Stop Losing To New Construction
transcript
show notes
New construction is no longer just “some competition” for flippers, it can quietly reset what buyers expect to get for their money. I’m Eric, and I’m talking directly to fix and flip investors who are pricing a renovated resale home while a nearby subdivision is running promos you simply can’t match. When builder confidence drops, builders don’t sit still. They cut prices, stack incentives, and use tools like mortgage rate buydowns, closing cost credits, and upgrades to move inventory fast.
We dig into what those incentives mean for your exit strategy and your underwriting. New home sales and months of supply can create urgency, and that urgency shows up in deals that look strong in the public record but aren’t fully visible in the comps. That’s how ARV gets overstated, margins shrink, and a flip turns into a slow grind of price reductions. I walk through how I’d comp differently when new construction is nearby and why mixing builder sales into your resale comp set can be a costly mistake.
Then we get practical. I share three adjustments I’d make right now: target established neighborhoods where builders aren’t active, tighten your comparable sales to true renovated resale comps, and lean into what new construction can’t offer like mature trees, larger lots, character, walkability, and shorter commutes. We also talk about the bright spot ahead: weaker builder confidence often means fewer housing starts, which can reduce future competition and increase demand for move in ready renovated homes.
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