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Dr. John Campbell · Yesterday · 31 min

Delta, double hospital risk

NZ, Australia and Hospital admission and emergency care attendance risk for SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) compared with alpha (B.1.1.7) variants of concern: a cohort studyhttps://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-data-and-statistics/covid-19-current-cases https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-case-numbers-and-statistics Hospital admission and emergency care attendance risk for SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) compared with alpha (B.1.1.7) variants of concern: a cohort study https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(21)00475-8/fulltext https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58354342 Public Health England (PHE) and Medical Research Council SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) first detected in England in March, 2021 Suspected to cause more severe disease than alpha (B.1.1.7) Determining the relative risk of hospital attendance England between March 29 and May 23, 2021 All infected with alpha or delta Public Health England’s Second-Generation Surveillance System COVID-19-associated deaths dataset National Immunisation Management System NHS Digital Secondary Uses Services and Emergency Care Data Set Infections n = 43,338 COVID-19-positive patients Most patients were unvaccinated, 32,078 (74·0) Median age 31, (IQR, 17 – 42) Delta = 8,682 Alpha = 34,656 Admitted to hospital or sought emergency care within 14 days of positive test Delta = 498 (5.7%) Alpha = 1,448 (4·2%) Adjust for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation, recent international travel, area of residence, calendar week, and vaccination status HR for attendance at emergency care or hospitalisation = 1.45 HR for hospital admission = 2.26 In the subgroup of vaccinated patients No significant difference between variants for emergency visit or hospitalisation Interpretation This large national study found a higher hospital admission or emergency care attendance risk for patients with COVID-19 infected with the delta variant compared with the alpha variant. Results suggest that outbreaks of the delta variant in unvaccinated populations might lead to a greater burden on health-care services than the alpha variant. PHE studies and protection against hospital admission https://khub.net/web/phe-national/public-library/-/document_library/v2WsRK3ZlEig/view/479607266 96% for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccin 92% for the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine UK rates 47.9 million people, (88%) aged 16 and over, first dose of a vaccine 42 million people, (78%) aged 16 and over, have had a second Dr Gavin Dabrera, PHE We already know that vaccination offers excellent protection against Delta and, as this variant accounts for over 99% of Covid cases in the UK, it is vital that those who have not received two doses of vaccine do so as soon as possible It is still important that if you have Covid symptoms, stay home and get a PCR test as soon as possible Lancet study findings are consistent with Scottish data https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)01358-1/fulltext Comparing Alpha and Delta risks. USA, MAB therapy FDA, EUA Florida, 21 popup sites (via injection shots) Dr. Fauci, can reduce deaths by 85% If early enough in the infection Lowers viral load Texas, Missouri, Iowa Observe for one hour Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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NZ, Australia and Hospital admission and emergency care attendance risk for SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) compared with alpha (B.1.1.7) variants of concern: a cohort studyhttps://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-data-and-statistics/covid-19-current-cases https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-case-numbers-and-statistics Hospital admission and emergency care attendance risk for SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) compared with alpha (B.1.1.7) variants of concern: a cohort study https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(21)00475-8/fulltext https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58354342 Public Health England (PHE) and Medical Research Council SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) first detected in England in March, 2021 Suspected to cause more severe disease than alpha (B.1.1.7) Determining the relative risk of hospital attendance England between March 29 and May 23, 2021 All infected with alpha or delta Public Health England’s Second-Generation Surveillance System COVID-19-associated deaths dataset National Immunisation Management System NHS Digital Secondary Uses Services and Emergency Care Data Set Infections n = 43,338 COVID-19-positive patients Most patients were unvaccinated, 32,078 (74·0) Median age 31, (IQR, 17 – 42) Delta = 8,682 Alpha = 34,656 Admitted to hospital or sought emergency care within 14 days of positive test Delta = 498 (5.7%) Alpha = 1,448 (4·2%) Adjust for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation, recent international travel, area of residence, calendar week, and vaccination status HR for attendance at emergency care or hospitalisation = 1.45 HR for hospital admission = 2.26 In the subgroup of vaccinated patients No significant difference between variants for emergency visit or hospitalisation Interpretation This large national study found a higher hospital admission or emergency care attendance risk for patients with COVID-19 infected with the delta variant compared with the alpha variant. Results suggest that outbreaks of the delta variant in unvaccinated populations might lead to a greater burden on health-care services than the alpha variant. PHE studies and protection against hospital admission https://khub.net/web/phe-national/public-library/-/document_library/v2WsRK3ZlEig/view/479607266 96% for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccin 92% for the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine UK rates 47.9 million people, (88%) aged 16 and over, first dose of a vaccine 42 million people, (78%) aged 16 and over, have had a second Dr Gavin Dabrera, PHE We already know that vaccination offers excellent protection against Delta and, as this variant accounts for over 99% of Covid cases in the UK, it is vital that those who have not received two doses of vaccine do so as soon as possible It is still important that if you have Covid symptoms, stay home and get a PCR test as soon as possible Lancet study findings are consistent with Scottish data https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)01358-1/fulltext Comparing Alpha and Delta risks. USA, MAB therapy FDA, EUA Florida, 21 popup sites (via injection shots) Dr. Fauci, can reduce deaths by 85% If early enough in the infection Lowers viral load Texas, Missouri, Iowa Observe for one hour

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