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Politically High-Tech · Tuesday · 42 min

364 Election Eve Forecast

Send us Fan Mail We make our Election Eve calls on the Senate, the House, and the most competitive governor races while staying honest about what prediction markets can and cannot tell you. I give my map-based pathway for control, flag where I dissent from the consensus, and end with why term limits and ad-driven persuasion keep warping accountability. • framing the midterms as unusually competitive and volatile • explaining why open seats can reshape Senate math • breaking down key Senate toss-ups and where markets swing fast • giving a Maine call that challenges the prediction markets • outlining a Senate control map and what majorities can actually do • walking through House battleground districts and incumbency advantages • projecting a House flip and debating what the final margin looks like • sizing up the most competitive governor races and why they matter • discussing late money, TV ads, and subconscious influence on voters • arguing for term limits for senators and House members Leave a like, comment, share, you know, subscribe to my channel. My only source https://www.270towin.com/ Polymartket https://polymarket.us/ Support the show Follow your host at YouTube and Rumble for video content https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUxk1oJBVw-IAZTqChH70ag https://rumble.com/c/c-4236474 Facebook to receive updates https://www.facebook.com/EliasEllusion/ LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/eliasmarty/ Some free goodies Free website to help you and me https://thefreewebsiteguys.com/?js=15632463 New Paper https://thenewpaper.co/refer?r=srom1o9c4gl PodMatch https://podmatch.com/?ref=1626371560148x762843240939879000

0:00 · Election Eve Setup And Ground Rules-42:48

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show notes

Send us Fan Mail

We make our Election Eve calls on the Senate, the House, and the most competitive governor races while staying honest about what prediction markets can and cannot tell you. I give my map-based pathway for control, flag where I dissent from the consensus, and end with why term limits and ad-driven persuasion keep warping accountability. 
• framing the midterms as unusually competitive and volatile 
• explaining why open seats can reshape Senate math 
• breaking down key Senate toss-ups and where markets swing fast 
• giving a Maine call that challenges the prediction markets 
• outlining a Senate control map and what majorities can actually do 
• walking through House battleground districts and incumbency advantages 
• projecting a House flip and debating what the final margin looks like 
• sizing up the most competitive governor races and why they matter 
• discussing late money, TV ads, and subconscious influence on voters 
• arguing for term limits for senators and House members 
Leave a like, comment, share, you know, subscribe to my channel. 


My only source

https://www.270towin.com/

Polymartket

https://polymarket.us/

Support the show

Follow your host at

YouTube and Rumble for video content

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUxk1oJBVw-IAZTqChH70ag

https://rumble.com/c/c-4236474

Facebook to receive updates

https://www.facebook.com/EliasEllusion/

LinkedIn

https://www.linkedin.com/in/eliasmarty/

Some free goodies

Free website to help you and me

 https://thefreewebsiteguys.com/?js=15632463

New Paper

https://thenewpaper.co/refer?r=srom1o9c4gl

PodMatch

https://podmatch.com/?ref=1626371560148x762843240939879000

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chapters

11 chapters