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Dr. John Campbell · Yesterday · 34 min

Infections, transatlantic surge

US, Back to behavioural normal, No public health measures South and West Population level immunity is driving viral evolution, fast BA.5 Antibodies from vaccination and infection offer little protection against infection https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/07/10/omicron-variant-ba5-covid-reinfection/?utm_campaign=wp_to_your_health&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_tyh BA.2.75, next after BA.5 Cases, flat, 100,000 per day Infections, up, perhaps 1 million per day Hospitalizations, up, 0.6% on the week Deaths, flat CDC, stay up to date on vaccines, and take appropriate precautions to protect themselves and others UK covid infections https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data Cases, + 348,001 (Proportionate, 1 million new infections per day in the US) Currently covid symptomatic, 4,296,603 UK data https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk Infections, up Hospitalizations, up Deaths, down UKHSA https://bidstats.uk/tenders/2022/W24/776667357 Requirement for the ongoing supply of additional Lateral Flow Testing and Polymerase Chain Reaction Kits £ 2, 000, 000, 000 Lord Kamall, health minister https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/07/12/covid-measures-could-return-rising-cases-worsen-nhs-backlog/ If current increase in hospital admissions is affecting the backlog clearly measures may well have to be introduced Current data does not point to cases becoming more severe but also what we have managed to do is break the link between infections and hospitalisations, and hospitalisations and death If that gets out of control then of course we will stand up the measures that we have previously Ziyad Al-Aly, epidemiologist, Washington University St. Louis There are no public health measures at all We’re in a very peculiar spot, where the risk is vivid and it’s out there, but we’ve let our guard down and we’ve chosen, deliberately, to expose ourselves and make ourselves more vulnerable https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-1749502/v1 Multiple infections have a higher cumulative risk of a severe illness or death Reinfections may be mild any coronavirus infection carries risk, and the risk of a really bad outcome — a heart attack, for example — builds cumulatively I worry that by the time we have a vaccine for BA.5 we’ll have a BA.6 or a BA.7. This virus keeps outsmarting us Mercedes Carnethon, epidemiologist, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine It feels as though everyone has given up zero covid not plausible Harlan Krumholz, Yale University professor of medicine Percentage of people with severely debilitating symptoms is probably 1 to 5% North Korea North Korea suggests ‘alien things’ from the South brought Covid. Coronavirus entered on foreign objects from South Korea Started in villages near border, after touched “alien things.” State Emergency Epidemic Prevention Headquarters vigilantly deal with alien things brought across the border by balloons, wind other climate phenomena All objects to be reported After two years of claiming to have no Covid cases, North Korea Declared a maximin emergency on May 12 Cases, 4.7 million (Covid-like symptoms) Deaths, 73 (June 15) New infections, 4,570 on Friday, (down from 390,000 mid-May) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

0:00-34:42

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US, Back to behavioural normal, No public health measures South and West Population level immunity is driving viral evolution, fast BA.5 Antibodies from vaccination and infection offer little protection against infection https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/07/10/omicron-variant-ba5-covid-reinfection/?utm_campaign=wp_to_your_health&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_tyh BA.2.75, next after BA.5 Cases, flat, 100,000 per day Infections, up, perhaps 1 million per day Hospitalizations, up, 0.6% on the week Deaths, flat CDC, stay up to date on vaccines, and take appropriate precautions to protect themselves and others UK covid infections https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data Cases, + 348,001 (Proportionate, 1 million new infections per day in the US) Currently covid symptomatic, 4,296,603 UK data https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk Infections, up Hospitalizations, up Deaths, down UKHSA https://bidstats.uk/tenders/2022/W24/776667357 Requirement for the ongoing supply of additional Lateral Flow Testing and Polymerase Chain Reaction Kits £ 2, 000, 000, 000 Lord Kamall, health minister https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/07/12/covid-measures-could-return-rising-cases-worsen-nhs-backlog/ If current increase in hospital admissions is affecting the backlog clearly measures may well have to be introduced Current data does not point to cases becoming more severe but also what we have managed to do is break the link between infections and hospitalisations, and hospitalisations and death If that gets out of control then of course we will stand up the measures that we have previously Ziyad Al-Aly, epidemiologist, Washington University St. Louis There are no public health measures at all We’re in a very peculiar spot, where the risk is vivid and it’s out there, but we’ve let our guard down and we’ve chosen, deliberately, to expose ourselves and make ourselves more vulnerable https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-1749502/v1 Multiple infections have a higher cumulative risk of a severe illness or death Reinfections may be mild any coronavirus infection carries risk, and the risk of a really bad outcome — a heart attack, for example — builds cumulatively I worry that by the time we have a vaccine for BA.5 we’ll have a BA.6 or a BA.7. This virus keeps outsmarting us Mercedes Carnethon, epidemiologist, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine It feels as though everyone has given up zero covid not plausible Harlan Krumholz, Yale University professor of medicine Percentage of people with severely debilitating symptoms is probably 1 to 5% North Korea North Korea suggests ‘alien things’ from the South brought Covid. Coronavirus entered on foreign objects from South Korea Started in villages near border, after touched “alien things.” State Emergency Epidemic Prevention Headquarters vigilantly deal with alien things brought across the border by balloons, wind other climate phenomena All objects to be reported After two years of claiming to have no Covid cases, North Korea Declared a maximin emergency on May 12 Cases, 4.7 million (Covid-like symptoms) Deaths, 73 (June 15) New infections, 4,570 on Friday, (down from 390,000 mid-May)

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