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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

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Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.

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64 episodes
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English

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Thursday · 44 min
Breaking Down Tuesday’s Blue “Mega Tsunami” with Glenn Beck!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere is joined by the one and only Glenn Beck to analyze Tuesday’s midterm elections and look ahead to what the country will go through under its new Democratic legislature. Then, Stu covers the last few lingering angles of the midterms that might yet yield some investment value in the prediction markets. And Stu shares some of the Predictable Posse audience’s biggest wins and losses from the midterms.
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Wednesday · 43 min
Were YOUR Midterm Profits Substantial Enough to Soothe the Pain?
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere gives his overall on last night’s historic midterms and tries to view the political silver linings through the lens of profitability. Then, Stu details every single investment he made on last night’s elections and whether or not they paid off for him. Plus, a look at the latest at the as-of-yet undecided Senate races in Alaska and Mississippi and if there’s any remaining value to be found in the markets.
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November 2 · 45 min
FINAL Predictions and Market Analysis Before 2026 Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere gives his final predictions for the Senate, House and Governor races in tomorrow’s monumental midterm elections while outlining some major last minute profit opportunities across the markets. Plus, Stu previews a vital new Predictable tool that will be instrumental in election day data monitoring and investing and drops some important details on tomorrow night’s live results coverage.
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October 29 · 44 min
Will the NYT’s Random-Acts-of-Journalism Affect Major Midterms Races?
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the shocking scoops by the New York Times regarding Mary Peltola’s dirty campaign tricks in Alaska and Ilhan Omar’s questionable marriage terms and analyzes what, if any, effect the stories might have in the upcoming election. Then, Eventual’s Alex Keeney joins to give a prediction market expert’s take on what the industry can tell us about Tuesday’s midterm results.
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October 28 · 45 min
Surely Our Midterms Reality Can’t Be THIS Insane!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a political reality check to figure out if, a week out from the midterms, the worst-case scenario is really coming to pass. Plus, an investigation into whether or not we’ve encountered any political situations like this in modern American history. And Stu decides whether his producer has stumbled onto some value when it comes to a market involving the Rotten Tomatoes score of the upcoming, “Godzilla Minus Zero.”
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October 27 · 45 min
Are Bad Actors Using Prediction Markets to MANIPULATE Reality?!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere debunks the idiotic claim that prediction markets are being used to manipulate real life events and force ill-gained profits. Then, Stu examines the latest in the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign ad controversy and ponders why nobody is losing their minds over a similar Lindsay Graham ad from the left. Plus, what happens when the sports and prediction market industries collide? Stu investigates.
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October 26 · 44 min
The GOP’s LAST CHANCE For Midterms Redemption
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the one last underdiscussed factor that could salvage the GOP’s chances in the upcoming November midterm elections. Then, Stu examines the latest out of Brazil as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the presidential election over opponent Flávio Bolsonaro and breaks down what lessons we can learn about a vital topic in the investment space: the overall accuracy of prediction markets. Plus, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” groups together a consequential and potentially dangerous group of politicians that has the potential for major impact in the midterms.
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October 22 · 44 min
The Midterm Debates Get HEATED
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reacts to some of the spiciest moments from last night’s political debates in Michigan and Kansas. And, friend-of-the-program Dan Andros joins to draft his NBA fantasy team and maybe talk a little smack on LeBron James.
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October 21 · 44 min
Are We Overlooking a MAJOR Factor in our Midterm Calculations??
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals a major potential issue that EVERYONE might be missing when it comes to investing in the midterm elections. Then, Stu looks at the crazy breaking story about a popular pollster being exposed as a fake leftwing booster project. And, Stu defends the castle of the prediction market industry against yet another idiotic attack from the mainstream media.
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October 20 · 45 min
The Countdown Is ON: Two Weeks Until Crucial Midterm Elections
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the state of the race for both the Senate and Gubernatorial candidates in the United States and analyzes what exactly the prediction markets are telling us to expect about the outcome. Then, a new NBA season is upon us; Stu previews what’s to come and dives into LeBron James’s upcoming start with his new team, the Philadelphia 76ers. And, Stu gets a little independent on a brand new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Vermont.
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October 19 · 45 min
PANIC DAY: What Level of Freak-Out is Appropriate for YOUR Investments?
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere faces PANIC DAY head-on and explains how to make the most of your prediction market investments as we get closer to what appears to be a disastrous midterm election season. Then, Stu shares his “Prediction Pain” over the extremely-short tenure of former Trump administration Press Secretary Katie Zacharia. Plus, a prediction market-based story involving the Los Angeles Dodgers once again disproves the mainstream media’s common narrative that market investing is ‘just gambling.’
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October 15 · 45 min
FINAL Pre-Panic Day Senate Board Check-In (NO TOSS-UPS)
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere does one FINAL check-in on the state of the Senate before this upcoming Monday’s PANIC DAY and rearranges his Senate board to get rid of any lingering toss-up race options. Then, legendary prediction market trader PMT returns to the show to detail his investment and profit plans for the midterm elections in November. And Stu breaks down a market he kinda likes regarding tonight’s Tesla Roadster reveal event.
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October 14 · 45 min
The One MAJOR Midterms Issue that Could Flip the Election on its Head
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reacts to the newest inflation report and breaks down whether or not it’s too late to get gas prices under control and put the GOP back on track to prevail in November’s midterms. Then, Dan Andros is back to help build his own Predictable w/ Stu Senate Fantasy League team. And Stu weighs the recent federal raid on Ilhan Omar’s home against her chances in her upcoming midterm race.
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October 13 · 45 min
What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest polling and markets on James Talarico and makes the case for taking the smart investment on the race as opposed to being led astray by emotion and fear. Then, a look into the GOP’s recent financial movement as certain races around the nation are stripped of cash while Elon Musk is making massive monetary injections in certain areas. And, Stu tries to decide where the smart investment lies when it comes to a movie about a whale swallowing a scuba diver.
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October 12 · 44 min
Funding Your Prediction Market Wallet with the SENATE FANTASY LEAGUE
On today’s “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere explains how you can fill your prediction market wallet by joining and playing in our brand new Senate Fantasy League! Then, a new edition of “Predictable Postmortem” featuring Donald Trump’s new press secretary and the WNBA’s Sixth Player of the Year. And, Stu learns to hedge his life when it comes to the Philadelphia Eagles.
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October 8 · 45 min
The Republican FREAK OUT Index
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the states whose Republican Party should be freaking out the most about the upcoming midterm elections and outlines the criteria that will ultimately affect voter opinion the most. Then, David “Scottilicious” Bensoussan returns to the program to give an expert prediction market trader’s view on what to expect in November.
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October 7 · 45 min
What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” segment heads down south to Mississippi.
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October 6 · 44 min
Does Abdul El-Sayad REALLY Have a Shot in Michigan Senate Race?
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases that can exist in the prediction market space and why they don’t really make an impact on the effectiveness of using market data to determine future probability.
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October 5 · 45 min
There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu hedges his life (and increases his portfolio) in the wake of back-to-back losses for the Philadelphia Eagles.
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October 1 · 44 min
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.
- Transcript

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