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The Data Science Podcast with Fexingo: Analytics, Machine Learning, and Data-Driven Conversations · Tuesday · 12 min

How Data Scientists Use Probabilistic Programming for Robust Forecasting

In this episode of The Data Science Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore probabilistic programming as a practical tool for modern data teams. Using the example of a fictional e-commerce company forecasting holiday sales, they show how probabilistic models like PyMC and Stan produce full distributions rather than point estimates, giving businesses a clearer view of uncertainty. They discuss concepts like prior distributions, Bayesian inference, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, and how these techniques can be used for inventory planning, risk assessment, and A/B testing. Lucas explains why probabilistic programming is gaining traction in industry, comparing it to traditional machine learning approaches. The episode also touches on the challenges of adopting these methods, including computational costs and team skill requirements. By the end, listeners will understand how to apply probabilistic programming to their own forecasting problems and why expressing uncertainty is a superpower. The hosts also make a brief, heartfelt case for listener support before returning to the technical deep dive. #ProbabilisticProgramming #Bayesian #Forecasting #DataScience #PyMC #Stan #MCMC #Uncertainty #MachineLearning #Technology #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #DataSciencePodcast #Analytics #Statistics #Inference #PriorDistribution Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo

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show notes

In this episode of The Data Science Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore probabilistic programming as a practical tool for modern data teams. Using the example of a fictional e-commerce company forecasting holiday sales, they show how probabilistic models like PyMC and Stan produce full distributions rather than point estimates, giving businesses a clearer view of uncertainty. They discuss concepts like prior distributions, Bayesian inference, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, and how these techniques can be used for inventory planning, risk assessment, and A/B testing. Lucas explains why probabilistic programming is gaining traction in industry, comparing it to traditional machine learning approaches. The episode also touches on the challenges of adopting these methods, including computational costs and team skill requirements. By the end, listeners will understand how to apply probabilistic programming to their own forecasting problems and why expressing uncertainty is a superpower. The hosts also make a brief, heartfelt case for listener support before returning to the technical deep dive.

#ProbabilisticProgramming #Bayesian #Forecasting #DataScience #PyMC #Stan #MCMC #Uncertainty #MachineLearning #Technology #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #DataSciencePodcast #Analytics #Statistics #Inference #PriorDistribution

Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo

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