
transcript
show notes
On August 6th, 2026, AMD announced it was buying Taalas, a Toronto startup whose chip, the HC1, has the weights of one AI model, Llama 3.1 8B, etched into its wiring at the factory. It can never run anything else. The company claims 17,000 tokens a second to a single user, more than 70 times an NVIDIA H200. No independent lab has benchmarked it; every multiple in this episode is the company measuring itself.
The machine first. Every token a chatbot writes re-reads the whole model from memory, and the AI hardware industry is organized around widening that toll road. Taalas deletes it: one transistor stores a weight and does its math. No HBM, no advanced packaging, no liquid cooling, on 2019-era 6-nanometer silicon. The model lives in 2 of the chip's 100-plus layers, so a new model is a reprint of 2 stencils, which the company says takes about 2 months. One model is in silicon so far, and that first chip took two and a half years.
Then the money. Token prices fell a thousand-fold in three years and AI application companies still average 38% gross margins, because competition drags every product onto the newest, most expensive model. Etching turns the model from a running cost into a fixed asset, rent into mortgage, at three-quarters of a cent per million tokens by the company's own number. The founder, Ljubisa Bajic, said on camera that the approach starts winning once a model is held for about 3 months. In 2022, on an MIT stage, the same man said hardwiring had been wrong every time.
Then the wave: NVIDIA buying Groq's assets for about $20 billion on Christmas Eve 2025, the AMD and Cerebras partnership, AMD and Taalas, Qualcomm reportedly circling Tenstorrent. The bet on trial, Etched's warning, the Bitcoin-mining precedent, four dated predictions, and the one tell you can watch in your own tools.
CHAPTERS
00:00 Disclaimer
00:08 Wrong every time
00:58 Three questions
01:29 The toll road every token pays
02:37 The model is the compute
03:57 Built on 2019-era silicon
04:27 The company's own numbers
05:46 The precision catch
06:11 The model is a print run
07:22 One model in silicon so far
08:04 Compute, priced like payroll
09:07 Token prices fell, margins didn't
10:36 Rent versus mortgage
12:25 The three-month line
13:39 The man who built what he'd ruled out
16:45 Eight months, four moves
18:21 Where specialization stops
20:14 The bet on trial
22:00 The bull case and Bitcoin
23:17 Science or infrastructure?
24:41 Four predictions
25:33 Your own tell to watch
SOURCES
AMD press release, Aug 6, 2026: https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1296/amd-acquires-taalas-to-advance-compute-solutions-for-rapidly-growing-ai-inference-market
Taalas HC1 product page (specs; 'technology demonstrator'): https://taalas.com/products/
Taalas manifesto (2-month respin, 24 people, $30M): https://taalas.com/the-path-to-ubiquitous-ai/
The Next Platform, Feb 19, 2026 (the single-transistor cell): https://www.nextplatform.com/compute/2026/02/19/taalas-etches-ai-models-onto-transistors-to-rocket-boost-inference/4092140
Bajic on TBPN, Feb 20, 2026 (3-month breakeven, on camera): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrebAsni59k
Bajic at MIT, 2022 ('wrong every time'): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4AgmG8V3LE
Sundar Pichai, Google I/O 2026 (3.2 quadrillion tokens a month): https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/sundar-pichai-io-2026/
CNBC, Dec 24, 2025 (NVIDIA buys Groq assets, ~$20B): https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/24/nvidia-buying-ai-chip-startup-groq-for-about-20-billion-biggest-deal.html
———
This episode is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Deep Dive is not a registered investment adviser. All investing involves risk. Consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.





