Why Smart People Confuse Luck With Skill

Watch the full Luck episode on the Solved podcast: go.markmanson.net/h0g98i67 If you want the entire luck framework in one place, this is the clip. I tie it all together: the three types of luck, the two traps that keep people stuck (thinking it's all luck, or thinking you earned every bit of it), and why the longer you live, the more your decisions outweigh whatever you were born into. Heaven luck, earth luck, human luck, all of it, clean and practical. Chapters Chapters 00:00:00 Introduction: Why We Ignore Luck 00:00:48 The Legibility Problem: How Much Control Do We Really Have? 00:01:21 The Just World Hypothesis: Our Brain's Natural Bias 00:01:41 Two Traps: Fatalism vs Self-Serving Delusion 00:02:08 The Sansai Framework: Heaven, Earth, and Human Luck 00:02:42 The Poker Analogy: Cards, Tables, and Choices 00:03:09 Heaven Luck: The Guilt and Responsibility Paradox 00:04:59 Gratitude as the Solution to Heaven Luck 00:05:35 Earth Luck: Increasing Your Surface Area for Serendipity 00:07:25 Skills That Expand Earth Luck: Social Skills and Open-Mindedness 00:08:21 Human Luck: Making Better Probabilistic Decisions 00:09:40 Making Intuition Explicit: The Accountability Method ⇨ Sign up for my newsletter, Your Next Breakthrough. It will help make you a less awful person: https://go.markmanson.net/msub25ez ⇨ Get clarity on what actually matters. Try Purpose, Mark's AI mentor app that learns your patterns, challenges your blind spots, and helps you take action. Get started at https://go.markmanson.net/8owt1jc4 FOLLOW MARK Mark's IG: ⁠https://www.instagram.com/markmanson⁠ Solved IG: ⁠https://www.instagram.com/solvedpodcast/⁠ Twitter: ⁠https://x.com/markmanson⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/markmanson/⁠ #Luck #DecisionMaking #Mindset #SelfImprovement #Success #MarkManson #SolvedPodcast