War Expert: The Next Big War Will Come After The Midterms

Watch the full episode here: https://youtu.be/fhL44S4HfCk BECOME A SPONSOR: Email: will@decodedgenius.com CONNECT WITH ROBERT Profile: https://cpost.uchicago.edu/people/profile/robert_pape/ CPOST: https://cpost.uchicago.edu/ X: https://x.com/ProfessorPape LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/robert-pape/ Substack: https://professorrobertpape.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1620979586 FOLLOW DECODED GENIUS Website: https://decodedgenius.com/ Email updates: https://decodedgenius.com/subscribe/ FOLLOW WILL CANNON Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/iamwillcannon/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/will-cannon/ Website: https://iamwillcannon.com/ WHAT WE DECODED → The history book on plagues that led him to expect a rise in US political violence in spring 2020, before it arrived → Why January 6th defendants looked nothing like the unemployed militia members behind earlier attacks → What more than 20 nationally representative surveys show about support for political violence on both sides → How "permission structures" nudge volatile individuals over the edge, and the term he coined for this era: violent populism → Why support rose on both sides after the 2024 election, from about 8% to 14% on the right and 8 to 10% to 16% on the left → Why he doesn't expect a civil war or a sudden slide into authoritarianism, and what he fears instead → The October 2020 warning he gave on Chicago Tonight about the stretch through the seating of Congress → His sealed-envelope prediction for the 2026 midterms, and the one safeguard he wants in place while votes are cast CHAPTERS 00:00:40 The Sealed Envelope & The Most Dangerous Midterms 00:00:57 30 Years Tracking Political Violence & A Lecture On COVID 00:03:53 Plagues And Peoples & Why Pandemics Pull Countries Apart 00:06:31 George Floyd & The Summer Of 2020 00:08:36 January 6th, Doctors, Lawyers & CEOs 00:12:00 David Axelrod & 20 Nationally Representative Surveys 00:13:18 Tens Of Millions, Permission Structures & Violent Populism 00:16:58 Is It Growing? From 8% To 16% 00:21:11 Civil War, Authoritarianism & Constitutional Hardball 00:25:43 China, Election Warnings & Planting Seeds 00:27:26 2028 & Grading Trump's Presidency 00:29:42 The October 2020 Warning Before January 6th 00:31:28 The Envelope: Will Democrats Be Seated? 00:34:53 Could It Get Violent? & One Step To Take Now #DecodedGenius #RobertPape #Midterms2026 #PoliticalViolence #Democracy See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.