A Bad Winter Ahead

In this episode, Karen-Anna, Anastasiia and Fabian catch up on the latest Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine, pick apart Trump's recent announcements on an energy ceasefire and a diesel deal with Russia, and hear from Anastasiia about how Kyiv is (and isn't) preparing for another brutal winter. If you want to support our show, go to our Buy Me A Coffee page at http://buymeacoffee.com/mildlyalarmed Email us at alarmedmildly@gmail.com with any guest feedback, suggestions, and questions. Support a fundraiser to buy batteries ahead of winter in Ukraine here: https://greekchorusfoundation.org Mentioned in the show: “As Russian missiles slip through Kyiv’s air defenses without warning, officials say US intelligence remains intact — for now”, from the Kyiv Independent: https://kyivindependent.com/as-russian-missiles-slip-through-kyivs-air-defenses-without-warning-officials-say-us-intelligence-remains-intact-for-now/ “Trump, Ukraine, Putin, and Fuel”, from The Atlantic: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/10/trump-ukraine-putin-fuel/688974/ “Kushner and Witkoff Russia Oil Deal”, from the New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/us/politics/kushner-witkoff-russia-oil-deal.html “US hopes diesel deal can ‘soften’ Moscow on peace talks, sources say”, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-hopes-diesel-deal-can-soften-moscow-peace-talks-sources-say-2026-10-12/ "Russia and Ukraine Pummel Each Other’s Energy Infrastructure" from Lawfare: https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/russia-and-ukraine-pummel-each-other-s-energy-infrastructure Credits: Anastasiia Lapatina is Ukraine Fellow at Lawfare. She writes a weekly newsletter about Ukraine called Yours Ukrainian. She is based in Kyiv. Karen-Anna Eggen is an Associate Professor and the Head of the Programme for Ukraine and Full-Spectrum Threats at the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies. She is based in Oslo. Fabian Hoffman is a Senior Research Fellow at the Programme for Ukraine and Full-Spectrum Threats at the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies. He is the author of the Missile Matters newsletter about defence, missile technology, and nuclear strategy. He is based in Oslo. Minna Ålander is an Analyst at the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs. She’s also an Associate Fellow at Chatham House and a Non-Resident Fellow at CEPA. Minna also writes a newsletter about European security called Northern Flank Notes. She is based in Stockholm. The podcast is engineered by Anthony Bartaway, who is also the co-host of a podcast called Ukraine Without Hype: / @ukrainewithouthype