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My Weird Prompts · Saturday · 22 min

Sensitivity, Specificity & the Numbers Doctors Use

Clinical trial write-ups throw around sensitivity, specificity, standard deviation, effect size, and risk ratio as if you already know which question each one answers. This episode is the field guide Daniel asked for: a walk through the diagnostic pair, the how-big-and-how-certain trio, and the risk family, with every number labeled by the question it actually answers. Along the way: why the same 90% sensitive test means a 90% chance you're sick in a specialist clinic and an 8.3% chance in general screening, why a "36% risk reduction" can amount to a 1.1% absolute change, and why a p-value alone tells you nothing about whether a finding matters. Episode #883124 — open it directly at myweirdprompts.com/883124

0:00 · Intro-22:21

transcript

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show notes

Clinical trial write-ups throw around sensitivity, specificity, standard deviation, effect size, and risk ratio as if you already know which question each one answers. This episode is the field guide Daniel asked for: a walk through the diagnostic pair, the how-big-and-how-certain trio, and the risk family, with every number labeled by the question it actually answers. Along the way: why the same 90% sensitive test means a 90% chance you're sick in a specialist clinic and an 8.3% chance in general screening, why a "36% risk reduction" can amount to a 1.1% absolute change, and why a p-value alone tells you nothing about whether a finding matters.

Episode #883124 — open it directly at myweirdprompts.com/883124

chapters

5 chapters