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LessWrong (30+ Karma) · Yesterday · 1 hr 55 min

“AI #185: Preference Cascade” by Zvi

The world of AI is inside my OODA loop. Even if I can process all the incoming information and sculpt it into posts, and even using Saturday and Sunday as flex slots, I don’t have enough days of the week to post all the posts that need posting. That was already true. There was already a preference cascade happening where people finally were admitting that they thought AI might well kill everyone. Then Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic, rang the warning bells and turned that cascade into an avalanche. Now that is what everyone is talking about. Finally, everyone is actually saying the thing, out loud. I plan to cover that in its own post soon. There are several things in the weekly that, in a normal week, would get their own coverage. Senator Sanders and Representative Casar introduced an outright ban on superintelligence and I have to remind myself that happened this week. Suddenly it is not so crazy to think such a thing might pass. So here's what I’ve already posted about so far since the last weekly: Claude Fable and Mythos 5.1: The System Card. Claude Fable and [...] --- Outline: (04:49) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility (05:39) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility (06:53) Huh, Upgrades (08:25) How To Tell a Fable (09:35) On Your Marks (09:55) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon (14:16) Levels of Friction (17:35) Cyber Lack of Security (23:48) A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer (25:18) They Took Our Jobs (29:18) Anthropic Offers Economic Scenarios (34:12) Get Involved (37:05) Introducing (37:47) In Other AI News (38:13) Show Me the Money (38:25) Quiet Speculations (42:49) The Quest for Sane Regulations (44:09) The OpenAI Policy and Lobbying Department (50:41) Greetings From the Department of War (51:58) Hugging The Face (59:16) Hugging the Question (01:03:21) The Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act (01:11:05) Chip City (01:12:21) The Week in Audio (01:12:41) People Just Say Things (01:18:09) PauseAI Global Disendorsed PauseAI US (01:19:55) Paul Christiano Joins Board of OpenAI Foundation (01:25:18) Rhetorical Innovation (01:34:23) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult (01:37:00) Cooperative Alignment (01:45:48) Drive to Survive (01:48:13) People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone (01:50:07) Other People Are Not As Worried About AI Killing Everyone (01:52:30) The Lighter Side --- First published: September 10th, 2026 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tFmtz9HW6c2X9dw2B/ai-185-preference-cascade --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. --- Images from the article: Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

0:00-1:55:58

transcript

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show notes

The world of AI is inside my OODA loop. Even if I can process all the incoming information and sculpt it into posts, and even using Saturday and Sunday as flex slots, I don’t have enough days of the week to post all the posts that need posting.

That was already true. There was already a preference cascade happening where people finally were admitting that they thought AI might well kill everyone.

Then Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic, rang the warning bells and turned that cascade into an avalanche.

Now that is what everyone is talking about. Finally, everyone is actually saying the thing, out loud. I plan to cover that in its own post soon.

There are several things in the weekly that, in a normal week, would get their own coverage. Senator Sanders and Representative Casar introduced an outright ban on superintelligence and I have to remind myself that happened this week. Suddenly it is not so crazy to think such a thing might pass.

So here's what I’ve already posted about so far since the last weekly:

  1. Claude Fable and Mythos 5.1: The System Card.
  2. Claude Fable and [...]

---

Outline:

(04:49) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(05:39) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

(06:53) Huh, Upgrades

(08:25) How To Tell a Fable

(09:35) On Your Marks

(09:55) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(14:16) Levels of Friction

(17:35) Cyber Lack of Security

(23:48) A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer

(25:18) They Took Our Jobs

(29:18) Anthropic Offers Economic Scenarios

(34:12) Get Involved

(37:05) Introducing

(37:47) In Other AI News

(38:13) Show Me the Money

(38:25) Quiet Speculations

(42:49) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(44:09) The OpenAI Policy and Lobbying Department

(50:41) Greetings From the Department of War

(51:58) Hugging The Face

(59:16) Hugging the Question

(01:03:21) The Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act

(01:11:05) Chip City

(01:12:21) The Week in Audio

(01:12:41) People Just Say Things

(01:18:09) PauseAI Global Disendorsed PauseAI US

(01:19:55) Paul Christiano Joins Board of OpenAI Foundation

(01:25:18) Rhetorical Innovation

(01:34:23) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

(01:37:00) Cooperative Alignment

(01:45:48) Drive to Survive

(01:48:13) People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:50:07) Other People Are Not As Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:52:30) The Lighter Side

---

First published:
September 10th, 2026

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tFmtz9HW6c2X9dw2B/ai-185-preference-cascade

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

A benchmark comparison table showing AI model scores across GPQA, HLE, Codeforces, and coding tasks.
Email from Resy Platform Security about account deactivation for terms violation.
News article screenshot. The headline reads:
Bar chart titled
Flow diagram titled
Line graphs titled
Metrics dashboard showing Fidelity, Disruption, Latency, and Cost percentages.
Five humanoid robots in red vests performing dance poses on stage.
News article screenshot. The headline reads:
Three people sit on a green couch near windows.
Clown applying makeup meme with escalating denial-to-acceptance text about sci-fi predictions.
Documentation page for integrity_format.py tool with usage commands.
Log entries showing
Line graph titled
A line graph titled
Split image: man with pizza boxes, chaotic room on fire below.
Man with crossed arms beside Gemini logo.
MrBeast thumbnail, stressed programmers behind excited host,
Email from Sam Ellis to Toby Ord about AI-agent source questions.
Man frowning emoji with blond hair and blue shirt.

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

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