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Artwork for Industry Insights: Exclusive Interviews

Industry Insights: Exclusive Interviews

Octus

Go beyond the headlines with in-depth conversations featuring top industry leaders across the entire credit lifecycle. From CLOs and private credit to the broader financial landscape under the Octus umbrella, this series delivers expert perspectives, market-shaping insights, and exclusive analysis to keep you ahead of the curve.

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  • 18 episodes
  • Avg 36 min
  • English
  • S2 · E13
    August 18 · 20 min

    EP 18 | Inside the $107 Billion AI Data Center Debt Boom with Anton Gorbunov

    Julie Miecamp, Deputy Global Head of Editorial at Octus, opens the episode by framing the scale of what has quietly become one of the fastest-growing corners of the credit market. In roughly 18 months, high yield and unrated AI infrastructure issuers have raised more than $107 billion, and the top seven players alone may need another $400 billion to $450 billion over the next four years to hit their stated capacity targets. She then hands off to Seth Brumby, Deputy Managing Editor at Octus, who sits down with Anton Gorbounov Senior Credit Analyst on the Octus credit research team. Brumby and Gorbunov walk through what a data center actually is and why the industry splits into powered shells and neoclouds (03:26), the backstories of the operators, from former crypto miners to an "Airbnb for chips" (08:56). They pressure test the macro and micro risks, including contract economics, counterparty exposure and GPU residual value (11:02), before turning to the widening gap between how equity and credit markets are pricing the same names (15:46). The conversation closes on what to watch next, including the Anthropic and OpenAI S-1s (18:08). A credit-first read on the sector everyone is watching and few fully understand. ----more---- Hosted by Julie Miecamp Guest Interviewer: Seth Brumby, Deputy Managing Editor Octus Guest: Anton Gorbounov, Senior Credit Analyst, Octus Produced and Edited by Tanya Hubbard A Production of The Octus Podcast Network

  • S1 · E17
    August 13 · 35 min

    EP 17: European Private Credit at an Inflection Point with Mathew Cestar

    Julie Miecamp, Deputy Global Head of Editorial at Octus, opens the episode by framing a European private credit market bracing for a software reset, a refinancing wall building toward 2028, and a higher-for-longer rate environment that's quietly rewritten the playbook. The real risk, she notes, isn't the one everyone's arguing about. She then hands off to Lucia Camblor, Deputy Head of Private Credit and Deal Origination at Octus, in conversation with Mathew Cestar, President at Arini. Two decades into building leverage finance at Credit Suisse and advising ICG's leadership, Cestar walks through why Arini exited software lending 18 to 24 months ago, well ahead of the reset now forcing the industry to explain itself (04:19), why the nearer-term threat to tech-heavy portfolios is cost of capital rather than AI disruption (08:49), and why years of pent-up restructuring in private markets are still working their way through the system (14:43). He pushes back on the assumption that scale equals safety in large-cap direct lending (17:10), makes the case for pan-European diversification over single-country concentration (19:04), and closes with why sponsorless lending, ABF, real estate credit, and infrastructure are the next legs of European debanking (27:04). A conversation with a practitioner who has spent the full cycle inside European credit and isn't interested in the panel version of the story. Closing Credits ----more---- Hosted by Julie Miecamp. Guest Interviewer: Lucia Camblor, Deputy Head of Private Credit and Deal Origination, EMEA, Octus. Guest: Mathew Cestar, President, Arini. Produced by Tanya Hubbard. A Production of The Octus Podcast Network (00:00) - Introduction from Julie Miecamp (02:33) - Lucia Camblor introduces Mathew Cestar (03:08) - The state of European private credit after the GFC (04:19) - Software concentration, the SaaS reset, and why Arini exited early (08:49) - Rate environment, refinancing wall, and the energy overhang (14:43) - Default rates, the public-private feedback loop, and pent-up stress (17:10) - Where the risk sits: lenders versus sponsors (19:04) - LP rebalancing away from US concentration into Europe (23:17) - Banks versus private credit as a symbiotic ecosystem (24:44) - Sponsorless lending and the Lazard partnership (27:04) - Capital rotation into infrastructure and the debanking theme (30:33) - Secondaries, continuation funds, and market maturation (32:06) - Rapid-fire and wrap

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  • S1 · E16
    July 22 · 46 min

    EP 16: Inside a Trillion Dollar CLO Market with Vincent Pompliano

    Julie Miecamp, Deputy Global Head of Editorial at Octus, opens the episode by framing a CLO market that has changed almost beyond recognition: past $1 trillion in size, more than 160 managers issuing in the US alone, and the economics of CLO equity shifting under everyone's feet (00:06). She then hands off to Sid Punjabi, CLO Reporter at Octus, who caught Vince Pompliano, Managing Director and Co-Head of the US CLO Platform at Benefit Street Partners, at a real milestone: BSP just priced its 50th new issue CLO (02:19). Vince opens with the big picture, arguing the number one lesson of the past decade is that the structure works, with the waterfall, OC tests, and portfolio quality tests doing exactly what they were built to do (02:53). He pushes back on the negative headlines around Iran and the AI software scare, pointing to positive GDP growth, contained inflation, and borrowers still growing revenue and EBITDA (04:03), and lays out his base case for sustained gross issuance into 2026, helped by refis, resets, and short dated paper giving every investor an entry point (05:48). With the field this crowded, Vince argues return dispersion between managers is only going to widen, which makes the name on the deal matter more, not less (06:58), and walks through BSP's philosophy of building lower risk, more conservative portfolios that still deliver median or better equity distributions (07:45). He reflects on CLO 50 and the platform's growth from roughly $5 billion in AUM when he joined in 2014 to more than $30 billion globally today (08:41), before getting into consolidation, why access to capital and performance will separate the winners, and what actually earns a platform tier one status (13:43). The conversation then goes global: Japan's deepening bid and the rise of regional bank capital (17:51), how Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore differ in risk appetite down the stack (19:18), and the untapped mezzanine and equity capital sitting in the Middle East (20:33). Vince gets philosophical on dislocation, explaining why diversification has to be built before volatility shows up, why BSP caps positions at 30 to 50 basis points, and why some of the best CLOs ever done were created in the worst moments (25:05). On the captive equity debate, he resets day one arb expectations around the familiar 12 to 15 percent target and makes the case that captive funds and ETFs are net positives for the market over time (33:21). He closes on reinvestment optionality as the critical driver of equity value (39:25), the role of CLO equity as a cash flowing complement to private equity in a portfolio (41:47), and the career lessons from his trading days, starting with the fact that this is still a relationship business (44:31). In the rapid fire, Sid gets the one misconception Vince would happily kill off, and the answer is three words: we are not CDOs (45:20). ----more---- Hosted by Julie Miecamp Guest Interviewer: Sid Punjabi, CLO Reporter, Octus. Guest: Vince Pompliano, Managing Director and Co-Head of US CLO Business, Benefit Street Partners. Produced and Final Edited by Tanya Hubbard A Production of The Octus Podcast Network ----more---- Chapter 00:00:00 Introduction from Julie Miecamp 00:02:19 Sid Punjabi introduces Vince Pompliano 00:02:53 State of the CLO market and why the structure works 00:04:53 Loan market health and 2026 issuance outlook 00:07:53 BSP portfolio philosophy and lower risk construction 00:13:56 Manager differentiation and coming consolidation 00:17:39 Global investor base: Japan, Asia, Middle East 00:24:43 Playing offense during dislocation 00:32:47 CLO equity, captive funds, and resetting arb expectations 00:41:36 The role of CLO equity in a portfolio today 00:44:16 Career lessons and rapid-fire wrap Closing Credits FROM BSP - Important Disclosure: This podcast is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product or to adopt any investment strategy. The views and opinions expressed are those of the speakers as of the recording date and are subject to change without notice. Statements regarding market conditions, industry trends, portfolio characteristics, expected returns, economic conditions or future events are forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and expectations and are not guarantees of future results. Any references to specific asset classes, investment strategies, securities or transactions are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as investment recommendations. References to Benefit Street Partners' investment process, portfolio construction, or risk management reflect the team's current approach, which may change over time and may not be successful in all market environments. There can be no assurance that any investment objectives, return expectations, or risk management strategies discussed will be achieved. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal.

  • S1 · E15
    June 11 · 43 min

    EP 15: The Evolution of European Restructuring with Andrew Wilkinson

    Julie Miecamp, Deputy Global Head of Editorial at Octus, opens the episode by framing why European restructuring is at an inflection point. Part 26A is being shaped in real time through hard cases, liability management is now firmly transatlantic, and the

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  • S1 · E14
    May 28 · 37 min

    EP 14: Why the UK Restructuring Plan Is Winning with Peter Newman

    Julie Miecamp opens with a simple observation: cross-border restructuring used to be a niche. A small group who knew which tools worked, which were theoretical, and how to close before the asset stopped being worth fighting over. It's not a niche anymore.

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  • S1 · E13
    May 21 · 34 min

    EP 13: What Really Happened to CLO Equity with Ian Gilbertson

    Julie Miecamp opens the episode by framing the CLO market after a difficult 2025, noting that the pressure on CLO equity was less about credit losses and defaults and more about arbitrage compression, asset repricing, and liabilities that could not adjust

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  • S2 · E12
    April 20 · 36 min

    EP 12: Why the Private Credit Panic is Overblown with Tyler Gately

    Associate Editor Armie Lee sits down with Tyler Gately, Head of North America Private Credit at Barings, for a candid read on the state of direct lending in 2026. Recorded as Q1 was wrapping up, the conversation cuts through the noise. Tyler opens with a

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  • S1 · E10
    Dec 24, 2025 · 32 min

    EP 10: How Asset-Based Lending Really Works with Marc Sole

    Julie Miecamp, Deputy Global Head of Editorial at Octus, opens the episode (00:03) by explaining why asset-based lending has moved from a niche strategy to one of the most closely watched areas of private credit. As high-profile bankruptcies and fraud all

  • S1 · E9
    Dec 18, 2025 · 49 min

    EP 09: Private Credit Has a PR Problem with Randy Schwimmer

    Julie Miecamp opens the episode (00:00) by introducing guest interviewer Katherine Schwartz, Primary Reporter at Octus, who shares why she wanted to sit down with Randy Schwimmer, Vice Chairman and Chief Investment Strategist at Churchill Asset Management

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  • S1 · E8
    Dec 1, 2025 · 29 min

    EP 08: Inside the Rise of Private Credit with Joseph Glatt

    Private credit has become one of the most important forces in global finance, and host Julie Miecamp opens the episode (00:00) by bringing in Guest Interviewer Paola Aurisicchio, Chief Correspondent for Large Cap Private Credit at Octus (00:45). Paola exp

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  • S1 · E7
    Nov 13, 2025 · 26 min

    EP 07: The State of Sponsor Finance with Tom Amster

    Host Julie Miecamp opens the episode and sets up this week’s focus on how sponsor finance has shifted after two years of uneven activity. With sponsors returning to market and financing options expanding, she brings in Octus Leveraged Finance Editor Micha

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  • S1 · E6
    Nov 7, 2025 · 43 min

    EP 06: The CLO Boom and What Comes Next with John Kerschner

    Julie Miecamp sets the stage at (00:00:04), framing how CLO ETFs jumped from niche to mainstream and why that shift matters now. She brings in Octus reporter Diana Bravo at (00:01:04) to lay out the stakes and context for the interview. John Kerschner joi

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  • S1 · E5
    Sep 8, 2025 · 42 min

    EP 05: Odd Ducks and the Future of Restructuring with Ameneh Bordi

    At (00:00), host Julie Miecamp opens the episode and introduces reporter Dia Gill, who explains at (01:21) why she wanted to interview Ameneh Bordi, Senior Managing Associate at Sidley Austin. From there, the conversation turns at (05:41) to Ameneh’s unco

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  • S1 · E3
    Jun 30, 2025 · 44 min

    EP 03: Behind the Yield with John Miller on Where Munis Go from Here

    In this episode of Industry Insights: Exclusive Interviews, host Julie Miecamp introduces a timely conversation on municipal credit as the market reaches the halfway point of 2025. Reporter Hoa Nguyen sits down with John Miller, Chief Investment Officer a

  • S1 · E1
    Nov 14, 2024 · 18 min

    EP 01: Navigating Today’s Credit Landscape with David Hirschmann

    Welcome to the debut episode of Industry Insights: Exclusive Interviews on the Octus Podcast Network! In this episode, Maryna Irkliyenko, Deputy Managing Editor of Debt Origination and Private Credit at Octus, sits down with David Hirschmann, Head of Cred

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