Jan 13, 2022 · 42 min
ET
Sports
Establish the Edge Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
Looking to step out and compete beyond your home fantasy football league? Mike Leone and guests cover a wide range of topics for serious players, including strategies for Best Ball, high-stakes formats like FFPC, NFFC, Dynasty Leagues, and more. This podcast is for players looking to go deeper -- and find their edge.
- 224 episodes
- Updated July 24
- Explicit
Episodes224
- ETJan 12, 2022 · 48 min
NFFC Postseason Hold 'Em Strategy with Chris Vaccaro
Chris Vaccaro of The Athletic joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to talk about NFFC's playoff fantasy contest. It's a unique multiplier contest that creates a lot of avenues for potential edges. Among those, Mike and Chris talk about: -Scenario Based Selections and Working Backwards -Why it's *good* to have a couple of skill players lose in Round 1 -How to get contrarian in smart way -Why Dak Prescott provides multiple avenues for you to win
- ETJan 5, 2022 · 44 min
Playoff Fantasy Football and NFL Playoff Betting with Anthony Amico
Mike Leone and Anthony Amico take a look at why format and rules are dictate your playoff fantasy football strategy. Stemming from that, the duo look at how to calculate expected games played and how to use that based on your league format. The two then galaxy brain some playoff betting takes, taking a look at: -Market shopping and reducing the hold -The known unknowns that can cause markets/models to misprice playoff odds -Why the Titans are one of those teams
- ETDec 9, 2021 · 58 min
Playoff Best Ball and NFT Fantasy Football with Justin Herzig
Justin Herzig, co-founder of Own The Moment and ETR contributor, joins Mike Leone to talk playoff best ball on Underdog. The unique playoff contest offers a lot of room for edges. The duo discuss: -Understanding the rules -Winning via Roster Construction, not Player Values -Stack 2 or 3 teams and which teams work together best -It's better to get the best players on a worse team than worse players on a better team -Taking advantage of uncertainty (Never Middle!) Justin also talks about Own The Moment's NFT Fantasy Football platform - The Owner's Club. Tune in to find out how you can participate in their version of Playoff Fantasy Football.
- ETDec 1, 2021 · 1 hr 5 min
Best Ball Reg Season Review + Playoff Preview with Madison Parkhill
Madison Parkhill (@MadisonParkhill) of RotoViz joins Mike Leone to review the best ball regular season and preview the upcoming playoffs, plus analyzing the good, bad, and ugly of their own teams: -Extreme strategies rule the day -Leonard Fournette bias is killing us -Mike cries over his rookie QB exposure -How can we get unique "Super Teams" without sacrificing advance rate -Is ZeroRB set up to smash the Underdog playoffs?
- ETNov 10, 2021 · 1 hr 7 min
DEEP DIVE: How Weather Affects Fantasy Football with Chris Allen
Chris Allen, contributor of 4for4, FootballGuys, and NBC Sports Edge, joins Mike Leone to discuss the impact of weather on fantasy football: At what point should we be worried when it comes to wind and precipitation? How do real NFL teams alter their game plans based on the weather? Additionally the two talk about: -Our Bengals -Mike's Thunderdome victory -Chris' Home Brewing -Road Race Training
- ETNov 3, 2021 · 59 min
DEEP DIVE: Konami Code and Fantasy Football Edge with Rich Hribar
Rich Hribar (@LordReebs on Twitter) of sharpfootballanalysis.com joins Mike Leone to talk about establish his edge in fantasy football: -Rich's weekly "The Worksheet" column -Finding micro edges as the fantasy industry becomes sharper as a whole -The Konami Code QBs: Why running QBs break fantasy and how that may be changing in today's fantasy football landscape -The importance of understanding player archetypes in all facets of fantasy - redraft, best ball, Dynasty, DFS, etc.
- ETOct 27, 2021 · 52 min
DEEP DIVE: FanDuel Strategy and Breaking Into the Fantasy Industry with Joe Holka
Joe Holka joins Mike Leone to talk FanDuel tournament strategy as well as how Joe broke into the fantasy sports industry. Among other things, the pair discuss: -Pricing/Scoring Difference between FanDuel and DraftKings -How do you go about stacking on FanDuel? -Do you have to pay up at QB on FanDuel? -How Joe broke into the industry -The importance of consistency, quality, and intrinsic value -Playing long-term games with good people Make sure to check out Joe's content on his YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/joeholka
- ETOct 22, 2021 · 34 min
Establish the Edge Listener Q and A
Mike Leone answers ETE listener questions on a variety of topics - from DFS to best ball to landscaping: -When should we be stacking in DFS and how much? -How do we adjust for the field getting smarter with leverage plays in tournaments? -What's the opportunity cost of drafting a QB early in best ball? -Why is it worth paying someone to mow your lawn?
- ETOct 14, 2021 · 1 hr
2021 Rookie SuperFlex Re-Mock Draft with Pat Kerrane and Anthony Amico
Michael Leone is joined by Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge and Anthony Amico of Establish the Run to mock draft a SuperFlex/TE premium rookie back, adjusting for what we now know five weeks into the NFL season. Among other topics, the trio discusses: -Trevor Lawrence or Trey Lance as the top QB? -Which skill player is best - Ja'Marr Chase, Kyle Pitts, or Najee Harris? -Is it time to give up on Zach Wilson? -How high does Kadarius Toney rise? -What to make of the SF RB situation For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETOct 7, 2021 · 27 min
Eliminating Noise and Using Patience to Win DFS Tournaments
Mike Leone goes solo this week, waxing philosophically over how we can apply Daniel Kahneman's new book, Noise, to NFL DFS. Mike outlines: -why simple models beat human beings at prediction -the danger of the "illusion of validity" -how human judgement improves the information we feed the Establish the Run projections -why we should trust those projections and not be variable or too active in tweaking our judgements on particular cases -in other words: try to treat decisions based on player ceiling, projected value and field exposure, and correlation - no on how a player makes us feel -getting outsized rewards for our patience in tournaments -targeting slow starters with high ceilings like George Kittle and AJ Brown -knowing when not to be patient and to adjust our priors quickly For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETSep 23, 2021 · 48 min
Week 2 Season-Long Rankings Changes with ETR's Mark Dankenbring
Mike Leone and Mark Dankenbring of Establish The Run discuss changes to the ETR staff top 150 rest of season. Conversation includes: -Why Tyreek Hill is the WR1 -Should we be worried about Kamara, Zeke, and other early RBs -Cooper Kupp's early season breakout -Disappointing play calling in Cincinnati -Being patient with Atlanta players -How to handle young players going in different directions: Rondale Moore and Brandon Aiyuk And so much more. For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETSep 16, 2021 · 45 min
Week 1 Reactions with Ben Gretch
Mike Leone and Ben Gretch dive into some of the more interesting Week 1 observations as far as team play calling and success and individual usage. -Will ATL and TEN bounce back? -Wheel's Up for Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb -Is CIN low pass rate worrisome despite their success? -Lot of optimism around the Chargers -David Njoku, CLE TE1? -Encouraging W1 usage for a handful of backs: Darrell Henderson, Najee Harris, Jonathan Taylor, and D'Andre Swift You can check out Ben's work at bengretch.substack.com. For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETSep 6, 2021 · 37 min
DEEP DIVE: DFS Small Field Tournament Strategy with Peter Overzet
Mike Leone is joined by Peter Overzet to talk about the concepts you should be applying when playing DFS small field tournaments: -Common mistakes to avoid -Thinking macro not micro -Winning the low scoring slates -Balancing ceiling and leverage -Knowing your competitors -Utilizing late swap For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETAug 27, 2021 · 50 min
Sleepers and Keepers with Pat Kerrane
Mike Leone is joined by Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge to help you identify some potential breakout sleepers for fantasy this season, especially for keeper leagues. The duo discuss: -Legendary RB Upside -Profitability of Rookie WRs -A Small Miss, Big Hit Philosophy -Acting Fast on the Waiver Wire -IR Stashes -Specific Players Who Can Make Big Leaps For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETAug 18, 2021 · 38 min
Dominate Your Fantasy Home League with Drew Dinkmeyer
Mike Leone's ETR Establish the Million cohost Drew Dinkmeyer joins the show to talk about dominating your home league. Unlike sharp leagues where our edge is primarily in roster construction, home leagues have a lot more potential edges - roster construction, waivers/trades, player evaluation, etc. With all of these potential avenues to get and edge on our opponents, how do we truly maximize our chances of winning? More specifically, the two discuss: -When to take players relative to ADP -Understanding your league settings -Do we prioritize and pull back from extreme strategies like Zero RB in home leagues? -Do we prioritize or pull back from drafting elite onesies (QB/TE) in home leagues? -Is QB streaming viable? -What types of players should we take late in drafts -How can we take advantage of fantasy game provider settings For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETAug 10, 2021 · 1 hr 7 min
NFFC and WR Heavy Draft Strategies with Shawn Siegele
Shawn Siegele of RotoViz joins Mike Leone to talk about WR heavy drafting, or Zero RB, and specifically how to apply that to NFFC drafts. To do this, Mike and Shawn recap one of Mike's recent NFFC drafts from the 12-spot. The pair hit on: -How/why does Zero RB work and what exactly is it -Why you want 6 Top 15 WRs if possible -Elite TEs are undervalued on NFFC -When to take detours for RBs early -Pushing your WR edge to the max -Valuing breakout WRs over WRs with a higher base projection -Rondale Moore's value -What type of RBs to target in this roster construction -Putting together a Late-Round QB plan that has upside For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Make sure to read Shawn's article referenced in the podcast - Zero RB, AntiFragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting: https://www.rotoviz.com/2013/11/zero-rb-antifragility-and-the-myth-of-value-based-drafting/ You can also catch Shawn on various RotoViz Podcasts, including: -Stealing Bananas with Ben Gretch: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stealing-bananas/id1573819944 -RotoViz Overtime with Colm Kelly: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/rotoviz-overtime/id1289057826
- ETAug 6, 2021 · 28 min
2QB/SuperFlex Redraft Strategy with Anthony Amico
Anthony Amico joins Mike Leone on the Establish the Edge podcast to talk 2QB and SuperFlex redraft strategy: -How early can/should you take your first QB? -Why the number of flex spots matters -Zero RB is enhanced in SuperFlex leagues -The importance of being tethered to market value -The Hero QB strategy -Rookie QBs are the skeleton key to success in any format this season Join the ETR team and gain instant access to all of Mike Leone's work, Anthony Amico's Dynasty content, and fantasy football’s premier playbook. BUY NOW: $34.99 https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/
- ETAug 3, 2021 · 31 min
Reverse Engineering Extreme RB Strategies on Underdog Fantasy
Mike Leone takes a look at the 2020 Best Ball Mania data to determine why extreme RB strategies were successful. Despite being seemingly at odds with one another, players that took RBs early but not a lot of them (HyperFragile) and players that took no RBs early but took a lot of them (Zero RB) were among the most profitable builds last season. This podcast looks into what makes those strategies work on Underdog Fantasy and how we can potentially enjoy the best of both worlds. Mike delves into: -HyperFragile builds maximize win rates when you make a good RB selection -Zero RB builds maximize your likelihood of making a profitable early pick -Both builds take advantage of WRs outscoring RBs at each point in the draft but in different ways -There are archetypes of RBs that are better suited for Zero RB builds than HyperFragile builds and others we should be targeting no matter what You can follow all of Mike's work at establishtherun.com, and you can find the full data on this topic in his article here: https://establishtherun.com/reverse-engineering-extreme-rb-strategies-on-underdog/
- ETJul 30, 2021 · 1 hr 32 min
ETE PROJECTIONS SPECIAL Part 8: NFC East with Ben Gretch
In Part 8 of a special offseason projection series, Ben Gretch and Mike Leone analyze the NFC East and turn their projections process into actionable advice. More specifically, the pair dive into: -CeeDee Lamb or Amari Cooper? What is Zeke's upside? -Antonio Gibson's league winning upside -Kenny Golladay is NOT this year's Stefon Diggs -Is Miles Sanders undervalued or lacking meaningful upside regardless of price? Please make sure to check out Ben's work over at https://bengretch.substack.com/ and Mike's work at https://establishtherun.com/.