InsuranceERM Podcasts

Data models and World Cup winners - IERM Bonus

June 11 · 20 min · 19.5 MB
0:00-20:07

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In this IERM Bonus episode, Joshua speaks to Jason Tassell, Senior Manager at Crowe, about using data models to predict the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Jason explains how he built the model, what data went into it, why uncertainty still matters, and what football predictions can teach insurers and actuaries about model risk, assumptions and bias.

And, of course, Jason reveals which team the model thinks will win the World Cup.