“We’re not ready for the e/Acc × Longevity preference cascade” by Jackson Wagner
transcript
show notes
Anti-aging sentiment might go rapidly mainstream, in the same way AI Safety just did.
Recently, the AI safety community has been enjoying a massive preference cascade that has rapidly moved AI x-risk concerns into mainstream political discourse
Why did this happen?
- The basic idea seems like it should have been obvious for a long time: “IF we create self-improving machines that rapidly become much smarter than humans, THEN that seems like that story might not end well for the humans, so we should be very careful.”
- If the idea is so sensible, why are people only now endorsing it?
- Proximately, because of HuggingFace, Jacob Coxon, etc. But in a larger sense, clearly the trigger was that the premise (“IF we create self-improving machines…”) no longer strikes people as absurd. Instead, it seems worryingly plausible.
- This not only unlocks huge amounts of energy from many new people people thinking the “IF” half of the statement is likely, but also – weirdly, illogically– seems to furthermore cause lots of people to change their minds on the “THEN” half of the statement, too.
- Why did the flip happen so quickly? This is actually the case for lots of movements – [...]
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Outline:
(00:12) Anti-aging sentiment might go rapidly mainstream, in the same way AI Safety just did.
(03:03) The labs are probably working towards this.
(04:12) Although perhaps a cascade wouldn't happen or would come too late to matter.
(06:53) A longevity preference-cascade would be great! Except, by default, the energies unlocked might flow directly into e/acc :(
(11:12) Of course I'm not saying we should oppose medical cures!
(12:21) So then what SHOULD we do?
The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
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First published:
September 21st, 2026
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.