
Material Costs Are Moving Fast
transcript
show notes
Lumber prices get all the headlines, but your flip budget lives or dies on the total materials picture. We’re seeing two signals at once: the Commerce Department cut duties on Canadian softwood lumber to 24.75%, yet construction material inflation is near a four-year high and housing starts keep sliding. If you’re underwriting deals with old numbers, that gap is where profit quietly vanishes.
We walk through what this means for real-world renovation costs, from framing and subfloors to the stuff that sneaks up on you later like fixtures, electrical components, and finishes. Lumber relief can help over time, but it won’t necessarily show up at your local yard immediately, and it may not offset rising costs elsewhere. The takeaway is simple: expect volatility and manage it on purpose.
We also share three practical systems for fix and flip investors who want to protect margin: price materials during underwriting with current quotes, standardize your finishes so crews and suppliers run faster with fewer surprises, and time purchases based on where you think pricing is headed and what you can safely store. Finally, we zoom out to the opportunity side: falling housing starts can be a tailwind for renovators because renovated homes become a bigger share of move-in-ready supply.
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