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US cases still low, but I expect them to rise
Uploaded 11-04-22
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/06/briefing/covid-cases-us-omicron-subvariant.html?action=click&pgtype=LegacyCollection&state=default&module=styln-coronavirus&variant=show®ion=BELOW_MAIN_CONTENT&block=storyline_flex_guide_recirc
Down about 1% as BA.2 has become the dominant
Original Omicron, so contagious, predictable global spread
More immunity
In liberal parts of the U.S., vaccination rates high
Conservative communities, normal life for some time
(death rates have been higher)
BA.2 has recently become dominant variant in India, South Africa, Africa
Andy Slavitt, former Biden Covid adviser
BA.1 has infected 45% of Americans
Fewer tests
Uninsured people now must pay foe tests
Many testing clinics have closed
Jessica Malaty Rivera, Boston Children’s Hospital
Quality of current Covid data “abysmal.”
Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former F.D.A. commissioner
Some parts of the country “dramatically” underreporting cases
Trends in Covid hospitalizations lag case trends by about a week
(hospitalizations have continued to fall in the U.S.)
Best guess
U.S. infections will rise soon
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