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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley · July 28 · 1 hr 8 min

Luke Gromen: Yield Curve Control is the Only Way to Stop a Global Bond Crisis

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Luke Gromen, founder of Forest for the Trees, sites down with Max Wiethe to dissect the escalating crisis in the global bond market. Gromen argues that off-balance sheet liabilities, such as baby boomer retirements and surging veterans' benefits, are colliding with massive defense spending to force a dangerous inflationary spiral. He unpacks how "defense stimmies" from nations like Japan and Germany are turning historical creditors into aggressive bond sellers, putting immense pressure on yields. Throughout the conversation, Gromen also issues a stark warning about the AI tech bubble, the incoming policies of new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and why China's massive gold accumulation is a major red flag for the US dollar. Read The Forest for the Trees: https://fftt-llc.com Follow Luke Gromen on X: https://x.com/LukeGromen Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:52 Bond Selloff Explained 04:54 Debt Spiral Mechanics 08:22 Global Defense Stimulus 09:58 Real Yields Reality Check 13:20 Fed Chair Fantasy 15:34 Sponsor Break Fundrise 16:57 AI Trade Meets China 20:52 Labor Data Warning 23:02 AI Backstop Coming 26:28 No Long Bond Floor 30:44 Gold Revaluation Debate 35:27 China Gold Buying Surge 36:31 Oil Reserves And Leverage 39:19 Pain Contest with The West 43:22 Inequality and Instability 47:18 Dollar Down Yield Trap 50:03 Buy the Dip 52:12 Gold Targets and Gradualism 54:50 Bitcoin Lags Tech Risk 58:47 Warsh Fed No Good Options 01:02:55 What Breaks First? 01:05:33 Bonds Are the Biggest Bubble

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transcript

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show notes

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm


Luke Gromen, founder of Forest for the Trees, sites down with Max Wiethe to dissect the escalating crisis in the global bond market. Gromen argues that off-balance sheet liabilities, such as baby boomer retirements and surging veterans' benefits, are colliding with massive defense spending to force a dangerous inflationary spiral. He unpacks how "defense stimmies" from nations like Japan and Germany are turning historical creditors into aggressive bond sellers, putting immense pressure on yields. Throughout the conversation, Gromen also issues a stark warning about the AI tech bubble, the incoming policies of new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, and why China's massive gold accumulation is a major red flag for the US dollar.


Read The Forest for the Trees: https://fftt-llc.com


Follow Luke Gromen on X: https://x.com/LukeGromen

Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe


Follow Other People’s Money on:

Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M

Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi

YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR

X https://x.com/opmpod


Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

00:52 Bond Selloff Explained

04:54 Debt Spiral Mechanics

08:22 Global Defense Stimulus

09:58 Real Yields Reality Check

13:20 Fed Chair Fantasy

15:34 Sponsor Break Fundrise

16:57 AI Trade Meets China

20:52 Labor Data Warning

23:02 AI Backstop Coming

26:28 No Long Bond Floor

30:44 Gold Revaluation Debate

35:27 China Gold Buying Surge

36:31 Oil Reserves And Leverage

39:19 Pain Contest with The West

43:22 Inequality and Instability

47:18 Dollar Down Yield Trap

50:03 Buy the Dip

52:12 Gold Targets and Gradualism

54:50 Bitcoin Lags Tech Risk

58:47 Warsh Fed No Good Options

01:02:55 What Breaks First?

01:05:33 Bonds Are the Biggest Bubble