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Super-Macro Management · Mar 25, 2024 · 23 min

Has the Fed Lost the Plot on Inflation? - Episode 3

In this episode of Super Macro Podcast 3, Elvis and Jonny dive into the topic of whether the Fed has lost the plot on inflation. They discuss the Fed's recent decisions, including leaving interest rates unchanged, raising inflation and growth forecasts, and the potential impact on the bond market. Jonny believes the Fed has been too soft on inflation, expressing concerns about the end of goods disinflation and the rise in services and energy costs. While he doesn't think the Fed has completely lost the plot, he questions the effectiveness of their current policy moves. 02:17 Fed's inflation target dilemma. 04:47 Powell's handling of inflation. 10:58 Wage growth predictions and indicators. 13:06 The Fed's ability to influence yields. 19:32 One or two good trades. 21:09 Industrial recovery and metal prices. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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show notes

In this episode of Super Macro Podcast 3, Elvis and Jonny dive into the topic of whether the Fed has lost the plot on inflation. They discuss the Fed's recent decisions, including leaving interest rates unchanged, raising inflation and growth forecasts, and the potential impact on the bond market. Jonny believes the Fed has been too soft on inflation, expressing concerns about the end of goods disinflation and the rise in services and energy costs. While he doesn't think the Fed has completely lost the plot, he questions the effectiveness of their current policy moves.

02:17 Fed's inflation target dilemma.
04:47 Powell's handling of inflation.
10:58 Wage growth predictions and indicators.
13:06 The Fed's ability to influence yields.
19:32 One or two good trades.
21:09 Industrial recovery and metal prices.


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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