode encourage global pension funds to hedge their gigantic USD exposure?
January 16 · 36 min
Japanese Macro Tails
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly). In this episode, Alf and Brent focus the discussion on Japanese short-term and long-term macro: is the MoF ready to intervene? How do you trade these policymaker-induced setups? And in the long-run, will the market keep punishing the JPY and long-end bonds or will the Bank of Japan turn hawkish and surprise the market?
January 9 · 37 min
The Everything SuperCycle?
To reach out to Alf and Brent, ping them on BBG (Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly). In the first TMTF episode of 2026, Alf and Brent discuss every single macro asset class under the sun: equities, bonds, currencies and commodities. The duo also talks about the reaction function of the Fed, and a few idiosyncratic ideas.

Showing 1–20 of 25 episodes