Richard Thaler & Cade Massey on the NFL Draft, Misbehaving GM's, & Exploiting Inefficiencies | #477

Today’s special episode is to prepare you for the NFL draft next week. Nobel laureate Richard Thaler is back with Wharton’s Cade Massey to talk about their famous paper on the NFL draft that even the GOAT Bill Belichick read. 

The guys share what they learned years ago – NFL teams overvalue the top picks, shouldn’t trade up, and even after all the scouting teams do, their ability to pick the best player at any pick is about the same as flipping a coin. We talk about why the Bears won the trade against the Panthers this year, what they think about Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy’s success last year, and the future of data analytics in sports. 

As we wind down, we dive into why this inefficiency still exists after they published a paper almost 20 years ago and how teams battle some of the same issues asset managers face – career risk, impatient stakeholders, and model aversion. 

*Click here to listen to Richard Thaler’s first appearance on the podcast

**If you enjoyed this episode, listen to poker champion & decision-making expert Annie Duke on the show last year

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Today’s episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world’s largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. 

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Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com

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Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. 

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